AFL 2018 Brownlow Medal

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higgins to get 3 votes today just to make it more interesting

could be a 5 way tie this year
 

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Red Dog Styles said:
Thinking Ward and Whitfield

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app
Click to expand...

Heads Up - Ladbrokes have now adjusted Max Gawn's odds. He's still showing 12-1. He's second favourite and as short as 6-1 elsewhere. Lads offers cash out, so you can double your money if they adjust to reflect the market. Whether you think he can win or not is irrelevant, if you get him at 12's and he comes in to 6's, you will double up.

Additionally, Gerard Whately talked him up over the weekend. No doubt he'll follow up those thoughts on AFL360 tonight, which should see his odds adjust accordingly > https://www.sen.com.au/news/2018/07...-brownlow-would-be-a-triumph-for-the-umpires/
 
AFLFootyChick said:
Heads Up - Ladbrokes have now adjusted Max Gawn's odds. He's still showing 12-1. He's second favourite and as short as 6-1 elsewhere. Lads offers cash out, so you can double your money if they adjust to reflect the market. Whether you think he can win or not is irrelevant, if you get him at 12's and he comes in to 6's, you will double up.

Additionally, Gerard Whately talked him up over the weekend. No doubt he'll follow up those thoughts on AFL360 tonight, which should see his odds adjust accordingly > https://www.sen.com.au/news/2018/07...-brownlow-would-be-a-triumph-for-the-umpires/
Click to expand...
Yeah had a look around. They all bringing Gawn and Gaff odds in.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
I don't know why Cripps is still lingering in the top picks...not disputing his impact on games, he's an amazing player, but Carlton haven't won enough, or even been close enough for him to get 1 or 2 votes in those big losses. I think Gaff and Gawn will shorten even more over the next few weeks.
 
AFLFootyChick said:
I don't know why Cripps is still lingering in the top picks...not disputing his impact on games, he's an amazing player, but Carlton haven't won enough, or even been close enough for him to get 1 or 2 votes in those big losses. I think Gaff and Gawn will shorten even more over the next few weeks.
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100% agree

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
AFLFootyChick said:
Heads Up - Ladbrokes have now adjusted Max Gawn's odds. He's still showing 12-1. He's second favourite and as short as 6-1 elsewhere. Lads offers cash out, so you can double your money if they adjust to reflect the market. Whether you think he can win or not is irrelevant, if you get him at 12's and he comes in to 6's, you will double up.

Additionally, Gerard Whately talked him up over the weekend. No doubt he'll follow up those thoughts on AFL360 tonight, which should see his odds adjust accordingly > https://www.sen.com.au/news/2018/07...-brownlow-would-be-a-triumph-for-the-umpires/
Click to expand...
see you point but cash out doesn't work necessarily like that does it?
i have a richmond/gawn double.. got 91/1 odds are now 20/1 roughly, original payment was 9k cash out offer is $300, how does that work?
 

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FrankGrimes said:
see you point but cash out doesn't work necessarily like that does it?
i have a richmond/gawn double.. got 91/1 odds are now 20/1 roughly, original payment was 9k cash out offer is $300, how does that work?
Click to expand...

Not sure on the doubles. For instance, my Jaidyn Stephenson bet is offering me more than half of what I'd get if he wins. I'm currently offered $60 more than I put on Gawn.
 
AFLFootyChick said:
I don't know why Cripps is still lingering in the top picks...not disputing his impact on games, he's an amazing player, but Carlton haven't won enough, or even been close enough for him to get 1 or 2 votes in those big losses. I think Gaff and Gawn will shorten even more over the next few weeks.
Click to expand...

Combination of big numbers, with huge contested possession rates, with a very fair style right under umpires noses. Markets have him right, I reckon. Will lose very few votes to teammates also.
 
TheJanuaryMan said:
Combination of big numbers, with huge contested possession rates, with a very fair style right under umpires noses. Markets have him right, I reckon. Will lose very few votes to teammates also.
Click to expand...

The latest AFL Coaches Association votes have Gawn in the lead and Cripps in second place - 71 (Gawn), 68 (Cripps). Gawn received the perfect 10 votes in Round 17. Cripps received 8. Mitchell is a fair way behind in this one (58). Gaff is even further down (53).

http://www.afl.com.au/news/2018-07-16/aflca-votes-round-17-big-max-gets-max-votes
 
TheJanuaryMan said:
As I've said a few times and don't want anyone taking offence - coaches votes are near meaningless in the Brownlow.

Robbie Gray - 2014.
Click to expand...

As expected, Whateley talked glowingly about Gawn on AFL360 tonight. He said he is leading most player awards, not just Coaches Association. Aware of the difference, but the buzz on Gawn is pretty strong. If he isn't where everyone is expecting him to be in voting to this point, no amount of media sway will get him home now, but if he is, and his form sticks, he's a real chance.
 
TheJanuaryMan said:
Combination of big numbers, with huge contested possession rates, with a very fair style right under umpires noses. Markets have him right, I reckon. Will lose very few votes to teammates also.
Click to expand...

But as previously stated will lose a ton of votes to players on the teams he keeps getting flogged by
 
iluvparis said:
But as previously stated will lose a ton of votes to players on the teams he keeps getting flogged by
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Look at it this way..how many team.votes do we expect Carlton to poll?
Brisbane were bottom last year with 5 wins and polled 47 team votes.

Lets say Carlton ger 32+ as a team for the season. Then consider how many of those will go to players other than Cripps. Won't be many - hence why he is shorter than ladder position normally suggests. In theory.
 
AFLFootyChick said:
As expected, Whateley talked glowingly about Gawn on AFL360 tonight. He said he is leading most player awards, not just Coaches Association. Aware of the difference, but the buzz on Gawn is pretty strong. If he isn't where everyone is expecting him to be in voting to this point, no amount of media sway will get him home now, but if he is, and his form sticks, he's a real chance.
Click to expand...

Absinthely a big chance, won't deny that and as I posted a page or so back, doubts on a few teammates ability to steal votes.
 
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