- Jul 14, 2005
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- #1,901
The rationale behind my opinion on Carlton's prospects are much more detailed than what you suggest.
If I were to predict Carlton's medium term fortunes, I would say that if a lot goes right, they sneak into the finals in 2 or 3 of the next handful of years, and may sneak a finals win.
Will they contend with this iteration of rebuild? No, I don't believe they will.
Which is just bizarre given how much changes on a yearly basis, newfound flexibility with future trading, live trading, players breaking contracts early, clubs shopping contracted players (eg Treloar), increases in TPP and also the possibility of going 5% above or below the threshold in your cap.
Lists aren't static things. You either have some good pieces to work around, or you don't - the rest can be completely reformulated. Crystal balling 3-4 years into the future is a huge waste of time, and you've got form butchering predictions from 6 months ago.
It's hard to take you seriously at the best of times.