Tokyo Olympics

[pendlebury_10]

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This is worth a read, a data giant uses algorithms to predict the result of each event and has us landing on 13 gold medals.

Surely this is the absolute max - as Paris pointed out it also doesn't account for the choke factor which has been a recurring theme for Aussies at the Olympics (see Cate Campbell).

edit - the article has us penciled in for ZERO individual golds in the pool.

 

[HeathySure]

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This is worth a read, a data giant uses algorithms to predict the result of each event and has us landing on 13 gold medals.

Surely this is the absolute max - as Paris pointed out it also doesn't account for the choke factor which has been a recurring theme for Aussies at the Olympics (see Cate Campbell).

edit - the article has us penciled in for ZERO individual golds in the pool.

funny enough they only named 12. Cant trust a data "giant" who cant count

 

[iluvparis]

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This is worth a read, a data giant uses algorithms to predict the result of each event and has us landing on 13 gold medals.

Surely this is the absolute max - as Paris pointed out it also doesn't account for the choke factor which has been a recurring theme for Aussies at the Olympics (see Cate Campbell).

edit - the article has us penciled in for ZERO individual golds in the pool.

Well if we hit the overs getting zero individual golds in the pool its going to be an exciting fortnight!

I see he also has the Men's hockey in there so obviously has zero choke variable in his models

 

[HeathySure]

Well if we hit the overs getting zero individual golds in the pool its going to be an exciting fortnight!

I see he also has the Men's hockey in there so obviously has zero choke variable in his models

Jessica Fox is also a choker

 

[54Dogs]

Australia's performance after 2000

2004: 17 Gold
2008: 14 Gold
2012: 8 Gold
2016: 8 Gold

Makes sense based on investment for Aus. Is there any broader global analysis of investment vs Golds available? Would be a nice data point to tap into some overs assuming the investment pre these Olympics is known.

 

[iluvparis]

Makes sense based on investment for Aus. Is there any broader global analysis of investment vs Golds available? Would be a nice data point to tap into some overs assuming the investment pre these Olympics is known.

That trend isn't the investment - its the ramp up in the doping program that each nation does before each home games - I'd expect to see the UK gold tally to drop markedly this time around for example.

 

[HeathySure]

Covid is probably going to be a huge factor so maybe laying a lot of the favourites from dodgy countries might be the go

 

[iluvparis]

Covid is probably going to be a huge factor so maybe laying a lot of the favourites from dodgy countries might be the go

I like it - surely African nations will just let it rip for the chance at a medal

 

[54Dogs]

I like it - surely African nations will just let it rip for the chance at a medal

 

[jikost]

If anyone has a unibet account they are offering a 10% boost on any Olympic bets. Only one per day though.

 

[Matty_G]

We’re always good to pull at least one gold out of our arse in shooting. Michael Diamond or some Eastern Europe ring in who’s lived in Aus for 3 months.

 

[yamborghinidream]

That trend isn't the investment - its the ramp up in the doping program that each nation does before each home games - I'd expect to see the UK gold tally to drop markedly this time around for example.

You might find this an interesting watch:



essentially drug testing is usually pretty shit but because of COVID it's now VERY shit because old mate in Tbilisi just got to complete a dozen cycles because of no out of competition testing

this video comes from a strictly lifting POV but I'm sure it's relevant to pretty much every sport

anyone up on Kazakhstan medals?

 

[iluvparis]

We’re always good to pull at least one gold out of our arse in shooting. Michael Diamond or some Eastern Europe ring in who’s lived in Aus for 3 months.

I’ll start trawling through the court reports to cross check against our shooters. Normally a good way to find a gold medalist

 

[NYRB]

IOC not ruling out the cancellation of the Opening Ceremony

Smarkets Betting Exchange Odds:

 

[NYRB]

Do we buy or sell the 'yes' at those odds?

 

[NYRB]

Smarkets Betting Exchange Rules on the Opening Ceremony:

" If the opening ceremony of the 2020 Summer Olympics takes place at the Tokyo Olympic stadium as scheduled on 23 July 2021 this market will be settled for Yes. This market will be settled for No if the games of the 2020 Summer Olympics are not declared officially open on 23 July 2021, or if the opening ceremony takes place in a different venue to the Tokyo Olympic Stadium. All dates are BST. "

 

[toxic]

Jessica Fox is also a choker

I dream of this

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Theres womens soccer on this afternoon? Is this part of Olympics?

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[iluvparis]

Theres womens soccer on this afternoon? Is this part of Olympics?

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

Yup - our softballers already got the mercy rule invoked against them this morning

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Yup - our softballers already got the mercy rule invoked against them this morning

Time to throw some money away!

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Went Canada -2 in softball

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[matty p]

any views on the pinnacle event of the Olympics? the 100 metres final

These are the best odds from : SkyBet, William Hill and TAB.

Trayvon Bromwell 2.38 (USA)
Ronnie Baker 5.50 (USA)
Akani Simbine 6.50 (USA)
Andre de Grasse 9 (Canada)
Fred Kerley 10 (USA)
Zharnel Hughes 17 (Great Britain)
Reece Prescod 23 (Great Britain)
Bingtian Su 26 (China)
Yohan Blake 26 (Jamaica)
Marcell Jacobs 26 (Italy)
Jimmy Vicaut 51 (France)
Tlotliso Leotelela 41 (South Africa)
Chijindu Ujah 51 (Great Britain)
Ryoto Yamagata 67 (Japan)
Aaron Brown 81 (Canada)
Emmanuel Matadi 101 (Liberia)
Adam Gemili 101 (Great Britain)
Ferdinand Omurwa 126 (Kenya)
Xie Zhenye 151 (China)

with no Usain Bolt there, is there value in an outsider there?

Jacobs is a medal chance.

 

[NYRB]

Brisbane hosting Olympics in 2032

 

[anabac]

Brisbane hosting Olympics in 2032

Awesome news. Who knows what the world or the Olympics will look like by then but at least half justifies Anna's visit to Japan right now in the middle of a pandemic. Clearly she had the heads up they were going to win

 

[iluvparis]

Awesome news. Who knows what the world or the Olympics will look like by then but at least half justifies Anna's visit to Japan right now in the middle of a pandemic. Clearly she had the heads up they were going to win

It was uncontested and still there were 5 votes AGAINST them getting it.