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Recent content by Flaggers22

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    Official Club Stuff Carlton Academy - Next Gen & Father/Son/Daughter Discussion II

    Yeah I mentioned that their method was poor in an earlier post. I'd certainly use a different design myself. But conceptually I just prefer using output to design a value model rather than using salary data.
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    Official Club Stuff Carlton Academy - Next Gen & Father/Son/Daughter Discussion II

    Yeah, I posted the wrong study by mistake. It was the right research group just the wrong paper. Link works now.
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    Official Club Stuff Carlton Academy - Next Gen & Father/Son/Daughter Discussion II

    I don't misunderstand anything here. I understand how the discount works. Conceptually, it just doesn't make sense. It was developed - as you outlined - so that clubs could match bids on these players. They should have access to the players but they should also pay fair value. With the 10%...
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    Official Club Stuff Carlton Academy - Next Gen & Father/Son/Daughter Discussion II

    All they did was implement a piecewise, non-uniform downward transformation of the existing DVI curve. Instead, they should've built a new empirical valuation model. I don't disagree that the original DVI was bad, it's just that 2025 changes went in the wrong direction. The only change they made...
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    Autopsy 2026 Rd 9 Blues go down after scaring reigning premiers

    What does Billy Wilson have do to get more than 49% ToG? Does Michael not like players who go at 100% disposal efficiency? And people wonder why our development sucks.
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    Official Club Stuff Carlton Academy - Next Gen & Father/Son/Daughter Discussion II

    I disagree. I've come to the conclusion that the 2025 changes were awful. It was a sign that the AFL didn't really understand why the DVI wasn't working (although this year we found out that they don't know how it works at all). The DVI as a concept is quite good. The problem was they used the...
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    Preview 2026 Rd 9 Carlton vs Brisbane Friday 8th May 7:30PM AEST @ Gabba

    Yeah I'd like to see him get an extended run in the side too. He has useful traits for modern football with his tidy kicking and linebreaking. I just can't see Voss putting him in the best position to succeed. I'm half expecting him to be sent to Lohmann or Cameron and told to play a lockdown role.
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    Preview 2026 Rd 9 Carlton vs Brisbane Friday 8th May 7:30PM AEST @ Gabba

    I'm glad Billy is finally getting a run. Aside from that this is just classic Voss. At least 8 guys gave up last week and he responds with 2 changes. All talk, no action.
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    Rumour Bluemour Discussion XLI

    Leaving Lewis Young on Tom Lynch in round 1 was pretty brilliant. Young has had a lot of practice standing the mark and was surely a factor in Lynch missing all those set shots.
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    Preview 2026 Rd 8 Carlton vs St Kilda Saturday 2nd May 7:35PM @ Marvel Stadium

    It's getting hard to figure out who I resent more out of Voss and Swann. Yesterday I thought that Swann had built an unassailable lead, but Voss never fails to disappoint me at selection.
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    Preview 2026 Rd 7 Carlton vs Fremantle Saturday 25th April 8:15PM AEST @ Optus Stadium

    It's a bit odd to bemoan the lack of finishing and execution in post game press conferences each week, yet continuously ignore an in-form reserves players who provides exactly that.
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    List Mgmt. 2026 List Management

    Sure. However, it doesn't matter if a club downplays his achievements, ability or form at the negotiating table. All that matters is if they believe they can get him back to his best, or near enough to it. Sydney made that bet last year. No doubt they were using the same tactics you described...
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    List Mgmt. 2026 List Management

    The market for Merrett was 2x firsts and an early second. Cripps will only be 18 months older than Merrett was last year. I don't think it's that much of a stretch to ask for a first. I understand that he's not playing well right now, but I think that has more to do with our awful system, and...
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    Rumour Bluemour Discussion XLI

    Yes, if you look at raw numbers it certainly seems that way. If you adjust for population sizes you get a different story. 385 total coaches -> 55 have won premierships = 14.28% success rate 32 coaches have ≥1 premiership and coached at >1 club -> 6 have won flags at two clubs = 18.75% success...
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    Universal Love Welcome to Carlton Graham Wright

    I think it's more likely that he just wanted to build a new coaching department with a full soft cap. That's the only explanation that makes sense to me.
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