Discussion So I crunched the numbers …. again

[Kilroy]

Approaching the mid-point of the season there’s some adjustments needed as we move into the BigFooty trade-draft period bringing a slowdown in traffic on the SweetFA board generally.

In lieu of the much anticipated seasonal Qooty posting analysis, here’s a first look at the average posting numbers/week so far this season …

• Baghdad 596
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379
• Warriors 327
• Bears 320
• Wonders 232
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 218
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145
• Roys 136
• Furies 134
• Hawks 90

We all good, yeah?

 

[Gralin]

View attachment 2427664

Approaching the mid-point of the season there’s some adjustments needed as we move into the BigFooty trade-draft period bringing a slowdown in traffic on the SweetFA board generally.

In lieu of the much anticipated seasonal Qooty posting analysis, here’s a first look at the average posting numbers/week so far this season …

• Baghdad 596
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379
• Warriors 327
• Bears 320
• Wonders 232
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 218
• Royals 218
• Swamprats
• Roys 136
• Furies 134
• Hawks 90

We all good, yeah?

Swamprats [redacted]

 

[Kilroy]

Swamprats [redacted]

Just checkin’.

Fixed.

 

[Pugsley]

Top 3 as predicted.

 

[Kilroy]

Top 3 as predicted.

Bears would argue otherwise.

 

[Headless]

View attachment 2427664

Approaching the mid-point of the season there’s some adjustments needed as we move into the BigFooty trade-draft period bringing a slowdown in traffic on the SweetFA board generally.

In lieu of the much anticipated seasonal Qooty posting analysis, here’s a first look at the average posting numbers/week so far this season …

• Baghdad 596
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379
• Warriors 327
• Bears 320
• Wonders 232
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 218
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145
• Roys 136
• Furies 134
• Hawks 90

We all good, yeah?

Are the Wonders overperforming on posting, or underperforming on crowd?

 

[Kilroy]

Are the Wonders overperforming on posting, or underperforming on crowd?

A little of column A, a little if column B?

 

[Kilroy]

How does this compare with last season, I hear you ask?

Last season S39

• OOBs 983
• Demons 764
• Baghdad 674
• Bears 461
• Roys 381
• Hawks 330
• Warriors 306
• Wonders 266
• Royals 258
• Furies 257
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 199
• Swamprats 195

This season S40 …

• Baghdad 596 - up 2 places
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379 - down 2 places
• Warriors 327 - up 3 places
• Bears 320 - down 1 place
• Wonders 232 - up 2 places
• Gumbies 230 - up 4 places
• Dragons 218 - up 4 places
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145 - up 3 places
• Roys 136 - down 6 places
• Furies 134 - down 2 places
• Hawks 90 - down 7 places

 

[DenieD]

How does this compare with last season, I hear you ask?

Last season S39

• OOBs 983
• Demons 764
• Baghdad 674
• Bears 461
• Roys 381
• Hawks 330
• Warriors 306
• Wonders 266
• Royals 258
• Furies 257
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 199
• Swamprats 195

This season S40 …

• Baghdad 596 - up 2 places
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379 - down 2 places
• Warriors 327 - up 3 places
• Bears 320 - down 1 place
• Wonders 232 - up 2 places
• Gumbies 230 - up 4 places
• Dragons 218 - up 4 places
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145 - up 3 places
• Roys 136 - down 6 places
• Furies 134 - down 2 places
• Hawks 90 - down 7 places

Gumbies at exactly the same number

 

[Kilroy]

Gumbies at exactly the same number

Not easy to do when the numbers are down overall.

Last season (S39) total average posts/week = 5,304

This season (S40) total average posts/week = 3,374

There are plenty of variables …

• 1st half of the year vs 2nd half of the year
• Only the first 5 rounds of S40 considered vs the whole of S39
• Which teams you’ve played
• Doesn’t include media or gatecrashing
• Difficulty recruiting rookies … etc

 

[thewizardmelon]

View attachment 2427664

Approaching the mid-point of the season there’s some adjustments needed as we move into the BigFooty trade-draft period bringing a slowdown in traffic on the SweetFA board generally.

In lieu of the much anticipated seasonal Qooty posting analysis, here’s a first look at the average posting numbers/week so far this season …

• Baghdad 596
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379
• Warriors 327
• Bears 320
• Wonders 232
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 218
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145
• Roys 136
• Furies 134
• Hawks 90

We all good, yeah?

4th a genuine surprise but otherwise it checks out

 

[Kilroy]

4th a genuine surprise but otherwise it checks out

The biggest surprise is the Hawks.

It’s a cautionary tale of the potential for too much success to blow up in your face.

Obviously they need to get back to earning a living like the rest of us. But TBH, it could happen to any of us.

 

[ClarkeM]

How does this compare with last season, I hear you ask?

Last season S39

• OOBs 983
• Demons 764
• Baghdad 674
• Bears 461
• Roys 381
• Hawks 330
• Warriors 306
• Wonders 266
• Royals 258
• Furies 257
• Gumbies 230
• Dragons 199
• Swamprats 195

This season S40 …

• Baghdad 596 - up 2 places
• Demons 449
• OOBs 379 - down 2 places
• Warriors 327 - up 3 places
• Bears 320 - down 1 place
• Wonders 232 - up 2 places
• Gumbies 230 - up 4 places
• Dragons 218 - up 4 places
• Royals 218
• Swamprats 145 - up 3 places
• Roys 136 - down 6 places
• Furies 134 - down 2 places
• Hawks 90 - down 7 places

Now compare the numbers themselves and not the rankings please sir.

 

[Kilroy]

Now compare the numbers themselves and not the rankings please sir.

I thought I’d leave that for you mate.

Are you into percentages or something?

 

[ClarkeM]

I thought I’d leave that for you mate.

Are you into percentages or something?

Nah but I'll run it through ChatGPT

 

[ClarkeM]

On the wild assumption any of this data is correct, ChatGPT says the following:
Got it — let’s break this down clearly.


We’ve got Season 39 (S39) vs Season 40 (S40) posting averages per team. I’ll look at league-wide totals, trends, and team-level movements.

---

League-Wide Numbers​

S39 total:
983 + 764 + 674 + 461 + 381 + 330 + 306 + 266 + 258 + 257 + 230 + 199 + 195 = 5,304 posts


S40 total:
596 + 449 + 379 + 327 + 320 + 232 + 230 + 218 + 218 + 145 + 136 + 134 + 90 = 3,874 posts


Difference: –1,430 posts (≈ 27% drop in overall league posting activity).


So, the league as a whole is posting significantly less in S40 compared to S39.

---

Team-Level Shifts​

• Biggest drops:
  • OOBs: –604 (983 → 379, –61%)
  • Demons: –315 (764 → 449, –41%)
  • Baghdad: –78 (674 → 596, –12%)
  • Roys: –245 (381 → 136, –64%)
  • Hawks: –240 (330 → 90, –73%)
• Stable / slight growth:
  • Warriors: +21 (306 → 327, +7%)
  • Wonders: –34 (266 → 232, –13%, but gained ladder spots due to others dropping harder)
  • Gumbies: 0 (230 → 230, unchanged in raw numbers but climbed 4 places)
  • Dragons: +19 (199 → 218, +10%)
  • Swamprats: –50 (195 → 145, –26%)
• Minimal movers but dropped:
  • Bears: –141 (461 → 320, –31%)
  • Royals: –40 (258 → 218, –16%)
  • Furies: –123 (257 → 134, –48%)

---

Positional Changes (Posting Ladder)​

• Big risers:
  • Warriors (+3), Gumbies (+4), Dragons (+4), Swamprats (+3)
• Big fallers:
  • Roys (–6), Hawks (–7), OOBs (–2)

---

Interpretation​

• Overall decline: The league is in a posting downturn, with nearly a third fewer posts compared to last season.
• Consolidation at the top: Baghdad has taken over as the most active team, while former giants (OOBs, Demons) have slid hard.
• Middle teams rising: Warriors, Gumbies, and Dragons have grown modestly but benefitted from the collapse of the traditionally stronger posting sides.
• Severe fallers: Hawks, Roys, and OOBs have had catastrophic drops — they alone account for more than 1,000 posts lost.

---

Summary:
The Sweet FA as a league is experiencing a clear contraction in posting activity in S40. While a few teams (Warriors, Dragons, Gumbies) have improved or held steady, the major traditional posting powers (OOBs, Demons, Roys, Hawks) have dropped sharply, dragging down the overall averages.

 

[ClarkeM]

Staggering, well better get back to posting!

 

[Kilroy]

Hate to be pedantic but I keep getting this total average posts/week for S40 …

S40 total:
596 + 449 + 379 + 327 + 320 + 232 + 230 + 218 + 218 + 145 + 136 + 134 + 90 = 3,474 posts

The team averages/week are correct, just not the league-wide average/week.

I arrived at these numbers using Tonga Bob ‘s individual posting averages but ignoring decimals

 

[ClarkeM]

Hate to be pedantic but I keep getting this total average posts/week for S40 …

S40 total:
596 + 449 + 379 + 327 + 320 + 232 + 230 + 218 + 218 + 145 + 136 + 134 + 90 = 3,474 posts

The team averages/week are correct, just not the league-wide average/week.

I arrived at these numbers using Tonga Bob ‘s individual posting averages but ignoring decimals

ChatGPT is notoriously terrible at this stuff. But that's scary it's even WORSE than it had thought.

 

[Kilroy]

ChatGPT is notoriously terrible at this stuff. But that's scary it's even WORSE than it had thought.

It’s down by a third already.

May be time for an “intervention”?

 

[ClarkeM]

It’s down by a third already.

May be time for an “intervention”.

What are you suggesting?

 

[Kilroy]

What are you suggesting?

You’d hope it’s on the Committee’s agenda, but also that a few LGs recognise that it’s not a hopeless situation.

Rallying the troops might identify something meaningful to work towards at the back end of the season?

 

[ClarkeM]

You’d hope it’s on the Committee’s agenda, but also that a few LGs recognise that it’s not a hopeless situation.

Rallying the troops might identify something meaningful to work towards at the back end of the season?

Season 40 was meant to be the season of celebration, not the season of Committees adding the state of the league to the agenda.

It sucks hey... always knew the inevitable would happen but not this swiftly.

Just got to keep posting and doing our best.

 

[Hydatina Physis]

A -61% drop in posting from the OOB is a big win for the league.

 

[Kilroy]

Season 40 was meant to be the season of celebration, not the season of Committees adding the state of the league to the agenda.

Not if it’s just to whinge.

We need ideas. Novel events or adventures that enhance the Qooty-sphere.

Did much come from the State of Origin or the Cricket in terms of recruitment?

It sucks hey... always knew the inevitable would happen but not this swiftly.

Well that sort of fatalism doesn’t help for starters.

Just got to keep posting and doing our best.

In the meantime yes, but what else could we work towards that might happen by the end of season?