- Oct 5, 2023
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- #201
If hawks win dewy will be in here gloating. Doesn't matter. Going into this game it ain't 50-50.
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Which side fails to play in September?
- Thread starter PowerfulPies2023
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Art Vandelay_
OhhYessssss
- Oct 28, 2012
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Dogs vs Giants tonight is an elimination final for the dogs.
IF they lose they only way I can get them in the 8 is by beating Freo in the last round.
And mixing 50:50 games I've managed to get WB, Haw, Fre and Lions to 9th.
IF they lose they only way I can get them in the 8 is by beating Freo in the last round.
And mixing 50:50 games I've managed to get WB, Haw, Fre and Lions to 9th.
- Oct 5, 2023
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- #203
Dogs paying g 1.42 is ridiculous no way they shoukd be that short.
Edited they shouldn't even start favourites. 1.90 at best for this mob.
Edited they shouldn't even start favourites. 1.90 at best for this mob.
Last edited:
Mr MysteryGuest
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- Apr 4, 2015
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The dogs will make it.
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- Oct 5, 2023
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- #205
Crows into 1.39 now after opening at 1.50
- Oct 5, 2023
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- #206
Lose tonight and they have to hope hawks finish the season poorly.
No margin for error.
Collingwood never beat Hawthorn twice during the H&A season
Haven’t done it since the 1970s
I’m more confident that the pies will beat the crows at AO
Atleast I know I’ll have free rent in your head if I ever been homeless
- Sep 6, 2011
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Wow some dude put 50K on the Hawks to miss the 8
Might be pretty smart tbh
Might be pretty smart tbh
kaiserchief13
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Lose to Adelaide, Brisbane and Collingwood and Hawthorn = 9th. Dogs are a lock for at least 14-9 and their % is far superior. GWS have North and St Kilda so they should be a lock for 15 wins. Fremantle have Carlton at home, with some tricky games of Port away, Brisbane home and Dogs away so they could potentially go 1-3 from that and finish on 14-9, though unlikely, surely they will be at least 15-8.
No one really knows tbh.
Hawthorn could win tomorrow and solidify top 8.
GWS been belted tonight and they could easily lose to everyone bar North.
Dogs/Freo play each other which will be important for who plays who and where for finals if both make it.
Hawthorn could knock off one of the top 3 and still miss finals on 15 wins! Given Dogs will start favourites in all 3 of their games and Freo will be favourites in both their home games and against 11th placed Port.
Quite crazy when 15 wins is normally top 4 and could earn you 9th this season. I remember back in '09, Hawthorn played Essendon in the final round, where the winner got 8th. Hawthorn had won just 9 games for the year! Very possible Hawthorn and Brisbane could play off for a spot in the final round (Doggies vs Freo too) where 15 is not enough!
13 wins has never missed the finals in the AFL era. Crazy.
Carlton missed with 14 wins (top 6) in 1992.
Essendon missed with 14 wins (top 8, but special circumstances) in 2013
I’ll rephrase. 13 wins have never missed finals under the top 8 system. Essendon 2013 doesn’t count
Your rephrased version stands up to analysis.
We now have gather round and 23 rounds. 2013 had 22 rounds.
GWS has entered the chat, particularly with the damage today’s massacre did to their percentage.
It's kind of crazy how GC are sitting 9th but in all reality placeholding 3rd by rounds end with a win over Richmond and the Essendon game in hand.
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Collingwood had 52 points last year. That’s the equivalent of 13 wins
Blues finished 8th with 52 points. Pies missed out by %
- Aug 5, 2012
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Yeah sitting at 111.3% isn't good, considering they still have to play Gold Coast and the Dogs are one game behind them at a massive 137.3%
- Oct 5, 2023
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Probably a bullshit made up stunt to entice people to gamble on whatever. Just like some bloke who put 3 million on Brisbane to win 3 straight grand finals and a 4th back in the early 2000's. You couldn't even put on such a bet.
- Aug 20, 2010
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The Hawks tumble down the ladder begins
We are obviously the favourites to miss and easily have the toughest draw out of teams expected to finish 5th-9th.
Need to win 2 games and need Gws to lose 1 more or Freo to lose 2 same with the Dogs.
It's very much open who misses out. Hawthorn should win one and are probably better than evens to win one of their other two games. If it comes to percentage, you have an edge on Fremantle or GWS.
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