Prediction How Will The Cats Fare in 2025?

[cats_09]

Because the stupid contract with the mcg says the afl have to play x amount of finals there over the long term or compensate the MCC.

It's 10 MCG finals (excluding the GF) over a running 5 year period - excluding the GFs, there's been 12 MCG finals over the past 3 seasons


A key reason we wouldn't get a KP home final isn't too do with the above, but rather that also part of the agreement is that the MCG will host all Vic finals except in the case of multiple finals in Vic on the same day and then Marvel or KP would be utilised

 

[catstorm]

It’s a careful what you wish for scenario but jeez I wouldn’t mind the top 8 to finish like this.

 

[canny30]

It’s a careful what you wish for scenario but jeez I wouldn’t mind the top 8 to finish like this.

View attachment 2391930

4 of the top 5 sides being interstate teams is a dream.

 

[cats_09]

 

[catstorm]

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How are Adelaide the number 1 attack when we have scored 100 more points than them and the Bulldogs have scored over 150 more points then them?

 

[cats_09]

How are Adelaide the number 1 attack when we have scored 100 more points than them and the Bulldogs have scored over 150 more points then them?

It's not simply looking at points scored - the focus on this chart is turnovers, "Score comparison for and against from turnover"

The Turnover Game: Round 22

• Only subtle changes at this time of year
• Collingwood slide to net #3
• Geelong continues to fill up
• West Coast early positives fruiting rewards late

18 of the last 19 premiers have ranked in the top 3 for net score differential


The 1 premier who wasn't ranked in the top 3 for net score differential - Bulldogs 2016, ranked 7th

Source for this info -

 

[catstorm]

It's not simply looking at points scored - the focus on this chart is turnovers, "Score comparison for and against from turnover"

The Turnover Game: Round 22

• Only subtle changes at this time of year
• Collingwood slide to net #3
• Geelong continues to fill up
• West Coast early positives fruiting rewards late

18 of the last 19 premiers have ranked in the top 3 for net score differential


The 1 premier who wasn't ranked in the top 3 for net score differential - Bulldogs 2016, ranked 7th

Source for this info -

Fair enough, if it says we are a flag favorite I’ll take it.

 

[Art Vandelay_]

 

[Gunf]

The amount of 9ths in that list at this point of the season is truly amazing

 

[Jimmy Yamazaki]

Jason Horne from Champion data on Geelong:

Across the season, not just a six week period, across the season, their profile is in

brilliant shape, good health. So, there's only one team in the comp who's got four key

areas ticked off that each Premier has for the last 12 years. Your ability to defend, protect your back half, defend

ball movement, and territory wise. They are number one. So, the only aspect of their game that is a concern is their

inability to defend transition. The best have got them. When they

lock away that and they're okay at defending transition, which should be easier said than done,

everything else in their game is brilliant. Right. So with this new Sydney ball

movement, this aggressive ball movement, it is a perfect audit for them cuz if we sit here on Tuesday

and that has been exposed again, you are who you are. You are who you are.

 

[year of the cat]

The amount of 9ths in that list at this point of the season is truly amazing

And even more amazing that one of the teams isn’t Ninthmond.

 

[Lana]

Can I throw away the lid yet?

 

[Pure_Ownage]

Can I throw away the lid yet?

Only if we flog GC or Collingwood in the QF.

 

[Del216647]

Well, we have again given ourselves the best possible chance of the ultimate success.

Unless Tigers cause the upset of the century, we are locked into an MCG QF, and a minimum of two MCG finals (hopefully a QF/Prelim rather than a QF/Semi).

This is an outstanding result and we must take advantage of this position in a year where the flag is up for grabs.

It's looking increasingly likely our opponent will be the Lions. No doubting they have had the better of us in recent times, but history and past results will mean nothing when the ball is bounced.

Regardless of the opponent, the MCG is a venue we are comfortable at, and a venue where our transition-turnover game, as well as our elite forward line and small pressure forwards can really excel in.

I have high hopes and I suspect Scotty and the club do, too. We have again put ourselves in the best possible position to give this thing a shake.

Get around us; an exciting five-weeks await!

 

[Del216647]

Also, turns out the Saints/Blues losses didn't hurt us. What was important is the big win today and wins against Pies, Crows, Hawks, Dogs etc.

 

[Footy_Fan2007]

Jason Horne from Champion data on Geelong:

I’m looking forward to hearing Tuesdays episode.

 

[Jimmy Yamazaki]

I’m looking forward to hearing Tuesdays episode.

Agree, will be interesting viewing.

 

[Pure_Ownage]

Also, turns out the Saints/Blues losses didn't hurt us. What was important is the big win today and wins against Pies, Crows, Hawks, Dogs etc.

I mean they did hurt us because without them we probably finish top and avoid brisbane (at least until GF day). But i agree we have a great chance to win the flag and must not waste it.

 

[year of the cat]

I mean they did hurt us because without them we probably finish top and avoid brisbane (at least until GF day). But i agree we have a great chance to win the flag and must not waste it.

Rather get them in a QF than a Prelim which would have been the most likely alternative outcome.

 

[Del216647]

I mean they did hurt us because without them we probably finish top and avoid brisbane (at least until GF day). But i agree we have a great chance to win the flag and must not waste it.

Well my thinking is we have to go through Brisbane and beat them at some stage anyway. At least in a QF, should we not be able to, we get another chance.

Won't get that in a prelim or GF if we face them. They also might have some underdone guys for the first final, so I think Brissie week one is not a bad outcome all things considered.

We should have beaten them in the PF at the G (Holmes hammy was a killer), no reason we can't beat them in the QF at the same venue. Lions went into the prelim having the MCG hoodo and a poor record against us. They defied odds and won. History will mean nothing when the ball is bounced.

I think we should be confident in our ability to beat them.

 

[Art Vandelay_]

The big issue for us is that results and likely outcomes next week are making BL week one a good probability.
They have to lose for that to not happen.

But the bigger issue is that we need a Saints upset to not see GWS in 6th or 7th. Which is the side of the draw we'd be on losing week 1.

So we are looking likely to be on the side of the draw that has us staring at the two clubs we're 0-4 against this season.

 

[year of the cat]

The big issue for us is that results and likely outcomes next week are making BL week one a good probability.
They have to lose for that to not happen.

But the bigger issue is that we need a Saints upset to not see GWS in 6th or 7th. Which is the side of the draw we'd be on losing week 1.

So we are looking likely to be on the side of the draw that has us staring at the two clubs we're 0-4 against this season.

I can’t see us going all the way unless we win week 1 of the finals. I assume we’d meet GWS if we lose week 1 in your scenario?

 

[iameviljez]

I can’t see us going all the way unless we win week 1 of the finals. I assume we’d meet GWS if we lose week 1 in your scenario?

Very, very few sides have lost week one and gone on to win as far as I remember. I think Hawthorn did it in 2015, Richmond in 2020, West Coast/Sydney in 05/06 in the last 20 years. All of them also won a PF interstate - a solid, solid effort.

 

[Del216647]

I can’t see us going all the way unless we win week 1 of the finals. I assume we’d meet GWS if we lose week 1 in your scenario?

Yeah I've got us facing GWS in a semi if we lose. Then we'd potentially face Crows in Adelaide or Suns in Qld in a prelim if we get past GWS.

Must beat Lions week one IMO.

 

[Jimmy Yamazaki]

Lions without Hipwood, on top of no Neale and Payne.

I think Dawks are a good chance to knock them off. If they do, then we'll either face Pies or most likely GC if they get enough % against Essendon/Port.

I think that would be the ideal QF for us.