thejester
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- Apr 22, 2006
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The question you are posing - how can we win in so many statistical categories yet lose the game? - has a straightforward answer: we missed shots we would normally kick, and they were unusually accurate. That's it. Why did we miss those shots? xS is an average of every shot taken in the league over the last decade, so it accounts for factors such as distance and angle from goal. Could it be fatigue? Maybe, but then you'd expect Geelong to consistently underperform xS, and I don't think we did that last week. The more likely explanation (according to stats nerds) is randomness: we just had a bad night.We lost 3 out of 4 quarters. If we are winning on stats yet losing on the scoreboard then id say there are other stats that show why we lost that are more important, and perhaps there are flaws in the stats we won in.I heard DKing this morning say we should have won on that estimated goals 111 to 70 something. There is something very wrong when there is 40 points different to the outcome.