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Yeah it was, going to be interesting how this government works given it looks like the greens and teal are going to have a big say.
But it wasn’t just climate change, ScoMo was hated, that’s all we’ve been hearing from anyone who didn’t vote Libs, but they also didn’t like Labor so they’ve piled their votes into the greens and independents as protest.
Finally the government has been in for 3 terms and when you’ve got an unpopular leader you’re pushing s**t uphill.
The issue is the LNP have lost so many moderates leaving the right, it’s going to be a challenge winning these voters back. Labor are going to really duck up and the parliament not work for that to happen.
Only in the Senate, as the ALP will in all likelihood will end up with a majority in the HOR.
If you have a look at the individual seats where the Teals were - ALP vote strategically declined. The ALP/Greens primary vote will be 45%.
Now what is known
Swing is currently 3.5% and will end up with 2PP around 52-48 or slightly higher which is consistent with the polls in the last week
ALP primary vote will still be about the same as 2013 and yet will form government (increasing seats from 55 to around 76+)
Coalition primary vote will drop around 10% from 2013 and will cost them around 30 seats (from 90 seats won in 2013) and its primary has been dropping each election in 2016, 2019 and now 2022.