AFL 2022 AFL Round 4

[benji21]

Humidity is up tonight, will want to see the field on tv before betting on O/Us. Adelaide can get pretty greasy.

 

[GROTTO]

Humidity is up tonight, will want to see the field on tv before betting on O/Us. Adelaide can get pretty greasy.

At the moment, zero cloud cover, its cooled down, zero breeze.

 

[benji21]

At the moment, zero cloud cover, its cooled down, zero breeze.

Perfect weather for dewy conditions.

 

[GROTTO]

Perfect weather for dewy conditions.

Stuart ?

 

[GROTTO]

The hush across the Punting Board is deafening.

Degenerates getting their last bets in with just under an hour to go.

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u - Fritsch 2+ goals - $1.74 - TopSport
1u - Fritsch 3+ goals - $3.15 - TopSport
Odds out to a backable price now. In 2021 and 2022 he has gone 18/27 (66%) for 2+ goals and 10/27 (37%). Strike rate better than odds. Has yet to kick a bag of 3 this season but you get the feeling he’s ready to explode some time soon without Brown in the side. Has been slightly inaccurate this year (55%) compared to last year (71%), he’ll be aware of this and looking to fix it up tonight. Port backline looking vulnerable and he’ll be eager for a big one.

 

[GROTTO]

2u - Fritsch 2+ goals - $1.74 - TopSport
1u - Fritsch 3+ goals - $3.15 - TopSport
Odds out to a backable price now. In 2021 and 2022 he has gone 18/27 (66%) for 2+ goals and 10/27 (37%). Strike rate better than odds. Has yet to kick a bag of 3 this season but you get the feeling he’s ready to explode some time soon without Brown in the side. Has been slightly inaccurate this year (55%) compared to last year (71%), he’ll be aware of this and looking to fix it up tonight. Port backline looking vulnerable and he’ll be eager for a big one.

If Gollant and the "wrong" Berg could kick 4+, glory be.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

2.5u - Zurhaar AGS - $1.87 - 365

I know they’re predicting a bit of rain in Sydney on the weekend, but this price for a guy that kicked 31.21 in a 14 game stretch last year?! Must have. Only 0.3 so far this year but you get the feeling he’s well due... would really be betting up further if we had some dry weather.

He has the talent to kick five goals on anybody, but his formline is woeful.

Can barely get a kick let alone find the goals.

I wouldn't be buying train tickets for him with free money.

 

[windyhill]

Port to lead @ halftime. Either 1-12 or 13-24.

 

[Atavistic]

Florent named forward. I'll take him 1-3 at B365 at 2.25/6.50/29.

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

 

[Ohh Ok]

He has the talent to kick five goals on anybody, but his formline is woeful.

Can barely get a kick let alone find the goals.

I wouldn't be buying train tickets for him with free money.

Value aint there for the trains, but value there for a scooter ride

 

[Selim]

Pickett 2,3,4 @3.10, 8.50, 26

Mayes 2,3,4 @4.20,14,46

Spargo 2,3 @5, 19

McEntee 1,2,3 @2.63, 11, 52.50

Jackson 2,3,4,5 @4.50,14, 51, 327

 

[GROTTO]

Pickett 2,3,4 @3.10, 8.50, 26

Mayes 2,3,4 @4.20,14,46

Spargo 2,3 @5, 19

McEntee 1,2,3 @2.63, 11, 52.50

Jackson 2,3,4,5 @4.50,14, 51, 327

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u - Melbourne -8.5 SH - $1.90 - TAB

 

[BloodRet]

Spargo Pickett Motlop Mayes all 2 @120

 

[jikost]

I'm placing this bet every week until he does it again - Gawn 5+ @ $1801.

 

[Robo87]

tailed fritsch 2/3 @1.73/ 3.15 ts
Weid train 3/4/5 @ 5/ 14/ 38 sb
SPP 1/2/3/4/5 @1.80/ 5.20/ 17/ 51/ 576 b365, lads, sb
Mayes 1/2/3/4/5 @1.80/ 4.22/ 14/ 46/ 201 sb

 

[GROTTO]

I'm placing this bet every week until he does it again - Gawn 5+ @ $1801.

Collect on GF day.

 

[Its not the coach]

Same game multi
Pickett 2+G
Georgeardies 2+G
Viney 20+Dis
Brayshaw 20+Dis
@12 SB

 

[Selim]

actually 1 late one ROZEE 3,4,5 @11, 41,175

 

[Jammer]

Reckon Dees are a solid chance of being flat in this spot... Ports motivation level should be high.
Melb are coasting and obviously good enough to get the job done with the odd
10 minute burst.
That being said
They have fallen behind by close to 3 goals to the Dogs and Gold Coast in the 2nd qrt. The Bombers got a goal in front of them in the 3rd qrt.

Port plus 17.5 $2 Ladbrokes I will try and middle this line if Port trade odds on.

 

[GROTTO]

actually 1 late one ROZEE 3,4,5 @11, 41,175

If he kicks 5 glory be.

 

[The_Steadier]

Throwing a few coins at a fritch most goals + clarrie most possies combo + a melb fwd to kick 1st, 2nd or 3rd goal + a few other random possies and AGS.

For example:

 

[Selim]

If he kicks 5 glory be.

been under performing like crazy, media starting to get into him even cornes and when he has kicked 5 its usually against good teams

stars aligning tonight lol