The Premiership favourite- 2025

[Nunez]

Start of the year I tipped lions vs hawks and Lions to win. Not far off regardless what happens now. Any side are capable.

This is it for me. The prelims are as unpredictable as they come this week.

 

[NetworkNerd]

How often are the last 3 premiers in a row all in a prelim together?

2011 springs to mind. It had the last 4 premiers
2006 West Coast
2008 (Hawthorn)
2007/9 (Geelong)
2010 (Collingwood)

 

[Fadge]

Pies have been poor for some time. Their only decent win was against perhaps the worst minor premier of all time.

Timely win then, wasn't it?

Do you recall Adelaide were faves or second faves for the flag for the last month of the home and away season?

You would have made good $$$ betting against them given you knew how bad they were...

 

[Macca180]

Winner of Geelong v Hawthorn

 

[hk89]

Timely win then, wasn't it?

Do you recall Adelaide were faves or second faves for the flag for the last month of the home and away season?

You would have made good $$$ betting against them given you knew how bad they were...

It is not about Adelaide, it is about your 3-5 record in the last 8 , when other than Adelaide the wins were against Demons (barely) and Richmond. Those 5 losses include losses to 2 of the 3 other teams still in it. The question is, should we interpret the win against Adelaide as a return to your former form, or a win against a team that is now statistically the worst minor premier since the top 8 was implemented.

No doubt the Pies of earlier in the season deserve to be 1st or second favourites, but that isn't the team we've seen for most of the 8 week of footy, and Adelaide proved in their straight sets to be an unreliable barometer of return to form. In the end Adelaide were barely favourites as minor premiers on their home deck against Hawthorn.

 

[hk89]

Pies were best till rd 16 till the cue went in the rack

Agreed, but pretty clumsy placement of the queue in the rack, given you relied on other results going your way to keep your spot in the top 4.

 

[Fadge]

The question is, should we interpret the win against Adelaide as a return to your former form, or a win against a team that is now statistically the worst minor premier since the top 8 was implemented.

'Adelaide are statistically the worst minor premier since the top 8 was implemented', courtesy of being broken by Collingwood....

 

[Fadge]

When are the lesser clubs in the competition going to wake up and understand the AFL is a professional league, not a development league?

By average age:
Collingwood - Oldest
Geelong - 2nd Oldest
Brisbane - 3rd Oldest
Hawthorn - 8th Oldest

There might be something in that...

 

[Pie thon]

Collingwood and Hawthorn have played in 40 (21 & 19) grand finals since 1952. (Not counting the grand finals replays either). That's 40/73 seasons and they have never met in a grand final. The stats even holds up to 1925 when Hawthorne entered the VFL. Half of all grand finals either team have made and never met.

Its not going to happen.
If Hawks beat Geelong, Collingwood go on to lose.
If Geelong wins, Collingwood win. (Also due to the AFL era omen that a devastating late season loss to the Hawks 90, 10, 23, 25 (im jumping the gun) has lead to a flag.

 

[RCAB]

Collingwood and Hawthorn have played in 40 (21 & 19) grand finals since 1952. (Not counting the grand finals replays either). That's 40/73 seasons and they have never met in a grand final. The stats even holds up to 1925 when Hawthorne entered the VFL. Half of all grand finals either team have made and never met.

Its not going to happen.
If Hawks beat Geelong, Collingwood go on to lose.
If Geelong wins, Collingwood win. (Also due to the AFL era omen that a devastating late season loss to the Hawks 90, 10, 23, 25 (im jumping the gun) has lead to a flag.

So essentially what you're saying is if Hawthorn beat Geelong on Friday, then on Saturday Daicos still start kicking the ball backwards to Logan Morris?

 

[Cyclops]

It is wide open in my view.

My Bomber neighbour says whoever wins on Saturday wins the flag.

I still think Brisbane have the most quality and skill on the park, even with their injuries.I would be very proud to beat them if we pull it off, and injuries, venue and balance favour us so it close to even.

Cats have an advantage on paper. Less injuries, better coach, better balance, extra rest. Mitchell will have to outcoach Chris Scott

Chris Scott

Age

49

Ht

182cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.6

4star

K

11.2

4star

HB

5.4

4star

M

5.1

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

0.4

3star

No current season stats available

D

13.2

4star

K

10.2

4star

HB

3.0

3star

M

2.2

3star

T

2.8

5star

G

0.4

3star

for the Hawks to win. Ginniboy to whip out a Cotton On T shirt if they do.

Impartially it would be great for the Lions to win the flag, a lot of sides would start to emulate the skills game. They have been my tip all year.

However in my cruel Collingwood heart I want to leave the other three sides in tears as we stride to 17.

 

[Pie thon]

So essentially what you're saying is if Hawthorn beat Geelong on Friday, then on Saturday Daicos still start kicking the ball backwards to Logan Morris?

Yes, like elite kicking through congestion to hit him. Or after following up from a contested mark. The footy gods can't allow the sin of Hawks v Pies at any cost.

 

[Fadge]

Reminder, you’re trying to back up your claim that:

Despite the fact that it happened last year, and has already happened twice since the pre-finals bye was introduced 10 years ago. Maybe crunch those numbers again.

Still think a team from outside the top 4 can win it this year?

As I said once the top 4 was finalised, noone from outside the top 4 was winning 4 games in a row, including at least two of the last three premiers.

 

[Macca180]

Geelong

 

[PowerfulPies2023]

Brisbane to play cats in the gf

 

[ReturningHawk]

Still think a team from outside the top 4 can win it this year?

As I said once the top 4 was finalised, noone from outside the top 4 was winning 4 games in a row, including at least two of the last three premiers.

I hope you really enjoyed the 24 hours after posting this after my side lost a prelim, because I’m going to enjoy you getting hit by the karma bus all summer.

 

[Mr Meow]

I hope you really enjoyed the 24 hours after posting this after my side lost a prelim, because I’m going to enjoy you getting hit by the karma bus all summer.

Fadge is a lot quieter in this thread now, I noticed. Was fairly chirpy all year.

 

[JHF1870]

Fadge is a lot quieter in this thread now, I noticed. Was fairly chirpy all year.

He's been quiet for me for the whole last week. HAven't heard a nip out of him

 

[ReturningHawk]

Neale done.

Levi's hit a wall after a long season.

I think they're done.

If they get through next week, they will be ripe for the picking against the Pies.

Hard to see anything other than a Pies v. Cats Grand Final from here.

Just leaving this here.

 

[JHF1870]

Just leaving this here.

Think he belongs under this category

Tier 5: The GOAT Loopers​

• Repeatedly post about their favorite player being the greatest
• Ignored unless it’s Dusty or Buddy and even then, only once

 

[Worm4]

Fadge is a lot quieter in this thread now, I noticed. Was fairly chirpy all year.

Thats old mate Fadge on the left. Hasnt backed a winner since Jesus was nailed to the cross . He talks though his hip pocket, hence he will be quieter than usual.

 

[Munich]

This thread has been a laugh.

 

[YeoShuey]

Flying the flag for Geelong as their supporters don't seem to be doing a good job of that in here at the moment

Look at this post from June. Called it real early and it's looking incredibly likely.

 

[Dangerfield86]

Just leaving this here.

Many pies fans on here thought the pies were in the grand final cuz lions had injuries, but the lions
even without Neale are still an elite team, way too good for the pies, they are level above the pies.

 

[WillHayward]

Strangely it feels like Brisbane losing to Geelong is now kind of an advantage. They know what to expect and can be ready and then counter.