Prediction Who definitely won't play finals in 2021? Who definitely will?

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Will: Richmond, port, dogs
Won't: north, Essendon, hawthorn, Adelaide, GWS
 
Won't: North Melbourne, Essendon, GWS, Carlton, Gold Coast.

Might sneak into 7th/8th: Collingwood, Melbourne, Sydney

Will finish top 8: Port Adelaide, Richmond, Geelong, WB, WCE, St Kilda

Brisbanes chances really depend on how badly they get ****ed around over the next month if something stupid happens with this covid stuff, but also historically one team from last years top 4 is likely to drop out and it might be them.
 

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There's about a third of the league teams you can already rule in and out of finals already I reckon. There are others very likely or unlikely, but not quite locks yet.

In: Tigers, Port Adelaide, Bulldogs.

Out: Essendon, Hawthorn, North Melbourne

Probably only need another week or two of form to add another few teams to the list.
 
There's about a third of the league teams you can already rule in and out of finals already I reckon. There are others very likely or unlikely, but not quite locks yet.

In: Tigers, Port Adelaide, Bulldogs.

Out: Essendon, Hawthorn, North Melbourne

Probably only need another week or two of form to add another few teams to the list.
Can rule out more than that.
 
On a related note, I'm looking forward to the first piece of commentary claiming:

a) the competition is more even than ever
b) the eight is set

For me, those lines are like the start of cherry blossom season in Japan. It happens every year but still inspires a sense of wonder and renewal.
 

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