Prediction 2021 Draft Predictions

[Lore]

For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

Resource - 2021 AFL Draft Order

Every trade as it happens!

www.bigfooty.com

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

Following the Trade Period, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

1. North Melbourne
2. GWS Giants
3. Gold Coast Suns
4. Adelaide
5. Hawthorn
6. Fremantle
7. Richmond
8. Fremantle
9. St Kilda
10. West Coast Eagles
11. Essendon
12. Port Adelaide
13. GWS Giants
14. Brisbane Lions
15. Richmond
16. Sydney Swans
17. Melbourne
18. Brisbane Lions

 

[M Malice]

1. North Melbourne Kangaroos > Jason Horne-Francis.
2. Collingwood Magpies > Nick Daicos. (BID)
3. Western Bulldogs > Sam Darcy. (BID)
4. GWS Giants > Josh Gibcus.
5. Gold Coast Suns > Finn Callaghan.
6. Adelaide Crows > Ben Hobbs.
7. Hawthorn Hawks > Neil Erasmus.
8. Carlton Blues > Josh Goater.
9. Richmond Tigers > Josh Sinn.
10. Fremantle Dockers > Arlo Draper.
11. St. Kilda Saints > Josh Rachele.
12. West Coast Eagles > Campbell Chesser.
13. Essendon Bombers > Tyler Sonsie.
14. GWS Giants > Josh Ward.
15. Sydney Swans > Mac Andrew.
16. Brisbane Lions > Matthew Roberts.
17. Richmond Tigers > Jye Amiss.
18. Port Adelaide Power > Matthew Johnson.
19. Brisbane Lions > Darcy Wilmot.

 

[RedmanWasHere]

1. North Melbourne: Jason Horne. (No brainer.)
2. Footscray: Sam Darcy. (GWS pulling the ultimate swerve here.)
3. Collingwood: Nick Daicos.
4. GWS Giants: (from Collingwood) Josh Gibcus.
5. Gold Coast: Ben Hobbs.
6. Adelaide: Finn Callaghan.
7. Hawthorn: Neil Erasmus.
8. Carlton: Josh Sinn.
9. Richmond: Matthew Roberts.
10. Fremantle: Josh Goater.
11. GWS Giants: Josh Fahey.
12. St Kilda: Arlo Draper.
13. West Coast: Mitch Knevitt.
14. Essendon: Jacob Van Rooyen.
15. GWS Giants: Josh Rachele.
16. Sydney: Jye Amiss.
17. Footscray: Ned Long.
18. Brisbane Lions: Darcy Wilmot.
19. Richmond: (from Geelong) Charlie Molan.
20. Port Adelaide: Josh Ward.
21. Melbourne: Mac Andrew.
22. Brisbane Lions: (from Melbourne) Rhett Bazzo.
23. Gold Coast: (Priority pick) Lewis Rayson.

 

[briztoon]

I did one for the non finalists last night.

The first 5 picks were relatively straight forward, after that Adelaide and Hawks received who I have as best available.

Carlton was a dilemma. They have a few inside mids, but none as good as Hobbs, apart from that Cripps bloke.

Fremantle I had a hard time deciding. They really need a KPF. More than any of the mids available at their selection. Ideally they would trade back a few spots if possible, and pick up some extra value. Anyway, seeing as I can’t trade their pick, they reached a little for Amiss.

1. North Melbourne. Jason Horne.
2. Collingwood. Nick Daicos. (Bid Matched)
3. Western Bulldogs. Sam Darcy. (Bid Matched)
4. GWS. Finn Callaghan.
5. Gold Coast. Josh Gibcus.
6. Adelaide. Neil Erasmus.
7. Hawthorn. Josh Goater.
8. Carlton. Ben Hobbs.
9. Richmond. Josh Ward.
10. Fremantle. Jye Amiss.
11. St. Kilda. Tyler Sonsie.
12. West Coast. Matthew Johnson.
13. Essendon. Arlo Draper.
14. GWS. Mac Andrew.
15. Sydney. Mitch Knevitt.
16. Brisbane. Josh Sinn.
17. Richmond. Campbell Chesser.
18. Port. Matthew Roberts.
19. Brisbane. Josh Rachelle.

 

[Green Hammer]

I did one for the non finalists last night.

The first 5 picks were relatively straight forward, after that Adelaide and Hawks received who I have as best available.

Carlton was a dilemma. They have a few inside mids, but none as good as Hobbs, apart from that Cripps bloke.

Fremantle I had a hard time deciding. They really need a KPF. More than any of the mids available at their selection. Ideally they would trade back a few spots if possible, and pick up some extra value. Anyway, seeing as I can’t trade their pick, they reached a little for Amiss.

1. North Melbourne. Jason Horne.
2. Collingwood. Josh Daicos.
3. Western Bulldogs. Sam Darcy.
4. GWS. Finn Callaghan.
5. Gold Coast. Josh Gibcus.
6. Adelaide. Neil Erasmus.
7. Hawthorn. Josh Goater.
8. Carlton. Ben Hobbs.
9. Richmond. Josh Ward.
10. Fremantle. Jye Amiss.
11. St. Kilda. Tyler Sonsie.
12. West Coast. Matthew Johnson.
13. Essendon. Arlo Draper.
14. GWS. Mac Andrew.
15. Sydney. Mitch Knevitt.
16. Brisbane. Josh Sinn.
17. Richmond. Campbell Chesser.
18. Port. Matthew Roberts.
19. Brisbane. Josh Rachelle.

Why have you got the order wrong

 

[briztoon]

Why have you got the order wrong

What’s wrong?

 

[briztoon]

See Lore

I did, repeatedly. Why don’t you just tell me.

 

[Giant Strides]

I can't see anything wrong with the order.

 

[PMBangers]

I did, repeatedly. Why don’t you just tell me.

If I had to guess it'll be a 'Richmond have Pick 7' scenario

 

[Yabadoo22]

1-north: Jason Horne-Francis
2-pies: Josh daicos

7

Josh Daicos

Age

25

Ht

178cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.6

4star

K

8.3

3star

HB

7.3

5star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.6

5star

CL

1.3

3star

D

16.2

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.5

4star

CL

1.5

4star

D

13.8

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

1.2

4star

(bid matched)
3-dogs: Sam Darcy (bid matched)
4-gws: Finn Callaghan
5-suns: Josh gibcus
6-crows: Matt roberts
7-hawks: Tyler sonsie
8-blues: Ben Hobbs
9-tigers: Josh Rachele
10-freo: Jye amiss
11-st.k: Josh sinn
12-Eagles: Neil erasmus
13-ess: Mac Andrew
14-gws: Campbell chesser
15-syd: arlo Draper
16-bris: Sam butler

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

17-Rich: Josh ward
18-Port: Josh goatee
19-Bris: Connor MacDonald

with very limited games this year it’s very hard to pick after the clear top 3. Pretty confident with Callaghan at 4 but who knows. Suns screaming out for some key defensive depth so think they go gibcus. Crows need mids, unsure if roberts is best available but an Adelaide boy so just makes sense. No idea where sonsie will end up, anywhere from 5-15 for me. Hobbs is your safe bet IMO, can’t go wrong with him and blues need help in the middle. Rachele is a bit of a wildcard which I think Richmond can afford to take. Amiss may be to high but there is a lack of key forwards early and the local boy makes sense for freo. The saints desperately need midfield class so could see them taking Erasmus, but sinn may be to good to pass up. Andrew to bombers makes sense with there stacked midfield. After that it’s a bit of a raffle IMO

 

[foj1]

1-north: Jason Horne-Francis
2-pies: Josh daicos (bid matched)
3-dogs: Sam Darcy (bid matched)
4-gws: Finn Callaghan
5-suns: Josh gibcus
6-crows: Matt roberts
7-hawks: Tyler sonsie
8-blues: Ben Hobbs
9-tigers: Josh Rachele
10-freo: Jye amiss
11-st.k: Josh sinn
12-Eagles: Neil erasmus
13-ess: Mac Andrew
14-gws: Campbell chesser
15-syd: arlo Draper
16-bris: Sam butler
17-Rich: Josh ward
18-Port: Josh goatee
19-Bris: Connor MacDonald

with very limited games this year it’s very hard to pick after the clear top 3. Pretty confident with Callaghan at 4 but who knows. Suns screaming out for some key defensive depth so think they go gibcus. Crows need mids, unsure if roberts is best available but an Adelaide boy so just makes sense. No idea where sonsie will end up, anywhere from 5-15 for me. Hobbs is your safe bet IMO, can’t go wrong with him and blues need help in the middle. Rachele is a bit of a wildcard which I think Richmond can afford to take. Amiss may be to high but there is a lack of key forwards early and the local boy makes sense for freo. The saints desperately need midfield class so could see them taking Erasmus, but sinn may be to good to pass up. Andrew to bombers makes sense with there stacked midfield. After that it’s a bit of a raffle IMO

Bombers have Draper and Bryan
makes little sense to take Andrew who looks best in the ruck I reckon
from your draft Draper looks a better fit

 

[Jen2310]

I did one for the non finalists last night.

The first 5 picks were relatively straight forward, after that Adelaide and Hawks received who I have as best available.

Carlton was a dilemma. They have a few inside mids, but none as good as Hobbs, apart from that Cripps bloke.

Fremantle I had a hard time deciding. They really need a KPF. More than any of the mids available at their selection. Ideally they would trade back a few spots if possible, and pick up some extra value. Anyway, seeing as I can’t trade their pick, they reached a little for Amiss.

1. North Melbourne. Jason Horne.
2. Collingwood. Josh Daicos.
3. Western Bulldogs. Sam Darcy.
4. GWS. Finn Callaghan.
5. Gold Coast. Josh Gibcus.
6. Adelaide. Neil Erasmus.
7. Hawthorn. Josh Goater.
8. Carlton. Ben Hobbs.
9. Richmond. Josh Ward.
10. Fremantle. Jye Amiss.
11. St. Kilda. Tyler Sonsie.
12. West Coast. Matthew Johnson.
13. Essendon. Arlo Draper.
14. GWS. Mac Andrew.
15. Sydney. Mitch Knevitt.
16. Brisbane. Josh Sinn.
17. Richmond. Campbell Chesser.
18. Port. Matthew Roberts.
19. Brisbane. Josh Rachelle.

1-north: Jason Horne-Francis
2-pies: Josh daicos (bid matched)
3-dogs: Sam Darcy (bid matched)
4-gws: Finn Callaghan
5-suns: Josh gibcus
6-crows: Matt roberts
7-hawks: Tyler sonsie
8-blues: Ben Hobbs
9-tigers: Josh Rachele
10-freo: Jye amiss
11-st.k: Josh sinn
12-Eagles: Neil erasmus
13-ess: Mac Andrew
14-gws: Campbell chesser
15-syd: arlo Draper
16-bris: Sam butler
17-Rich: Josh ward
18-Port: Josh goatee
19-Bris: Connor MacDonald

with very limited games this year it’s very hard to pick after the clear top 3. Pretty confident with Callaghan at 4 but who knows. Suns screaming out for some key defensive depth so think they go gibcus. Crows need mids, unsure if roberts is best available but an Adelaide boy so just makes sense. No idea where sonsie will end up, anywhere from 5-15 for me. Hobbs is your safe bet IMO, can’t go wrong with him and blues need help in the middle. Rachele is a bit of a wildcard which I think Richmond can afford to take. Amiss may be to high but there is a lack of key forwards early and the local boy makes sense for freo. The saints desperately need midfield class so could see them taking Erasmus, but sinn may be to good to pass up. Andrew to bombers makes sense with there stacked midfield. After that it’s a bit of a raffle IMO

Josh Daicos? Did we go back to 2016?

 

[GWS Goose]

Ill have a crack. Not as knowledgeable as the better draft watchers.

1. North Melbourne Jason Horne-Francis
2. Western Bulldogs Sam Darcy (Matched)
3. Collingwood Nick Daicos (Matched)
4. GWS Giants Finn Callaghan
5. Gold Coast Josh Gibcus
6. Adelaide Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn Tyler Sonsie
8. Carlton Josh Rachelle
9. Richmond Josh Goater
10. Fremantle Neil Erasmus
11. St Kilda Arlo Draper
12. West Coast Matt Johnson
13. Essendon Jye Amiss
14. GWS Giants Josh Sinn
15. Sydney Mac Andrew
16. Western Bulldogs (used on Darcy bid)
17. Brisbane Lions Campbell Chesser
18. Richmond (from Geelong) Josh Ward
19. Port Adelaide Matt Roberts
20. Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne) Sam Butler
    Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

 

[Golumless]

I got you fam:

1. North Melbourne: pass
2. GWS Giants (from Collingwood): pass
3. Gold Coast: pass
4. Adelaide: Horne
5. Hawthorn: pass
6. Carlton: pass
7. Richmond: pass
8. Fremantle: pass
9. St Kilda: pass
10. West Coast: pass
11. Essendon: pass
12. GWS Giants: pass
13. Sydney: pass
14. Western Bulldogs: pass
15. Brisbane Lions: pass
16. Richmond (from Geelong): pass
17. Port Adelaide: pass
18. Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne): pass

 

[Chaisa]

Maybe I'm not completely in the know, but it does feel like this draft seems more poorly defined compared to others due to a lack of footy over the last couple of years. Which is to say, I think there may be surprises in the crop.

 

[Gratees]

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
3. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Tyler Sonsie
8. Carlton - Josh Ward
9. Richmond - Josh Rachele
10. Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
11. St Kilda - Josh Goater
12. West Coast - Josh Sinn
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. GWS - Jye Amiss
15. Sydney - Mac Andrew
16. Brisbane - Sam Butler
    Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]
17. Richmond - Matthew Roberts
18. Port Adelaide - Matthew Johnson
19. Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
    
    Ive never really done any form of phantom draft before but i put that together.

 

[Giant Strides]

4 - GWS - Josh Gibcus
14 - GWS - Jye Amiss

Ive never really done any form of phantom draft before but i put that together.

I would think that scenario is possible for GWS, if the draft order remained as it currently stands. However, I think that the Cerra trade will screw up that scenario, and Freo might take Erasmus with the Carlton pick they'll receive then Amiss with their own, before GWS can pick.

 

[briztoon]

I would think that scenario is possible for GWS, if the draft order remained as it currently stands. However, I think that the Cerra trade will screw up that scenario, and Freo might take Erasmus with the Carlton pick they'll receive then Amiss with their own, before GWS can pick.

That’s my read of things, if Erasmus makes it to Fremantle’s first pick. I’d reckon Adelaide would be a strong change to take Erasmus.

 

[briztoon]

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
3. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Tyler Sonsie
8. Carlton - Josh Ward
9. Richmond - Josh Rachele
10. Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
11. St Kilda - Josh Goater
12. West Coast - Josh Sinn
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. GWS - Jye Amiss
15. Sydney - Mac Andrew
16. Brisbane - Sam Butler
17. Richmond - Matthew Roberts
18. Port Adelaide - Matthew Johnson
19. Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
    
    Ive never really done any form of phantom draft before but i put that together.

Not sure Lions would consider Butler.

Johnson, Chesser, Wilmot and Wanganee-Milera.

 

[Jirik13]

As Suns fan I am intrigued by who GWS will take with pick 3. Most of you here have Callaghan as GWS choice. What is the chance they will go with Gibcus? GWS midfield is loaded, 2 defenders went down with ACLs. I guess they will go with the best player available. Both look great talent to me. I assume Suns would prefer Gibcus to boost defence stock.

 

[Gratees]

As as Suns fan I am intrigued by who GWS will take with pick 3. Most of you here have Callaghan as GWS choice. What is the chance they will go with Gibcus? GWS midfield is loaded, 2 defenders went down with ACLs. I guess they will go with the best player available. Both look great talent to me. I assume Suns would prefer Gibcus to boost defence stock.

I reckon they take Gibcus and Callaghan drops to the suns

 

[Gratees]

Not sure Lions would consider Butler.

Johnson, Chesser, Wilmot and Wanganee-Milera.

Ok, I admit i didnt really know who to pick for Brisbane so i just picked kinda randomly for them

 

[Giant Strides]

As Suns fan I am intrigued by who GWS will take with pick 3. Most of you here have Callaghan as GWS choice. What is the chance they will go with Gibcus? GWS midfield is loaded, 2 defenders went down with ACLs. I guess they will go with the best player available. Both look great talent to me. I assume Suns would prefer Gibcus to boost defence stock.

60-40 at the moment.

Key Defender is a need, both from a perspective that Phil Davis is rapidly coming to the end of his career and that we have two with long term injuries, so Josh Gibcus a big chance.

But with pick 2 giving us a chance at Finn Callaghan, he would provide a point of difference to our other mids - a speedy balanced midfielder - and would be ''best available''. If we take him, we do need to work out who we could get for the KPD role, either in a trade, DFA, or a later trade back into the national draft.

We would realise Gibcus will be off the board with the pick after ours if GCS stay at pick 3; and several other clubs would be similarly minded if Suns trade their pick.

Could go either way IMHO at this point.

 

[briztoon]

Ok, I admit i didnt really know who to pick for Brisbane so i just picked kinda randomly for them

That’s all good.

 

[SumaGodCoach]

1. North Melbourne - Jason Horne
2. Collingwood - Nick Daicos
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
4. GWS Giants (from Collingwood) - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Arlo Draper
7. Hawthorn - Tyler Sonsie
8. Carlmantle - Neil Erasmus
9. Richmond - Mac Andrew
10. Fremantle - Jye Amiss
11. St Kilda - Josh Rachele
12. West Coast - Ben Hobbs
13. Essendon - Josh Ward
14. GWS Giants - Josh Sinn
15. Sydney - Campbell Chesser
16. Brisbane Lions - Josh Goater
17. Richmond (from Geelong) - Mitch Knevitt
18. Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne) - Jack Williams