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AFL AFL Futures 2023

  • Thread starter Thread starter NonPhixion
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I was looking at the Coleman and Brownlow odds last night. Dan McStay was 251/1 for the Coleman and Dusty was 51/1 for the Brownlow. If you'd put $100 on them as a multi the payout was over 1 2M. But off the back of last night's intraclub match McStay's odds for the Coleman have already been slashed to 101/1. Probably because he looked lively and the Pies have signalled that he'll be playing full forward.
 
Bont brownlow $15 tab

No Dunkley, less forward time and carried injury last year. Hurt his shoulder late 2021 and cost him the chaz. Flying in preseason.

Ashcroft rs $3.50 pb

Starting midfielder for a likely top team. Better numbers than Walsh in juniors.

IMO injury is the only thing stopping these two.

Witts AA $8.50 pb

There’s not much competition. Gawn and Grundy same team make it hard for either to stand out, Darcy sharing with Jackson and interrupted preseason, English has had 3 interruptions. Witts is rucking by himself, done every session this year and has a great midfield to tap to. Doesnt miss games outside his acl.
 
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I was looking at the Coleman and Brownlow odds last night. Dan McStay was 251/1 for the Coleman and Dusty was 51/1 for the Brownlow. If you'd put $100 on them as a multi the payout was over 1 2M. But off the back of last night's intraclub match McStay's odds for the Coleman have already been slashed to 101/1. Probably because he looked lively and the Pies have signalled that he'll be playing full forward.

McStay could play full forward with no defender and I’d still be confident he wouldn’t win the Coleman.
 
McStay to Pies really does have Quinten Lynch and Jesse White vibes to it.
 
If anyone is keen on Ashcroft for rising star you can get rs win and 10+ brownlow votes for $11 at betr
You'd assume the two go hand in hand. If he gets 10+ votes, then surely he wins the RS Award.
 
Has anyone ever bet on the O/U for a team's wins and the team got a draw and landed right in the middle?

For an NBA game you can bet +8 for example and if the team loses by 8 it's a "push" and you get your money back.

I assume this is what would happen with O/U in the team betting, but it isn't part of the AFL betting culture (getting a push), so I could potentially see some skulduggery where they count it as a loss.
 

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Has anyone ever bet on the O/U for a team's wins and the team got a draw and landed right in the middle?

For an NBA game you can bet +8 for example and if the team loses by 8 it's a "push" and you get your money back.

I assume this is what would happen with O/U in the team betting, but it isn't part of the AFL betting culture (getting a push), so I could potentially see some skulduggery where they count it as a loss.

Don’t think this will be an issue in this market as all selections should have a 0.5, there will be no selections that can push, regardless of draws.
 
Don’t think this will be an issue in this market as all selections should have a 0.5, there will be no selections that can push, regardless of draws.
No, draws are what give rise to the possibility of a push - that is if they are actually recognised by the bookies.

If a team's line is 8.5 (9 wins or more = win/ 8 wins or less = loss), then 8 wins and a draw is 8.5, and it is what?

A push in Australian AFL betting? Or a win or a loss?

PB's terms say a draw counts as .5, but they ommitt to say whether that means they will acknowledge a push in the event a team's wins lands in the middle.
 
No, draws are what give rise to the possibility of a push - that is if they are actually recognised by the bookies.

If a team's line is 8.5 (9 wins or more = win/ 8 wins or less = loss), then 8 wins and a draw is 8.5, and it is what?

A push in Australian AFL betting? Or a win or a loss?

PB's terms say a draw counts as .5, but they ommitt to say whether that means they will acknowledge a push in the event a team's wins lands in the middle.

I doubt they'd push. If they land on 8.5 wins then they aren't over or under 8.5 wins so PB likely take both, sort of like spinning green on the roulette wheel.
 
I doubt they'd push. If they land on 8.5 wins then they aren't over or under 8.5 wins so PB likely take both, sort of like spinning green on the roulette wheel.

Lol absolutely not. The options on the table for them would be a push (most likely) or trying to weasel the under as the winner as "technically" they won less than 8.5 games. Would just be whether they deem the draw as half a win or as separate result.

Wouldnt hurt to get confirmation either way
 
I doubt they'd push. If they land on 8.5 wins then they aren't over or under 8.5 wins so PB likely take both, sort of like spinning green on the roulette wheel.
Yeah, I found this "3.20.1 Season Wins - You are betting on a team to win more (or less) matches than the line quoted. For example, Essendon Over/Under 7.5 wins." on Dabble.

With other bets on their terms page they stipulate what happens when there's a "tie", but nothing of the sort for season wins. Makes me feel like it's a butter up for house claims all.

There's about 1.5 draws a year on average.

With how accurate bookies are at making lines it is unsettling to think you may be betting on a market where they will be taking all the money that was placed on 3 of the 18 selections for themselves.
 

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I would think a draw would not count as a half a win.
If it was the case wouldn’t they frame the market as premiership points over/under (as in 4 points the win, 2 points the draw)

A draw is not a half a win.
A draw is a draw
 
Since when is a draw a win? Its over/under wins.. if you win 8 and draw 2 say, its still 8 wins..

If an AFL match ends in a draw they don't mark both sides of H2H bets as a loss
 
Come on Paris, apples to oranges, it’s WINS for the season, head to head totally different bet..

It's a bet offering only two out comes where a third outcome occurs - its exactly the same
 
It's a bet offering only two out comes where a third outcome occurs - its exactly the same
Wins for the season and head to head on an individual match are the same?
The bet is number of wins for the season??? What don’t you understand?
Read it again, WINS for the season..
WINS
 

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