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Recent content by ReturningHawk

  1. ReturningHawk

    Autopsy Round 8, 2026: Hawks bottle it

    But everyone fundamentally misunderstands expected score, because it doesn’t provide an understanding of anything. It provides a number based on the probability of converting chances created. It’s like saying “if we replayed that match again 100 times, we’d win it 99 times”. It doesn’t mean...
  2. ReturningHawk

    Preview Round 9, 2026: Fremantle v Hawthorn, 7 May 2026, 8.10pm AEST @ Optus Stadium

    That we can agree on, though it has been a lot easier said than done for the past 2 years.
  3. ReturningHawk

    Preview Round 9, 2026: Fremantle v Hawthorn, 7 May 2026, 8.10pm AEST @ Optus Stadium

    Saying someone isn’t a ruckman doesn’t stop them moving like one!
  4. ReturningHawk

    Preview Round 9, 2026: Fremantle v Hawthorn, 7 May 2026, 8.10pm AEST @ Optus Stadium

    Not sure Sicily himself would agree about the AA level form. He’s had good games and good moments but is going at 75% most weeks. It’s not his fault, he’s been playing banged up for over 2 years and it’s sapped the energy out of his game. It’s making him irascible and a poor teammate. Last week...
  5. ReturningHawk

    Preview Round 9, 2026: Fremantle v Hawthorn, 7 May 2026, 8.10pm AEST @ Optus Stadium

    Honestly, and just my opinion, looks like we’ve stuffed up at selection. 3 ruckmen, both captains selected despite being on one leg. If we play well then full credit to the selectors, because I do not see it happening. Anticipating two late outs in Sicily and Meek.
  6. ReturningHawk

    Welcome Welcome to Hawthorn : Nick 'the Wizard' Watson! Rising star Nom!

    Kosi Pickett provides the blueprint for how Watson can eventually get to an even higher level. Pickett is in the conversation with Bont, Heeney, Daicos and Butters now. Games like he’s had this year - 29 touches, 6 clearances, 4 goals, 1 outrageous speccie - are absolutely possible for Wiz in a...
  7. ReturningHawk

    Verbal Faux Pas, Jargon, Cliches, Boganisms, etc

    It’s great when they have multiple goes. That legendary Dons caller on Finey’s final siren: “Reid and McKay will be alright, they just need to play more games together and get some conte… conu.. coni… ah… co…connn… conutuity.”
  8. ReturningHawk

    Autopsy Round 8, 2026: Hawks bottle it

    This proves my point. “They won it by being better than average kicks” was not the message received internally at Hawthorn in 2012. We overhauled our leadership structure to be more team-oriented when the pressure was on. Implying that Sydney were lucky to win is ignoring the most crucial...
  9. ReturningHawk

    Swans Boss says rivals should PAY for poaching Northern academy kids

    Your graph doesn’t have a year on it. This branch of the discussion seems to be rooted in the question of whether the academy is worth the Swans time and money under the new rules, now that they have to pay closer to the full draft value for the player. It’s a plainly ridiculous question. Go...
  10. ReturningHawk

    Mega Thread The Father-Son Mega thread - 2026 update

    Haha unless Crawford is a very high impact-per-possession player, you’re probably right
  11. ReturningHawk

    Autopsy Round 8, 2026: Hawks bottle it

    It’s 10 metres either side. By the way, can we redirect “expected score” statistics to the “Expected Premiership” board? Has zero relevance to reality. It’s like saying “Gunston misses an easy shot and Malceski kicks a hard one so we should view the 2012 GF as a win.”
  12. ReturningHawk

    Rumour Fagan lets rip on Auskick sh1t Dad

    Doesn’t seem exactly the response you’d hope for.
  13. ReturningHawk

    Rumour Fagan lets rip on Auskick sh1t Dad

    Lol. Brisbane players just remember her for other noble reasons I’m sure. “Yeah Jaxon all we meant was you’re shit at footy but your girlfriend is …umm.. a good person. Yeah.”
  14. ReturningHawk

    Preview Round 9, 2026: Fremantle v Hawthorn, 7 May 2026, 8.10pm AEST @ Optus Stadium

    Tbh the Newc stuff was obvious since last week. He was hobbling after the GC game and I thought he was a good chance to be rested vs Pies with a view that we needed him far more against Freo. I wonder if any BH mids get the call up, or if Finn goes in?
  15. ReturningHawk

    Rumour Fagan lets rip on Auskick sh1t Dad

    In the same way as a tomato is a valid ingredient in a fruit salad.
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