AFL 2021 AFL Round 4

[Nuggetz]

How much rain?
scg drains well?

Drains very well...

 

[GROTTO]

Drains very well...

Probably the more pertinent question, is should you be catching a train in the rain?

Thursday 8 April

Summary

Min 18 Max 26 Shower or two. Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of A few showers. Light winds.

 

[Robo87]

Stuff it! ill take a chance on sydney scoring 6/7g+ in mayb 1-3m of rain at current odds.. John wick would go out in the rain!
i just reduced my units a little tho.

Youre expecting a sequel for Wicks?

heck yeah, 'John Wick 4' scheduled for release on May 27, 2022.
so yes there is atleast another Wick coming!
back on topic- decided i will also take a shot and tail Wicks. Franklin papley and wicks have the best value for swans imo. nothing against mcdonald or heeney, but their odds are less value. (wicks has got ags 3/3 times ytd -thats good enough for me)

1.5u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks ags @2.46 lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks 2g+ @5.63 lads
0.25u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks 3g+@14.12 lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks ags @4.31lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks 2g+ @9.04 lads
0.25u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks 3g+ @21.01 lads

0.75u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks ags , papley ags @3.18 lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks ags , papley 2g+ @5.77 lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks 2g+, papley ags @7.35 lads
0.25u sgm -franklin 2g+, wicks 2g+, papley 2g+ @12.54 lads

0.5u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks ags , papley ags @5.60lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks ags , papley 2g+ @9.67lads
0.5u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks 2g+, papley ags @12 lads
0.25u sgm -franklin 3g+, wicks 2g+, papley 2g+ @19.97 lads

 

[jikost]

After watching Max Gawn

11

Max Gawn

Age

32

Ht

209cm

Wt

110kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.1

4star

K

7.4

3star

HB

6.7

4star

CL

2.8

4star

HO

35.3

5star

D

18.5

4star

K

11.5

4star

HB

7.0

4star

CL

3.5

4star

HO

29.2

5star

D

8.4

3star

K

3.6

2star

HB

4.8

4star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

15.6

5star

run Matthew Flynn off his feet finishing with 2 goals and 24 touches you can expect Brodie Grundy

4

Brodie Grundy

Age

30

Ht

202cm

Wt

105kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.5

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

9.6

5star

CL

4.1

5star

HO

32.0

5star

D

16.4

4star

K

6.8

3star

HB

9.6

5star

CL

4.0

5star

HO

34.6

5star

D

13.8

4star

K

5.2

2star

HB

8.6

5star

CL

2.6

5star

HO

20.6

5star

to do similar.

Collingwood -25.5/Grundy 20+/Grundy AGS @ 9.69 lads boost.

 

[Geeves Train]

Just for anyone keen on Martin, be careful as Prestia is out and Cotchin should but might not play so I’m not sure how much time he’ll get in the 50.

I’ve already backed Florent for 25 ($3.75) and 30 ($13). 29 last week vs Tigers and don’t imagine Bombers will be much better in stopping him at home!!

 

[Nuggetz]

Probably the more pertinent question, is should you be catching a train in the rain?

Thursday 8 April

Summary

Min 18 Max 26 Shower or two. Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of A few showers. Light winds.

Yea, i'll be catching a train. The light rail is right outside central station. 1-3mm is not much and showers in sydney can be very isolated. I wouldn't factor 1-3mm of rain into the equation...

 

[Nuggetz]

one my mates said tom hickey

31

Tom Hickey

Age

33

Ht

202cm

Wt

97kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

6.9

4star

CL

2.8

4star

HO

19.1

5star

D

4.0

1star

K

1.5

1star

HB

2.5

2star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

7.0

5star

D

11.2

3star

K

4.2

2star

HB

7.0

5star

CL

0.4

3star

HO

8.6

5star

was like $5.60 for 2+ on neds. Last time I checked he came into $3.90. He's kicked 2+ last 2 matches. Wish I got on him at $5 odds...ffs

 

[squeaky1000]

tailing papley
2u 2+ $1.95 (come in already)
1u 3+ $4 (in)
0.5u 4+ $9 (in)
TAB
adding
5u sgm -franklin 2g, papley ags @2.02 lads
2u sgm -franklin 2g, papley 2g @3.65 lads
1u sgm -franklin 3g, papley 2g @6.30 lads

considering doing
sgm - franklin, papley, mcdonald heeney ags @2.04 lads

Love that Buddy 2+ Papley ags at 2.04, well over the odds is about 1.45 elsewhere

 

[NYRB]

a bit of a giggle bet for me multi:

Sydney 61-75 pts & Man City to score in both halves & win corner count against Borussia Dortmund paying close to 80/1

 

[Robo87]

Love that Buddy 2+ Papley ags at 2.04, well over the odds is about 1.45 elsewhere

yep, im noticing a big price difference trend as goals keep going up too:
sgm- franklin 3+, Papley ags is @3.58 on lads but 2.05 on sb.
sgm- franklin 4+, Papley ags is @7.15 on lads but 3.40 on sb.
sgm- franklin 5+, Papley ags is @15.20 on lads but 6.25 on sb.
sgm- franklin 6+, Papley ags is @30.04 on lads but 13.50 on sb.
... i added 0.5u to each (lads) multi just in case buddy fires up.

 

[Hellboy101]

Buddy 2+, Papley, Wicks, Hooker, Tippa and Stringer AGS @ 8.5 - Neds

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Only one set of bets for me this week (unless one of my fellow punting board degenerates finds a decent train*).

(*And no offense but neither Papley nor Buddy inspire me, as a seasoned train man).

Here's the train some of you are looking for:

Kicked 0.1 in Rd 1 vs Geelong
Kicked 0.4 in Rd 2 vs Sydney
Kicked 1.1 in Rd 3 vs Gold Coast

Among the comp leaders for pressure acts inside the forward 50. A tackling machine.

This week playing against the worst side in the comp, with the worst defense seen at pro level in a long, long time.

And also playing his first game at Colonial, in his home state of Victoria.

Who knows how many matches he went along and watched at this ground, back when he was a kid supporting the Bombers?

This week he is going to have his kicking boots on, under the roof, in his best chance of all time snag a few easy goals.

Atley to Ziebell, looks around, no options, closed down, BALL! Berry to line up for his fourth, directly in front!



If this train doesn't come in, I'll need to take a spell for a while.

But I'm confident

 

[chrisdon16]

Fremantle -10.5

 

[iluvparis]

Only one set of bets for me this week (unless one of my fellow punting board degenerates finds a decent train*).

(*And no offense but neither Papley nor Buddy inspire me, as a seasoned train man).

Here's the train some of you are looking for:

Kicked 0.1 in Rd 1 vs Geelong
Kicked 0.4 in Rd 2 vs Sydney
Kicked 1.1 in Rd 3 vs Gold Coast

Among the comp leaders for pressure acts inside the forward 50. A tackling machine.

This week playing against the worst side in the comp, with the worst defense seen at pro level in a long, long time.

And also playing his first game at Colonial, in his home state of Victoria.

Who knows how many matches he went along and watched at this ground, back when he was a kid supporting the Bombers?

This week he is going to have his kicking boots on, under the roof, in his best chance of all time snag a few easy goals.

Atley to Ziebell, looks around, no options, closed down, BALL! Berry to line up for his fourth, directly in front!

View attachment 1095895

If this train doesn't come in, I'll need to take a spell for a while.

But I'm confident

This is my kind of train - on for 3+

 

[chrisdon16]

WB BL - u169.5

$1.88 Ladbrokes/NEDS

 

[GROTTO]

Just a reminder for degenerates that this is the final round for PB promo. Good luck.



NonPhixion

In case youre wondering this golf champion Paige Spiranac with the reminder.

 

[Veer Right]

No love here for Warner or Gulden in goal markets. Both been involved in many goals and goal assists.

 

[Nuggetz]

No love here for Warner or Gulden in goal markets. Both been involved in many goals and goal assists.

Yea warner would be a good get since he might play more in the fwd line if rowbottom is named

 

[Atavistic]

No love here for Warner or Gulden in goal markets. Both been involved in many goals and goal assists.

I have thrown Warner, Gulden and Wicks into a bunch of multis. Warner 2 & Gulden 2@10, Warner 3 & Gulden 3@64, etc.

 

[Veer Right]

I have thrown Warner, Gulden and Wicks into a bunch of multis. Warner 2 & Gulden 2@10, Warner 3 & Gulden 3@64, etc.

On sportsbet? Tab won't let me multi goalscorers.. Want to tail..

 

[kicksome]

What bookie is the Berry train on?
With sports bet its:
2+ $2.10
3+ $4.50
4+ $12

and ladbrokes only has him in the 2+ market for $3.90

 

[jikost]

What bookie is the Berry train on?
With sports bet its:
2+ $2.10
3+ $4.50
4+ $12

and ladbrokes only has him in the 2+ market for $3.90

It was sportsbet. I put 10 dollarydoos on Berry @ $101 and can now cash out for $60 lol.

 

[kicksome]

Those bastards are quick then

 

[Atavistic]

It was sportsbet. I put 10 dollarydoos on Berry @ $101 and can now cash out for $60 lol.

That's how influential M2F's posts are.

 

[Veer Right]

So i joined Sportsbet so i could do a same game multi. Stupid tab!