Prediction 2025 Finals Predictions

[cats_09]

 

[The_Koulouriotis_Fan]

Interestingly, tonights game means that the Cats finish the season with the 2nd best attack, 4th best defence and the best percentage . Last year we were the 3rd best attack, the 11th best defence and the 6th best percentage.

 

[Vdubs]

Interestingly when we lost to Brisbane in Round 15, which was the beginning of our 'soft draw' home, we were in 3rd and were in 2nd place the week earlier. So even with a tougher draw home, considering our form, odds are we still would have finish top 4.

And our “soft “draw in the second half is really only because 2024 #1 & 2 teams have dropped off

 

[cats_09]

 

[Whiskers]

And our “soft “draw in the second half is really only because 2024 #1 & 2 teams have dropped off

On our supposed soft draw. I think I’m just going to have to keep posting this stat because even our own fans seem to have fallen into a trap.
Our record against teams we played twice is 7-5
Our record against teams we played once is 10-1

I don’t know who of the teams we played once did people want us to play twice to make our fixture ‘hard’

Sure our back end was easy but we did play the runners up Sydney a week ago who just knocked off Brisbane at the Gabba.

We played 3 of last years top 6 twice and every top 6 side away.

 

[Kobe Gryant]

On our supposed soft draw. I think I’m just going to have to keep posting this stat because even our own fans seem to have fallen into a trap.
Our record against teams we played twice is 7-5
Our record against teams we played once is 10-1

I don’t know who of the teams we played once did people want us to play twice to make our fixture ‘hard’

Sure our back end was easy but we did play the runners up Sydney a week ago who just knocked off Brisbane at the Gabba.

We played 3 of last years top 6 twice and every top 6 side away.

Scott was bang on, there's going to be confirmation bias regardless of the result Friday week.

At the end of the day, if we're good enough, we're good enough. People are going to find a way to discredit Geelong no matter what these days, I just think you have to wear it as a badge of honour.

I do believe we're the best team in it after Brisbane, it just sucks that we have to play them week one.

Obviously, it opens up massively if we win it, and we're playing the Crows minus Rankine, an eight placed Hawthorn, a stumbling Collingwood, or the Giants, with the Giants being the lest preferred outcome IMO.

 

[Whiskers]

Scott was bang on, there's going to be confirmation bias regardless of the result Friday week.

At the end of the day, if we're good enough, we're good enough. People are going to find a way to discredit Geelong no matter what these days, I just think you have to wear it as a badge of honour.

I do believe we're the best team in it after Brisbane, it just sucks that we have to play them week one.

Obviously, it opens up massively if we win it, and we're playing the Crows minus Rankine, an eight placed Hawthorn, a stumbling Collingwood, or the Giants, with the Giants being the lest preferred outcome IMO.

You’re right, we will be discredited no matter what and we have to wear it as a badge of honour.
I can point out to why our fixture actually wasn’t ‘easy’ but it makes no difference.

On the Brisbane game. I’m not so worried about losing because that just puts us on the easier side of the draw and another game maybe beneficial.

Would play winner of Freo v GC. If we are any type of flag threat that really shouldn’t be an issue and a prelim against crows or pies who I think are now below their best.

If we beat Lions, there’s a good chance we get GWS in a prelim and I’m not sure when we last beat them. Than good chance Lions are in the GF anyway.

 

[geelong_crazy26]

I reckon if we beat the Lions week one they'll not make the gf.

Best list in the comp but they're inconsistent and returning from injuries.

GCS will get rolled week 1.

This is my finals prediction.

The winner of the geelong brisbane qualifying final will win the flag.

Baring injuries I don’t see us or Brisbane losing the prelim from that position, and likely whoever we play will be a bit banged up and been thru a slog fest the week prior

 

[geelong_crazy26]

Scott was bang on, there's going to be confirmation bias regardless of the result Friday week.

At the end of the day, if we're good enough, we're good enough. People are going to find a way to discredit Geelong no matter what these days, I just think you have to wear it as a badge of honour.

I do believe we're the best team in it after Brisbane, it just sucks that we have to play them week one.

Obviously, it opens up massively if we win it, and we're playing the Crows minus Rankine, an eight placed Hawthorn, a stumbling Collingwood, or the Giants, with the Giants being the lest preferred outcome IMO.

I really don’t buy into it at all either way and firmly believe regardless the best team on the day will come out and win. I don’t think who you play leading up has any influence or say on it at all, and I think history backs this up well.

The better team seems to find a way.

I don’t recall geelong hawthorn Brisbane tigers in our golden years into finals being swayed by “ a hard or easy” run in. They just took care of business when it mattered.

If you need a certain draw to drag you over the line, you probably have to ask deeper questions about whether you really did deserve to go that step further at all

 

[Pure_Ownage]

This is my finals prediction.

The winner of the geelong brisbane qualifying final will win the flag.

Baring injuries I don’t see us or Brisbane losing the prelim from that position, and likely whoever we play will be a bit banged up and been thru a slog fest the week prior

Agreed.

 

[Gyno79]

Betting odds have us slight favourites for the Brisbane game. Imagine that will even out over the next week or so, maybe even tip slightly to Brisbane favour? I was expecting to see them slight favourites.

 

[Gunf]

View attachment 2409494

That is a good list but the order is wrong

Bump Daicos down to below Andrews so 5th or so and this list is better

 

[No Quarter]

Am I the only one who after 2012-21, can never be supremely confident about Geelongs immediate success? The old Jekyll & Hyde, always wondering whether the off day Geelong is going to turn up, or the R15-GF '22 version will?

Perhaps it's carried me alright in certain ways, because I don't go in to finals expecting greatness and can be pleased if it occurs.

In any case, I usually typically hope we don't embarrass ourselves, and so leaving the PF last year, I was gutted, but not embarrassed.

 

[Mr Meow]

Am I the only one who after 2012-21, can never be supremely confident about Geelongs immediate success? The old Jekyll & Hyde, always wondering whether the off day Geelong is going to turn up, or the R15-GF '22 version will?

Perhaps it's carried me alright in certain ways, because I don't go in to finals expecting greatness and can be pleased if it occurs.

In any case, I usually typically hope we don't embarrass ourselves, and so leaving the PF last year, I was gutted, but not embarrassed.

We have usually been about the 3rd best team and it seems the same way this year, so no, that's not really surprising. Losing a close prelim - or every now and again a smashing - is about par in these situations. I know we are technically flag favourites this time around (whereas most other years we weren't), but it feels like Brisbane should be.

 

[Vdubs]

Interestingly, tonights game means that the Cats finish the season with the 2nd best attack, 4th best defence and the best percentage . Last year we were the 3rd best attack, the 11th best defence and the 6th best percentage.

And the Coleman medallist
And ? The Brownlow medallist

We have usually been about the 3rd best team and it seems the same way this year, so no, that's not really surprising. Losing a close prelim - or every now and again a smashing - is about par in these situations. I know we are technically flag favourites this time around (whereas most other years we weren't), but it feels like Brisbane should be.

Agree, Lions should be flag favourites and they are imho.

 

[The_Koulouriotis_Fan]

We have usually been about the 3rd best team and it seems the same way this year, so no, that's not really surprising. Losing a close prelim - or every now and again a smashing - is about par in these situations. I know we are technically flag favourites this time around (whereas most other years we weren't), but it feels like Brisbane should be.

No way we're 3rd best, it's Brisbane then us easy, but we are in better health. Adelaide and Pies are a rung below.

 

[Mr Meow]

No way we're 3rd best, it's Brisbane then us easy, but we are in better health. Adelaide and Pies are a rung below.

Fair enough. I have us equal 2nd seed with Adelaide due to them having two genuine home finals. But I accept there's a good argument for outright 2nd. It's not our fault, but we haven't played many proper opponents lately to truly test our credentials and did fail our two most recent tests. But that can easily change next Friday.

 

[Vdubs]

No way we're 3rd best, it's Brisbane then us easy, but we are in better health. Adelaide and Pies are a rung below.

Fair enough. I have us equal 2nd seed with Adelaide due to them having two genuine home finals. But I accept there's a good argument for outright 2nd. It's not our fault, but we haven't played many proper opponents lately to truly test our credentials and did fail our two most recent tests. But that can easily change next Friday.

Does it actually matter how we’re ranked?

 

[Mr Meow]

Does it actually matter how we’re ranked?

None of it matters, although you whinging about discussion is certainly something. Nobody is making you talk about anything you're not interested in.

 

[Vdubs]

None of it matters, although you whinging about discussion is certainly something. Nobody is making you talk about anything you're not interested in.

Who’s whinging?
I’m just saying how the punters work this makes very little sense- we have not beaten Brisbane in our last 3 games, and after a week off, we are favourites?

 

[Mr Meow]

Who’s whinging?

It's a discussion forum. "Does it matter" regarding any discussion, is by itself one of the most pointless contributions you can make. If you don't think something matters, then let people discuss it who find it interesting.

People have been discussing their team's credentials within a season since the dawn of time. It's not essential. But not many topics on a sports forum are. Still, we like to chat about it anyway.

 

[Vdubs]

It's a discussion forum. "Does it matter" regarding any discussion, is by itself one of the most pointless contributions you can make. If you don't think something matters, then let people discuss it who find it interesting.

People have been discussing their team's credentials within a season since the dawn of time. It's not essential. But not many topics on a sports forum are. Still, we like to chat about it anyway.

Ok, let me ask it this way- do you like us being rated flag favourites, or are you happier if we are underdogs?
I prefer coming into a game as a chance, but not favourites- anything at all that gives any opposition added impetus i like to avoid

 

[Mr Meow]

Ok, let me ask it this way- do you like us being rated flag favourites, or are you happier if we are underdogs?
I prefer coming into a game as a chance, but not favourites- anything at all that gives any opposition added impetus i like to avoid

I don't mind either way. I just like feeling free to discuss it with my fellow Cats supporters, knowing it in no way influences the results, but I like chatting about the club I support.

 

[Vdubs]

I don't mind either way. I just like feeling free to discuss it with my fellow Cats supporters, knowing it in no way influences the results, but I like chatting about the club I support.

Okay….

 

[goyoucatters]

Ok, let me ask it this way- do you like us being rated flag favourites, or are you happier if we are underdogs?
I prefer coming into a game as a chance, but not favourites- anything at all that gives any opposition added impetus i like to avoid

The idea that being favourites in a football game could actually influence our chances in that contest has become complete anathema to me. If we are that mentally weak, we are destined for very little success when coming up against any credible opposition.

Let the media and the betting markets say what they like. I back our coach, our system, and our players to be well above the need for any particular 'noise' going into a game to fuel our motivation.