Ressies runner
Club Legend
- Jun 13, 2016
- 1,121
- 735
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
Couple of thoughts before the election this Saturday.
Incumbents Liberals are heading into the election being massive underdogs.
Labour $1.20
Liberal $4.20
Colins stank is destroying the state with record debt, controversial projects, and an ever increasing jobless rate
The liberals own polling is showing a 14% swing against them.
3 years in a row they have put up land tax meaning a lot of there traditional wealthy liberal voting areas like nedlands and cottesloe have felt the pinch and this could really hurt them.
Up until recently i was convinced there was no way they could win the election. That was until Pauline Hansons one nation party done a preference deal with the liberals.
This election i believe comes down to these preferences.
How big of a swing will one nation get?
Will it counter the swing against the libs?
Current bet market swing to One Nation lower house
Under 7.5% ------ $5
7.5%- 9.99% -------$2.5
10%- 12.49%-------$3
12.5%-14.99%---- $6
I believe one nation has a lot more voters then what many realize, and i think quite a few agree with her policy's. A bit like America with Trump
So a couple of bets i think could be value
My bets in brackets
Liberals win +5.5 $1.83 -- ($20)
Straight win $4.20 -- ($15)
Majority win $ 34.00 -- ($10)
One nation upper house seats total
3-4 $3.00 -- ($10)
4-5 $3.00 -- ($20)
SFFP to win a lower house seat $11($20)
On a side note colin has to go so im voting against him.
Incumbents Liberals are heading into the election being massive underdogs.
Labour $1.20
Liberal $4.20
Colins stank is destroying the state with record debt, controversial projects, and an ever increasing jobless rate
The liberals own polling is showing a 14% swing against them.
3 years in a row they have put up land tax meaning a lot of there traditional wealthy liberal voting areas like nedlands and cottesloe have felt the pinch and this could really hurt them.
Up until recently i was convinced there was no way they could win the election. That was until Pauline Hansons one nation party done a preference deal with the liberals.
This election i believe comes down to these preferences.
How big of a swing will one nation get?
Will it counter the swing against the libs?
Current bet market swing to One Nation lower house
Under 7.5% ------ $5
7.5%- 9.99% -------$2.5
10%- 12.49%-------$3
12.5%-14.99%---- $6
I believe one nation has a lot more voters then what many realize, and i think quite a few agree with her policy's. A bit like America with Trump
So a couple of bets i think could be value
My bets in brackets
Liberals win +5.5 $1.83 -- ($20)
Straight win $4.20 -- ($15)
Majority win $ 34.00 -- ($10)
One nation upper house seats total
3-4 $3.00 -- ($10)
4-5 $3.00 -- ($20)
SFFP to win a lower house seat $11($20)
On a side note colin has to go so im voting against him.
