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Recent content by mattsea

  1. mattsea

    News Swans Talk In The Media 2017 (footy talk only, please)

    thanks! (that's my site)
  2. mattsea

    Victorian AFL fans may not be aware of this but...

    Have a look at the first graph in this post https://thearcfooty.com/2016/08/28/matthew-pavlich-has-travelled-further-than-any-other-player-in-aflvfl-history/
  3. mattsea

    Opinion "Help me out where I need faith!" - The Statistical Data Thread

    1) A higher rating doesn't necessarily entail a prediction that a team will make it further in the finals. 2) If Adelaide makes it further in the finals than Geelong, I won't regard that as vindication of my ratings system, and if Geelong makes it further than Adelaide I won't regard that as a...
  4. mattsea

    Opinion "Help me out where I need faith!" - The Statistical Data Thread

    Not sure this take has held up super well
  5. mattsea

    Certified Legendary Thread Squiggle 2017

    Cheers! Yeah I plan to do a lot more work on this when I get the time. As you said, the results with just using Fantasy points are pretty encouraging. There are a lot of stats (eg. cont poss, goal assists) that are publicly available but not incorporated in Fantasy numbers; my next step is to...
  6. mattsea

    2017 Non Crows AFL Discussion Thread

    but... the projection also thinks Melbourne will make the 8 (53% chance)
  7. mattsea

    Putting Dusty's game in perspective

    The purpose was to compare Dustin Martin's R1 2017 game to every other game by an AFL player since 1990 and show that very, very few have had more disposals and more goals in a game. What would you omit from the chart to make the point more clearly?
  8. mattsea

    Putting Dusty's game in perspective

    But... the most did say it was an impressive game! It specifically said that!
  9. mattsea

    Mega Thread Port Forum 'General AFL Talk' Thread Part 3

    The reigning Premier has won their first match of the season 67.1% of the time in AFL/VFL history. If we just look at the AFL (1990-present), it's 66.7%; since 2000 it's 64.7%.
  10. mattsea

    Putting Dusty's game in perspective

    there's not a significant difference in the average disposals per game in R1 compared to later rounds
  11. mattsea

    Putting Dusty's game in perspective

    damn, that's me told
  12. mattsea

    Mega Thread Port Forum 'General AFL Talk' Thread Part 3

    yep, hope you like it!
  13. mattsea

    Mega Thread Port Forum 'General AFL Talk' Thread Part 3

    nah no worries, thanks for posting!
  14. mattsea

    Putting Dusty's game in perspective

    https://thearcfooty.com/2017/03/23/impressive-dustys-game/ https://thearcfooty.com/2017/03/23/impressive-dustys-game/
  15. mattsea

    Mega Thread Port Forum 'General AFL Talk' Thread Part 3

    thanks for sharing my stuff, I guess!
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