Can someone explain the logic behind cats being favs against the Dees?

[kozi]

What's the best odds for the Dees around the traps?
Is $2-18 the best you can find?

$2.60 for 1-39 if you want to actually back them. They aren’t winning by 40+

 

[footyfan1978]

$2.60 for 1-39 if you want to actually back them. They aren’t winning by 40+

You'd be annoyed if you backed them and they won by 40 points....
Thanks for info but I rarely take the 1 to 39 in cases like this.

 

[kozi]

You'd be annoyed if you backed them and they won by 40 points....
Thanks for info but I rarely take the 1 to 39 in cases like this.

If you’re not taking it in a case like this then you’re probably never taking it. Which is fine of course but you did ask for better odds.

 

[footyfan1978]

If you’re not taking it in a case like this then you’re probably never taking it. Which is fine of course but you did ask for better odds.

I meant better odds for straight out wins.
These teams are not reliable enough this early in season to want to buckle down on margin ranges.

 

[Altum Volantes]

Have you followed Melbourne for long mate?...

 

[footyfan1978]

Looks like $2-20 on Ladbrokes at a quick search. There must be others better.

 

[Tristan34]

Wait for teams to come out..

Yeah I’m a Dess fan, but honestly it’s got nothing to do with that.

They were $1.20 against Adelaide.

Brisbane should have won in the final 25 seconds.

Hawthorn are not expected to do much this year

Additionally

6 day break

Higgins out

No danger

Is this easy money or am I missing something?

View attachment 1094939View attachment 1094934

I would wait for teams first.. See what Geelong players come back... If Cameron returns not sure i would gamble...

 

[Boxhead_31]

Higgins out works in favor of Geelong, hence why they're favotites.

Your mob has yet to win a game without him playing for you

 

[00Stinger]

Melbourne, who cares really?

Sent from my SM-G981B using Tapatalk

 

[HTT]

Past performance is a weak indicator of future results

The entire premise of your thread is past performance?

 

[Sherrinator]

Dees doing their bit to eliminate this gambling culture

 

[Hamingja]

Yes, more people are putting money on the Cats than Melbourne.

Bookies set the initial line. I'd expect people will back Melbourne and they will start shorter than $2.20.

 

[Obeanie1]

Simplest explanation, would be Scott's presser earlier this week re: injuries and who we have returning -

OUT: Evans (2 game small forward), S. Higgins (has not started the season well, or adjusted to his new role yet so no great loss), Constable (sub)

IN: J. Cameron (2019 Coleman Medalist), Menegola (2020 AA Squad member - most considered unlucky not to make final squad)

Fair turnover in talent in just one game

With dads army you need to get used to turnover each game.

 

[Blackas87]

Past performance is a weak indicator of future results

You just posted in the OP Geelong’s 3 games this year which are past performances as an indicator for who should be favourite in this weeks future game

 

[kickazz]

Yeah I'm surprised by those odds and think Melbourne are overs.

The only thing maybe is that for all the talk of Melbourne's good start, who have they beaten?

Geelong haven't had the toughest of games either I'll admit, though Brisbane were a prelim finalist, and Adelaide played well in round 1.

Freo, GWS and the Saints seem to be pretty crap at the moment. Then again it's hard to tell who is good and who isn't this early in the season. Hence last year / last few years form holds just a little bit more weight.

 

[Sttew]

With dads army you need to get used to turnover each game.

LOL coming from an Eagles fan

 

[thedreamisreal]

Dees Fan*

Dees Fans, staff, members and players*

 

[Ambrosia]

Not saying the Dees won’t be good this year but they’ve haven’t beaten anyone yet.

Fremantle at home, St Kilda and the listless Giants I’d say Essendon who I have pegged as a bottom side would have been a reasonable chance to be 3-0 with that draw.

 

[Topkent]

Dees Fans, staff, members and players

How's living in imagination land?

 

[MC Extra Dollop]

The odds are as generous as you'll get if you expect Melbourne to win. By game time I'd expect them to be favourites or at least evens.

 

[Partridge]

People are just apprehensive about the Demon's, been plenty of false dawn's before.

The list of teams you've beaten so far (Freo in Melbourne, St Kilda and an injury hit GWS) isn't awe inspiring either.

Best thing is to beat them and show if you are the real deal or not

Exactly. When a team emerges, it takes a fair while for people to be convinced.

See Geelong early 2007, Richmond early 2017 etc. It's not until they start reliably beating teams that they'll be trusted. Just how it goes.

 

[Pee Tear Griffin]

Dees Fans, staff, members and players

Care to provide some examples?

 

[Heeney2Franklin]

Its pretty simple Geelong is extremely consistent Melbourne are flaky.

 

[TheWoodenSlug]

Easy money imo. Put everything you own on the Dees!

 

[Kozzie_Magic]

Geelong being favs is fair enough