Preview Changes vs. Collingwood (Qualifying Final) Thursday night

[brucetiki]

Check out our board hub for all the deets about our Finals matches - including a one stop shop for those offering/wanting barcodes or tickets over the coming days.

Please put all requests for barcodes/tickets in our Hub thread only.

Tickets for the game have currently been exhausted. There won't be a public sale of tickets today. Keep an eye on the club's socials for any ticket releases closer to the game.

Resource - Adelaide Board Finals Hub

Welcome to the Adelaide Board's Finals Hub. All you need to know about our upcoming Finals matches can be found here! Qualifying Final: Adelaide v Collingwood, Thursday 4 September, 7:10pm Adelaide Oval Ticketing Info: https://www.afc.com.au/club/finalshub2025 Members pre-sale: 10:00am...

www.bigfooty.com

 

[1970crow]

Feels like we've been having to win the big games while soundly beaten in the clearances. Losing Rankine who was our 3rd best clearance player for the year wont help that either. Probably wouldn't hurt to pinch hit Laird though the mid this thurs to help our numbers. If we win or break even in clearances i think it would be hard to lose.

Looking at the clearance stats in recent games we've gone -14 vs pies, -8 vs dogs, -9 vs Hawks and -21 vs North and won all those games.

Watching Laird ignore handballs to players in space and instead hack the ball sideways across his body will certainly help our cause.

 

[1970crow]

Murph's review meeting didn't go too well I'm afraid

Davis: So what you do is you push up to the stoppages and you let your man drop off?

Murphy: That... that's right

Davis: Well, then I gotta ask, why can't the midfielders just compete at the stoppages themselves and we keep even numbers ahead of the ball, huh?

Murphy: Well, uh, uh, uh because, uh inside midfielders are not good at delivering the ball.

Davis: So you physically deliver the ball to the forwards?

Murphy: Well, no, the wingmen and half backs do that or, or, or the mids when they spread from the contest.

Davis: Then you must physically help them win the ball at the stoppage?

Murphy: Well.... no. Yeah, I mean, sometimes.

Davis: Well, what would you say you do here?

Murphy: Well, look, I already told you. I push up to the goddam stoppages to help the mids! I am good at keeping shape around the contest! I have leadership skills! Can't you understand that?! What the hell is wrong with you people?!

View attachment 2412665

I know it wouldn’t have been in any Oscar conversations, but is a brilliant movie. Rates 5 stars on re-watchability.

 

[George CantStandYa]

I know it wouldn’t have been in any Oscar conversations, but is a brilliant movie. Rates 5 stars on re-watchability.

What is it?

 

[Mr_Moogle]

What is it?

Office Space.

but also Interstellar.

 

[George CantStandYa]

Max said he expects to play defence against Collingwood. Murphy playing today, surely Max is playing macho mind games

 

[1970crow]

Max said he expects to play defence against Collingwood. Murphy playing today, surely Max is playing macho mind games

Probably just pushes Bond out of the 22.

 

[George CantStandYa]

Probably just pushes Bond out of the 22.

Who takes Daicos? Surely we’d bring back Murphy to repeat the awesome job he did

 

[kirky]

There’s a thing on the abc today where various stats gurus from sqiggle weigh in on footy tipping. One of them said that losing a gun player is worth less than you’d think - a few points, up to a goal.

Why predicting winners in the footy is a lot harder than we think

Predicting who is going to win during each round of the AFL is tough, and even computer algorithms struggle to do better than the luckiest human.

www.abc.net.au

Now what I would say missing only one costs you up to a goal however the more stars you lose say Rankine and Tilthorpe the bigger the loss becomes.

We will miss Rankine but someone will step up.

 

[Southerntakeover]

There’s a thing on the abc today where various stats gurus from sqiggle weigh in on footy tipping. One of them said that losing a gun player is worth less than you’d think - a few points, up to a goal.

Why predicting winners in the footy is a lot harder than we think

Predicting who is going to win during each round of the AFL is tough, and even computer algorithms struggle to do better than the luckiest human.

www.abc.net.au

Is their model still saying the Bulldogs are a better chance of winning the premiership than we are?

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Max said he expects to play defence against Collingwood. Murphy playing today, surely Max is playing macho mind games

He also mentioned he is happy to play anywhere.

 

[FullyBigKPro]

Can't wait to see Curtin in a big final... Reckon he was born to be a star in finals!

 

[Moonwatcher]

There’s a thing on the abc today where various stats gurus from sqiggle weigh in on footy tipping. One of them said that losing a gun player is worth less than you’d think - a few points, up to a goal.

Why predicting winners in the footy is a lot harder than we think

Predicting who is going to win during each round of the AFL is tough, and even computer algorithms struggle to do better than the luckiest human.

www.abc.net.au

You should almost always ignore injuries/suspensions in footy tipping. Feels like the Crows are different our suspensions or injuries seem to really impact our structure.

 

[skam85]

Reckon we’ll just see Max for Draper with Draper, Cook and McAndrew as our emergencies

 

[1970crow]

Who takes Daicos? Surely we’d bring back Murphy to repeat the awesome job he did

Not sure what they’re thinking, maybe more knowledgeable posters can explain it to us.

 

[skam85]

Not sure what they’re thinking, maybe more knowledgeable posters can explain it to us.

Preferably ones that attend games rather than watching on the tellie

 

[1970crow]

Can't wait to see Curtin in a big final... Reckon he was born to be a star in finals!

I’m concerned that he’s running on fumes. Hopefully the week off freshens him up. Soligo too, he’s definitely carrying an injury that limits his running power.

 

[adelaidecrows]

I’m concerned that he’s running on fumes. Hopefully the week off freshens him up. Soligo too, he’s definitely carrying an injury that limits his running power.

Thats the purpose of the week off. Allow every team to get a break. Allow players to freshen up and get over some minor niggles. That way finals would be a better spectacle.

Personally im a fan of the old survival of the fittest where there were no breaks, just teams had to rely on momentum. But I dont make the rules.

 

[Moonwatcher]

When is the team announced

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

When is the team announced

Wednesday night i assume.

 

[Moonwatcher]

Thats the purpose of the week off. Allow every team to get a break. Allow players to freshen up and get over some minor niggles. That way finals would be a better spectacle.

Personally im a fan of the old survival of the fittest where there were no breaks, just teams had to rely on momentum. But I dont make the rules.

Prevents teams that can't change their finals position from resting players. A team in 9th might play the top team with all their stars out while the team in 8th had to play a full strength top team.

 

[pjcrows]

 

[adelaidecrows]

Prevents teams that can't change their finals position from resting players. A team in 9th might play the top team with all their stars out while the team in 8th had to play a full strength top team.

I have no problem with teams doing this to be honest. As I said, survival of the fittest. Frankly if you are 8th and cant beat a good finals side then you have no business being in the finals. Its the biggest flaw to the argument.

 

[George CantStandYa]

Not sure what they’re thinking, maybe more knowledgeable posters can explain it to us.

Were you there?

 

[George CantStandYa]

Preferably ones that attend games rather than watching on the tellie

Were you there?

 

[Moonwatcher]

I have no problem with teams doing this to be honest. As I said, survival of the fittest. Frankly if you are 8th and cant beat a good finals side then you have no business being in the finals. Its the biggest flaw to the argument.

But the 9th placed side deserves to be in the finals despite also not being able to beat a full strength top side?