Prediction Round 15: Changes Vs Collingwood + pre-match discussion

[ignoramus]

It is absolutely crazy that this will be the first time Logue and Pearce play an AFL game together.

Still almost 20 hours until bounce down. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

 

[StingBitten]

It is absolutely crazy that this will be the first time Logue and Pearce play an AFL game together. Both been on the list for 4 and a half years, both Best 22.

Sheds a light on how badly screwed over by injuries we have been in the past 5 years.

I did not know that. Truly insane!

 

[Nothing]

You grow up playing games at 8.30 am. Tomorrow is scheduled for 11.45 am our time. The Grand Final is only played at 12.30

I don't like saying it, but if that's a factor, I find it quite soft.

It is a factor in all US sports, but particularly NFL. It is built into the lines for betting and has been studied (and not overcome) in the most analysed sport there is.

 

[Righteo]

Going to be cold and rainy in Melbourne tomorrow, and because of covid restrictions the roof will be open...


I think our injury-free status will be a short lived one

 

[Dockeroo]

Going to be cold and rainy in Melbourne tomorrow, and because of covid restrictions the roof will be open...


I think our injury-free status will be a short lived one

How many guys will be sitting on the bench with ice strapped to their hamstrings with clingfilm, and glum looks on their faces by the end of Q4 tomorrow?

 

[Righteo]

How many guys will be sitting on the bench with ice strapped to their hamstrings with clingfilm, and glum looks on their faces by the end of Q4 tomorrow?

If it were a betting option i'd drop a 50 on Switta being one of them. Tab's ankle scares me too.

 

[Taylor]

Mason Cox in the wet might be entirely useless.

He will kick 7 now I've said that

 

[ilikepotatoes]

It is a factor in all US sports, but particularly NFL. It is built into the lines for betting and has been studied (and not overcome) in the most analysed sport there is.

I'd love to read about it. Is this specifically regarding time, location or both?

 

[Dockeroo]

Would expect Pearce to take care of Mason Cox alright

 

[Taylor]

Would expect Pearce to take care of Mason Cox alright

Likewise.

But I'd play Cox as a decoy forward to try and drag Pearce out.

 

[Nothing]

I'd love to read about it. Is this specifically regarding time, location or both?

Time, I think is the biggest factor (all starts).

Here's the first article I found on a quick search. It is from a betting persepective

Is There Still a Disadvantage for NFL West Coast Teams Traveling East? | Sports Insights

For years we have heard NFL fans and analysts unequivocally state that NFL West Coast teams struggle when traveling cross-country. This argument

www.sportsinsights.com

 

[FreoRicci]

So Freo. Play at Marvel. Covid safe protocol, roof stays open. Forecast rain. Heh

 

[Heart Of Purple]

So Freo. Play at Marvel. Covid safe protocol, roof stays open. Forecast rain. Heh

When your playing a side with Grundy, Cameron,Cox and Mihocek... probably not the worst thing that could happen.

On SM-A217F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[MadMundy]

Pearce should have a field day with Cox.

 

[Square Peg]

Based on the photos on the website, Bewley and Duman are both in Melbourne, so one of them is presumably sub.

 

[Purple Jesus]

Based on the photos on the website, Bewley and Duman are both in Melbourne, so one of them is presumably sub.

Hopefully Duman, still not confident AP won't shatter.

Yes I rubbed my whole naked body over wood as I typed that.

 

[Square Peg]

Hopefully Duman, still not confident AP won't shatter.

Yes I rubbed my whole naked body over wood as I typed that.

When I touch wood I am usually a bit more metaphorical. And alone in the bedroom.

 

[Vintage]

You grow up playing games at 8.30 am. Tomorrow is scheduled for 11.45 am our time. The Grand Final is only played at 12.30

I don't like saying it, but if that's a factor, I find it quite soft.

Www..circadianrhythm.com (made up website name)

i don’t mind saying it, if you think a known fact shouldn’t be a factor, I find that quite dumb.

you’d be the person that tells your teenage kids off because they can’t go to sleep earlier, or get out of bed earlier.

 

[bfff]

Don’t the players train at 9.30 Wednesdays? Treat it like that then

No, please no. What’s that going to look like? A few run throughs in the 1st, followed by a talk with the coaches at quarter time. Some training drills in the 2nd, stop for drinks and a chat at half time. Then match sims for the rest of the game? Actually that does sound exactly like how we have been playing away games this year.

 

[Purple Jesus]

Www..circadianrhythm.com (made up website name)

i don’t mind saying it, if you think a known fact shouldn’t be a factor, I find that quite dumb.

you’d be the person that tells your teenage kids off because they can’t go to sleep earlier, or get out of bed earlier.

Definite factor. Flying West -> East massively affects me but oddly not the other way at all.

 

[Wilksyy]

Of course it’s a factor. Jet lag is a motherfker

 

[arsesmart]

You grow up playing games at 8.30 am. Tomorrow is scheduled for 11.45 am our time. The Grand Final is only played at 12.30

I don't like saying it, but if that's a factor, I find it quite soft.

You can call it what you like, but it's a factor.
Greater effect of east vs. west travel on jet-lag, sleep and team-sport performance
"Specifically, travel east has a greater detrimental effect on sleep, subjective jet-lag, fatigue and motivation. Consequently, maximal- and intermittent-sprint performance is also reduced following travel east, particularly within 72 h following arrival."

In an arena as elite as the AFL, small differences can have big effects. Again, though, it's about trying to manage it as best you can and isn't the end of the story or only determinant.

 

[Nothing]

You can call it what you like, but it's a factor.
Greater effect of east vs. west travel on jet-lag, sleep and team-sport performance
"Specifically, travel east has a greater detrimental effect on sleep, subjective jet-lag, fatigue and motivation. Consequently, maximal- and intermittent-sprint performance is also reduced following travel east, particularly within 72 h following arrival."

In an arena as elite as the AFL, small differences can have big effects. Again, though, it's about trying to manage it as best you can and isn't the end of the story or only determinant.

That's a better reference source than my Sports Insights one.

 

[masai]

Still almost 20 hours until bounce down. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

Touch every piece of wood !!!!.

Stay away from black cats, Pearce & Logue together will be like Torvill & Dean.

 

[ilikepotatoes]

Time, I think is the biggest factor (all starts).

Here's the first article I found on a quick search. It is from a betting persepective

Is There Still a Disadvantage for NFL West Coast Teams Traveling East? | Sports Insights

For years we have heard NFL fans and analysts unequivocally state that NFL West Coast teams struggle when traveling cross-country. This argument

www.sportsinsights.com

Cheers.

Unless I'm reading that incorrectly since 2013 teams have actually performed better when travelling east.

It also includes a quote from a bookmaker downplaying it's effect on results.

I find the 5 pm peak athletic performance stuff interesting.

Www..circadianrhythm.com (made up website name)

i don’t mind saying it, if you think a known fact shouldn’t be a factor, I find that quite dumb.

you’d be the person that tells your teenage kids off because they can’t go to sleep earlier, or get out of bed earlier.

If anyone's lack of sleep is affecting their job performance it needs to be sorted out.