Play Nice 2018 Ladder Predictions

[the big lebowski]

Wow. Even if you assume the crows are out of finals contention, which I do, and likewise the giants, there is still so much to play out re finals.

Unless the second half of the year plays out differently to the first half I can’t see how North doesn’t make it. Injuries and a drop in form are very possible but 2 x dogs, GC at Etihad, Bombers, Saints, Brisbane at Gabba would put us at 13 wins with decent %. All other games would see us 50/50 shots.

Likewise Hawthorn have what’s appears to be a very favourable run home. If they keep winning, and North keep winning, who drops out?

I can honestly see a scenario where it’s Melbourne. I’m not saying it will be Melbourne, but that I could envisage it happening. 2 x Adelaide oval, west coast in Perth, geelong in geelong. And also the swans at the mcg.

Interesting times ahead

 

[Crusty Demon]

Wow. Even if you assume the crows are out of finals contention, which I do, and likewise the giants, there is still so much to play out re finals.

Unless the second half of the year plays out differently to the first half I can’t see how North doesn’t make it. Injuries and a drop in form are very possible but 2 x dogs, GC at Etihad, Bombers, Saints, Brisbane at Gabba would put us at 13 wins with decent %. All other games would see us 50/50 shots.

Likewise Hawthorn have what’s appears to be a very favourable run home. If they keep winning, and North keep winning, who drops out?

I can honestly see a scenario where it’s Melbourne. I’m not saying it will be Melbourne, but that I could envisage it happening. 2 x Adelaide oval, west coast in Perth, geelong in geelong. And also the swans at the mcg.

Interesting times ahead

Absolutely! I can see us just missing again. Not a great run home compared to other clubs around us. Unless we start showing up in these big games, we are looking at another year of just missing out. I did a ladder predictor thing last night(I hate them as one upset completely stuffs up the whole prediction), however I had us missing the 8 by a game. If we can beat the teams we should, then it will come down to the three crucial games against Adelaide(away), and GWS and Swans at the G. Have to win two of these IMO to make the 8(which is possible, but also a chance we won't). It will be very close again..

 

[Isaac Cumming No 1]

Absolutely! I can see us just missing again. Not a great run home compared to other clubs around us. Unless we start showing up in these big games, we are looking at another year of just missing out. I did a ladder predictor thing last night(I hate them as one upset completely stuffs up the whole prediction), however I had us missing the 8 by a game. If we can beat the teams we should, then it will come down to the three crucial games against Adelaide(away), and GWS and Swans at the G. Have to win two of these IMO to make the 8(which is possible, but also a chance we won't). It will be very close again..

At the start of the year I thiught round 23 might see us needing it fir top 4 and you guys perhaps for finals. After the first half of the season I think that's reversed.

 

[the big lebowski]

Absolutely! I can see us just missing again. Not a great run home compared to other clubs around us. Unless we start showing up in these big games, we are looking at another year of just missing out. I did a ladder predictor thing last night(I hate them as one upset completely stuffs up the whole prediction), however I had us missing the 8 by a game. If we can beat the teams we should, then it will come down to the three crucial games against Adelaide(away), and GWS and Swans at the G. Have to win two of these IMO to make the 8(which is possible, but also a chance we won't). It will be very close again..

Yeah I just did it and had the Dees 9th on 13 wins vs hawthorn in 8th with 14. 14 wins for finals is a crazy result.

 

[andrew coombs]

Yeah I just did it and had the Dees 9th on 13 wins vs hawthorn in 8th with 14. 14 wins for finals is a crazy result.

Tends to happen when there are a number of really poor sides. I remember back in 2011 the bottom three teams ( Brisbane, Port and the newbie Gold Coast ) won 3,3 and 1 game respectively. Conversely the top four teams ( Collingwood,Geelong,Hawthorn and West Coast ) finished with an unbelievable 20,19,18 and 17 wins. Footy can be unpredictable but it seems unlikely that Carlton, Brisbane, Stkilda, the Gold Coast and now even the Dogs are going to salute against anyone other than each other. This is pushing the win totals upward for the competitive clubs. Any of the clubs competing for a spot in the finals simply can not afford a slip up against the bottom bracket as it will almost certainly have dire consequences come September. I fully expect Hawthorn to rue their terrible effort against the Lions in about nine weeks.

 

[Power Raid]

I just can’t see the hawks missing September action

 

[jezza1435]

I just can’t see the hawks missing September action

agreed, have a look at there “fix”ture

 

[blue harvest]

Hawthorn playing well after the bye

#afterthebye

 

[threesixpio]

#afterthebye

Haven’t lost a game since

 

[MUFASA12]

Hawks have a relatively easy run home.. north to drop out and hawks in for me. Then the eight is set.

 

[threesixpio]

Hawks have a relatively easy run home.. north to drop out and hawks in for me. Then the eight is set.

Hmmm. North can turn it on. Not so sure

 

[pjcrows]

West Coast
Richmond
Sydney
Geelong
Melbourne
Port
Collingwood
Hawthorn

That's actually a massive first week of finals.

 

[Madtiger2006]

geelong x2, sydney at a neutral venue, gws away, adelaide, pies, i could easily see us dropping most if not all of those on current form. that leaves 4 should be wins against saints, suns, bombers and dogs, but i could easily see us dropping the saints game at etihad seeing as we struggled to beat them at the g already.

Stupid

 

[blue harvest]

West Coast
Richmond
Sydney
Geelong
Melbourne
Port
Collingwood
Hawthorn

That's actually a massive first week of finals.

Hope so, we could win the flag from 8th without leaving the G.

 

[Old Stuckup]

1. West Coast
2. Sydney
3. Richmond
4. Geelong
5. Collingwood
6. Port Adelaide
7. Melbourne
8. North Melbourne
9. GWS
10. Hawthorn
11. Essendon
12. Adelaide
13. Fremantle
14. Western Bulldogs
15. St Kilda
16. Gold Coast
17. Brisbane
18. Carlton

 

[Troystenvic]

Where do you find a ladder predictor

 

[theyellowsash]

Stupid

1 game, and the pretenders were in it right to the end. It's a good win but doesn't yet make me confident of our form against the better teams

 

[Angus Young]

Where do you find a ladder predictor

https://predictor.squiggle.com.au/

 

[Troystenvic]

https://predictor.squiggle.com.au/

Thanks

 

[wazza03]

1. Richmond 18 4 0 131.6%
2. West Coast 18 4 0 126.9%
3. Sydney 18 4 0 123.1%
4. North Melbourne 17 5 0 134.2%
5. Port Adelaide 16 6 0 117.4%
6. Geelong 15 7 0 128.4%
7. Collingwood 15 7 0 115.5%
8. Melbourne 14 8 0 125.4%
9. Hawthorn 14 8 0 120.8%
10. GWS 10 11 1 103.4%
11. Adelaide 9 13 0 97.3%
12. Fremantle 8 14 0 87.9%
13. Essendon 8 14 0 85.4%
14. Western Bulldogs 5 17 0 69.8%
15. St Kilda 4 17 1 71.0%
16. Gold Coast 4 18 0 66.2%
17. Brisbane Lions 3 19 0 77.2%
18. Carlton 1 21 0 70.1%


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[blitznu]

1. Richmond 18 4 0 131.6%
2. West Coast 18 4 0 126.9%
3. Sydney 18 4 0 123.1%
4. North Melbourne 17 5 0 134.2%
5. Port Adelaide 16 6 0 117.4%
6. Geelong 15 7 0 128.4%
7. Collingwood 15 7 0 115.5%
8. Melbourne 14 8 0 125.4%
9. Hawthorn 14 8 0 120.8%
10. GWS 10 11 1 103.4%
11. Adelaide 9 13 0 97.3%
12. Fremantle 8 14 0 87.9%
13. Essendon 8 14 0 85.4%
14. Western Bulldogs 5 17 0 69.8%
15. St Kilda 4 17 1 71.0%
16. Gold Coast 4 18 0 66.2%
17. Brisbane Lions 3 19 0 77.2%
18. Carlton 1 21 0 70.1%


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

yeah no way do the roos lose another game from here gonna finish the year with 10 straight

 

[Quokka]

1. Richmond 18 4 0 131.6%
2. West Coast 18 4 0 126.9%
3. Sydney 18 4 0 123.1%
4. North Melbourne 17 5 0 134.2%
5. Port Adelaide 16 6 0 117.4%
6. Geelong 15 7 0 128.4%
7. Collingwood 15 7 0 115.5%
8. Melbourne 14 8 0 125.4%
9. Hawthorn 14 8 0 120.8%
10. GWS 10 11 1 103.4%
11. Adelaide 9 13 0 97.3%
12. Fremantle 8 14 0 87.9%
13. Essendon 8 14 0 85.4%
14. Western Bulldogs 5 17 0 69.8%
15. St Kilda 4 17 1 71.0%
16. Gold Coast 4 18 0 66.2%
17. Brisbane Lions 3 19 0 77.2%
18. Carlton 1 21 0 70.1%


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

Four wins separating the top 9 and then a four win gap to 10th. I'm guessing you didn't add too many upsets to your predictions.

 

[juss]

We wont finish 18-4.
Already dropped 3 games, there will be games we drop to either Swans, Giants, Pies or Cats.

 

[Squibbs]

We wont finish 18-4.
Already dropped 3 games, there will be games we drop to either Swans, Giants, Pies or Cats.

yeah i'd be extremely happy to go 16-6, I'm confident that gets us a top 2 spot

 

[The Dice Man]

It’s going to take 13 wins to make the 8 but it will be very tight between 3rd through 8th.