All-Star Mile 2021 - Vote 1 The Harrovian - no Dominion Servers allowed

[Jugada]

I must admit it surprised me somewhat for the vast majority of people to simply assume AQ runs past Probabeel next start. I didn't get that feeling watching the race and unless it was a very poor rating race I'd struggle to come that conclusion even now. It's not as if Probabeel is a inferior horse either those Cox Plate SPs hold in my memory.

You will disagree but I think the camel just about only one that could beat them on merit if he takes a step first up as a true 4yo. The rest hoping for others to go poorly or bias.

I would be surprised if the Camel could beat them unless the rain came but could truckload the trifecta still and feel very confident.

Behemoth next in the betting is only going to get beat further over a mile

 

[iluvparis]

Probabeel just wins. Genuine miler who has everything covered comfortably that isnt called Arcadia Queen and no reason to suggest she will reverse the Futurity result just because it's 200m further. AQ will fill the quinella spot but at the Valley where Prob has the tactical speed to settle in front of her i can't see her running down the NZer

Seems a likely outcome especially at the Valley (Flemington different story) but you could have said the same re: AQ and the Camel underwood into Caulfield Stakes in the Spring. The Queen is the better horse and is very versatile so would not be shocked if she turned the tables and given her insane SP profile and the fact she is hammered in betting every start no surprise she currently holds the line against Prob (who everyone should be on antepost anyway after the first up win).

 

[iluvparis]

Aegon staying in Sydney so won't be a wildcard

 

[bigpapagman]

I voted for Mr Quickie because I love him.

 

[iluvparis]

No real shock from the wildcards

 

[Big Bryza]

No real shock from the wildcards

View attachment 1067809

All 5 could start now and still won't win.

May as well have a match race between Probs and Queeny.

 

[iluvparis]

Gates

Probabeel 10
AQ 5 - will she get out?
Camel - 2

the rest - who cares

 

[54Dogs]

Gates

Probabeel 10
AQ 5 - will she get out?
Camel - 2

the rest - who cares

Lunar Fox gate? Need to know if it gets in the way

 

[iluvparis]

Lunar Fox gate? Need to know if it gets in the way

He certainly does from gate 4 - my map has her with a huge amount of dead wood to get past

 

[54Dogs]

Yeah that map plays well for Prob if it can land there. LF should fold at around the 1200

 

[iluvparis]

Yeah that map plays well for Prob if it can land there. LF should fold at around the 1200

Definitely the winner from the draw to my eye unless its mad leaders/rails

 

[TBellicious]

Noel Callow booked for the Fox outta nowhere!

 

[FallingLiefs]

Doubt AQ will be 2nd last the fence.

Behemoth to hold box seat and RC fresh enough to his outside.

 

[iluvparis]

Mug the same price as the Camel is a laugh - should be double/treble the price for the latest Oz Bloodstock hype train

 

[balmainforever]

I've put the poll on the monthly thread

 

[FallingLiefs]

Given the potential for rain and how much of a difference that would make for the first 3 horses in the market, would surely be hard for anyone to bet on this right now.

Still on the camel, and should firm even more i'd have thought but i'll just get left with the short price on the day...

 

[HeathySure]

We should get a decent pace. We can hope for a fair track but it is the Valley so thats about a 25 percent chance. I think Probabeel is the best WFA horse going around at the moment but i wont bet on it until i see how the track races. What a pussy Sir Dragonet is, these overseas horses may be decent but my god they are soft.

 

[iluvparis]

Punting form appear to have the two faves getting trapped in some tetris like box

 

[FallingLiefs]

We should get a decent pace. We can hope for a fair track but it is the Valley so thats about a 25 percent chance. I think Probabeel is the best WFA horse going around at the moment but i wont bet on it until i see how the track races. What a pussy Sir Dragonet is, these overseas horses may be decent but my god they are soft.

Like most of them looks completely useless without soft tracks and suicide tempo until at least a few years conditioning for them to get use to our normal sit/sprints.

 

[iluvparis]

We should get a decent pace. We can hope for a fair track but it is the Valley so thats about a 25 percent chance. I think Probabeel is the best WFA horse going around at the moment but i wont bet on it until i see how the track races. What a pussy Sir Dragonet is, these overseas horses may be decent but my god they are soft.

The salt from not taking the $13 the best horse in the Cox Plate 30 minutes before the jump remains delicious . Can't blame the horse for having unfathomably idiotic trainers that have proven multiple times they are a laughing stock on the world stage.

 

[HeathySure]

Punting form appear to have the two faves getting trapped in some tetris like box

View attachment 1074110

it cant be right Lunar Fox should be 100 meters behind the last horse

 

[HeathySure]

l

The salt from not taking the $13 the best horse in the Cox Plate 30 minutes before the jump remains delicious . Can't blame the horse for having unfathomably idiotic trainers that have proven multiple times they are a laughing stock on the world stage.

lol no salt at all i just think its pissweak that he cannot run unless the track is rain affected. It wuoldnt surprise me if magically the track becomes a soft 5 with no rain Makybe Diva style

 

[iluvparis]

l

lol no salt at all i just think its pissweak that he cannot run unless the track is rain affected. It wuoldnt surprise me if magically the track becomes a soft 5 with no rain Makybe Diva style

#wellthisisawkward #pissweakkiwis



Let's face it - both are 10,000,000/1 to scratch from this be it Firm 1 or Heavy 10

 

[bigpapagman]

He certainly does from gate 4 - my map has her with a huge amount of dead wood to get past

View attachment 1073417

Kah won't be riding Quickie that far back. They'll take some impetus from the garbage gate. Won't win from out there, but will be surprised to see him posted last.

 

[iluvparis]

Kah won't be riding Quickie that far back. They'll take some impetus from the garbage gate. Won't win from out there, but will be surprised to see him posted last.

Hasn't settled forward of midfield in a race for 3 years; so they can go a bit further forward and be cast the entire trip or go back to last, take their medicine and try and have the last crack at them. I'd be doing the latter.