- Moderator
- #26
If you were looking for an investment in Perth you could go either way. Go for cash flow with low interest rates or go for capital growth based on price falls from the peak. Or a combo of both. I actually looked at a property tonight (with someone) that will sell for about $460k, give or take, which is down about $50k from a couple of years ago. At 90% LVR and 4% interest rate that's $318 a week. It's tenanted for $425.
It's all opportunity cost. If you bought a house tomorrow, rented it out on a 12 month lease and moved overseas for a year, would you be in a better or worse position when you came back? Historically (for our generation) houses have gone up each year, so what might cost you a couple of grand over the year might save you $50k on buying 12 months later. That isn't the case any more. Houses haven't gone up for years. There are good buys out there that won't be there in a year's time, but it's not easy money any more.
I agree with all of that.
I think it comes down to what your comfortable with investing wise, the $100 a month difference between the rent and mortgage payment wouldn't cover the maintenance and taxes (especially for someone like me who isn't going to do the maintenance themselves), so cashflow wise its a zero return on my 50k for at least a couple of years. Capital gains wise (as you've alluded to), Perth property prices generally speaking are lower now than they were in 2014 and predicted to continue to fall and I'd be concerned about a lack of diversification in my assets if that's all I had. That said if an investor can't stomach the share market and is willing to hold for over 5 years, it's very likely to be a better choice than putting money in a high interest savings account.
If your a property investor, you probably would be far more likely to make the numbers work than me. Ultimately though, the lessons I've learn't along the way are.
1. Spend less than you earn
2. Invest based on what you want in the future.
3. Any time horizon greater than 5 years should result in an investment in property or market based financial assets.
4. Diversify, which also includes investing outside of the ASX if you decide to only invest in shares.
5. Don't get a car loan!!!