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AFL 2021 AFL Round 23

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Hawthorn, Brisbane, GWS & Essendon to Win - 5U @ 3.30 Neds

Hawthorn have won their last 3 pretty comfortably, will be coming into this one with lots of confidence whilst Richmond are out of form. GWS & Essendon need to win to secure their spot in the 8. West Coast have been sh*t and with the game being played at the Gabba I can’t see the Lions losing this one.
 
md20 said:
Against Adelaide.
The guy loves an easy hit out. He kicked 6 against the Kangaroos early this season when they were an easy beat.
Apart from the 6 and 7. He's only kicked 4 in a game one other time.

Not saying it's a bad bet and you shouldn't go for it if you want. But it explains the price

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Think the guy thats essentially the 3rd or 4th target is fairly unlikely to kick 4 on Geelong in Geelong, odds feel about right for mine, loves the feast on poor opposition in big wins.
 

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BuddysBiggestFan said:
Port are $8, $9 this morning for minor prem. If they win Friday, what odds will they be? Do you think they’d offer a cash out?
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Those odds are actually pretty good. Given Port is only 1.3% behind Geelong
ShaunWDT said:
Think the guy thats essentially the 3rd or 4th target is fairly unlikely to kick 4 on Geelong in Geelong, odds feel about right for mine, loves the feast on poor opposition in big wins.
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He’s probably been the no.1 target most of the year to be fair, atleast 2 with Brown in the team.
 
mouncey2franklin said:
Betts has had seven kicks, including one goal, over the last three weeks combined.

That's not his average, that's his aggregate, over the past three weeks.

Despite playing two of the worst teams in the comp (North and Suns).

And now we're betting on him for 4 goals, 5 goals, against GWS on a Saturday night?

Just-When-I-Think-You-Couldnt-Possibly-Be-Any-Dumber-You-Go-and-Do-Something-Like-This..-and-Totally-Redeem-Yourself-In-Dumb-and-Dumber.gif


I'm on for 3/4/5 lesssgo
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I love Eddie but it feels like you're absolutely throwing money away to me.
 
NonPhixion said:
Those odds are actually pretty good. Given Port is only 1.3% behind Geelong

He’s probably been the no.1 target most of the year to be fair, atleast 2 with Brown in the team.
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Will be Brown,Jackson,McDonald and Fritsch all selected, I just dont see how people are seeing 4 goals there on a quality side at their home ground so 8-9's is about right.

GWS destroyed us for instance and only Greene kicked 4 with the best of the rest getting to 2.
 
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Can't believe no one saw this but Lads put up Taranto 2+ @3.40 and 3+ @10 was gonna put a fair bit on but they only let me on for around half of my intended stake.

I wanted to come here and let you guys know the great odds but as soon as my bets were accepted they changed the odds drastically.

Also a big hello to Ladbrokes as they probably now know who I am, since I was probs the only one able to get a bet on at that price. I look forward to being severely limited in the not to distant future :'(

Edit: Same happend at Pointsbet got on at similar odds including 4+ @31 before odds adjusted.
 
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FadingTheFave said:
Can't believe no one saw this but Lads put up Taranto 2+ @3.40 and 3+ @10 was gonna put a fair bit on but they only let me on for around half of my intended stake.

I wanted to come here and let you guys know the great odds but as soon as my bets were accepted they changed the odds drastically.

Also a big hello to Ladbrokes as they probably now know who I am, since I was probs the only one able to get a bet on at that price. I look forward to being severely limited in the not to distant future :'(

Edit: Same happend at Pointsbet got on at similar odds including 4+ @31 before odds adjusted.
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He was playing greens role last week up fwd, but green is back this week. So I'm expecting Taranto go more midfield and have less shots at goal this week.
 

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Robo87 said:
He was playing greens role last week up fwd, but green is back this week. So I'm expecting Taranto go more midfield and have less shots at goal this week.
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Possibly but Perryman also played off HF I think and they will likely play Coniglio or T. Green as well. I reckon GWS give him 50% mid time at most and I would be shocked if they went and played him pure mid after he went so well last game. I think the best example is against Port where Greene played and Taranto had 2/30 CBAs.

Besides Carlton conceded 1.3 to Boak and 2.0 to Miller as pure mids, so he is a decent shout imo.
 

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I’m amazed the dogs are still favourites.
 
the_big_sav said:
what do people think about essendon? will they go limp if its a dead rubber? and they will know the result before the game
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hard to say, definately might be a bit of self preservation but does that help the overs with less physical pressure? probably, h2h yeh pies line might be the go, total is already kind of adjusted to the potential of a dead rubber i feel, 163.5 is pretty high, might have to target the Adelaide/North game that could be a flat out exhibition with 50 pts a qtr
 
demon_fanatic said:
Oh damn rain increase in Adelaide Sunday which means it'll be around for the game, hopefully only enough to make keepings off harder and the ball in motion more and kicks at goal not too hard,156.5 still very gettable
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Is it just the Adelaide vs Sydney game? Any other game?
 

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AFL 2021 AFL Round 23

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