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Werewolf BEaston Basic* WW Part V - Vampires Win!

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With the Head Vamp gone they're killing, I want to use my Protect action due to the sheer number of potential kills tonight.
I was going to suggest you kill me. Better than half odds you hit evil if I have my count right and there’s five left (two vamp, one mafia, one wolf and a wolfy soul, assuming no double ups). I guess the downside is you can’t kill the Alpha so a hit on them will come back unsuccessful, with you no wiser who they are.

If the action changes instead worst thing that can happen is you stop me killing por overnight. A seer will clear me and a protect would be a bonus.

That said, happy to back in your judgement - just keep us informed.
 
The other downside is you hit a good role. 😂 But evil won’t be able to plan around that anyway so not even a guarantee you won’t just double up on someone already being targeted with all those available kills.
 
A more interesting question for the village is do we think there’s much likelihood the wolves will hold on to their extra kill? At this point I think they’re incentivised to help eradicate vamps tomorrow and then try it on the following night.
 

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A more interesting question for the village is do we think there’s much likelihood the wolves will hold on to their extra kill? At this point I think they’re incentivised to help eradicate vamps tomorrow and then try it on the following night.
I think they'd use it to try and get rid of the Mafia and/or Vampires to get that side of their win con complete.
 
And we recruited him. That clears him right?
Niecy Nash Finger Wag GIF by Glaad
 
And we recruited him. That clears him right?
Speaking of cleared - I obviously did follow through with the roleblock on DP last night, corroborated by the vamps not achieving their kill action (which DP is responsible for). Are you guys finally convinced?
 
I was going to suggest you kill me. Better than half odds you hit evil if I have my count right and there’s five left (two vamp, one mafia, one wolf and a wolfy soul, assuming no double ups). I guess the downside is you can’t kill the Alpha so a hit on them will come back unsuccessful, with you no wiser who they are.

If the action changes instead worst thing that can happen is you stop me killing por overnight. A seer will clear me and a protect would be a bonus.

That said, happy to back in your judgement - just keep us informed.
Equally Chip you could use your kill on yourself? If you roleblock yourself it doesn’t matter, you get less out of a seer but more out of your protect )in that, you know what you are 100%).

If the kill gets redirected it is what it is - again evil are probably looking to decimate us anyway. Play the roulette.
 

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Equally Chip you could use your kill on yourself? If you roleblock yourself it doesn’t matter, you get less out of a seer but more out of your protect )in that, you know what you are 100%).

If the kill gets redirected it is what it is - again evil are probably looking to decimate us anyway. Play the roulette.
They could hit the same person!
 
Equally Chip you could use your kill on yourself? If you roleblock yourself it doesn’t matter, you get less out of a seer but more out of your protect )in that, you know what you are 100%).

If the kill gets redirected it is what it is - again evil are probably looking to decimate us anyway. Play the roulette.

I'm at my lunchbreak and thinking of the numbers now (though haven't thought for too long so correct me if I'm wrong!)

If I kill and I kill someone, out of the 9 players:
  • 1 will not work (Alpha)
  • 1 is definitely evil (the mafia)
  • 1 is presumably recruited vampire porps (the final Drifting Soul)
  • 6 of us are good roles / recruited flog, and up to one of us could be a Vampire recruit.

So if I kill at random it's 3/9 evil, 5/9 good but maybe recruited, 1/9 fail.
If I protect it's 4/9 I protect a good and unrecruited person.
 
I was going to suggest you kill me. Better than half odds you hit evil if I have my count right and there’s five left (two vamp, one mafia, one wolf and a wolfy soul, assuming no double ups). I guess the downside is you can’t kill the Alpha so a hit on them will come back unsuccessful, with you no wiser who they are.

If the action changes instead worst thing that can happen is you stop me killing por overnight. A seer will clear me and a protect would be a bonus.

That said, happy to back in your judgement - just keep us informed.

I used MC's table and is the 'wolfy soul' porps?
 
I'm at my lunchbreak and thinking of the numbers now (though haven't thought for too long so correct me if I'm wrong!)

If I kill and I kill someone, out of the 9 players:
  • 1 will not work (Alpha)
  • 1 is definitely evil (the mafia)
  • 1 is presumably recruited vampire porps (the final Drifting Soul)
  • 6 of us are good roles / recruited flog, and up to one of us could be a Vampire recruit.

So if I kill at random it's 3/9 evil, 5/9 good but maybe recruited, 1/9 fail.
If I protect it's 4/9 I protect a good and unrecruited person.
With the kills on the table a protect makes the most sense.
 

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If Tarks is correct and there's an additional wolf I didn't consider that becomes:

Kill at random - 4/9 evil, 4/9 good but maybe recruited, 1/9 fail.
Protect - 3/9 I protect a good and unrecruited person.

So it does make a difference, then again it goes down to what evil do of course.
 
Chip I reckon you should "protect" THB.

I'm going to placehold this and have a look in the evening, goes down to what the role count is.

I will action THB even if I switch to kill.
 
I used MC's table and is the 'wolfy soul' porps?
Yeah perhaps, I was just working through the combinations in my head and kept tripping up on the last one.

There’s six ordinarily good roles, possibly one but almost certainly not two of which may have been recruited (because wtf Porps). Then we have a mainstream wolf, a mainstream mafia and if Porps initial claims are to be believed, a departed soul vampire (can she possibly have a second alignment?) Plus one vampire not entirely accounted for yet, that could theoretically be anyone.

I think your maths was right.
 
As an aside, I can offer the question I offered my class during lunch:

When you write the country in capital letters, name 5 countries which has no enclosed areas.

Eg. SPAIN is wrong as it has an enclosed area in the P and the A.
 

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Werewolf BEaston Basic* WW Part V - Vampires Win!

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