History Biggest election upsets in history?

[The_torpedo]

Got thinking about this after last night.

93 federal and 99 victoria are both certainly up there

Internationally the 2016 us election and 2018 malaysia also were pretty big shock results

Any others?

 

[Hank Scorpion]

2014 SA - Liberals ahead on Newspoll throughout the entire term, win 53% of 2PP against a 12 year-old government. Still lost (I think on shorter odds than Labor were last night)

I still think last night is more unexpected than that, and any others in Australian history.

 

[jaaack]

I didn't see anyone except media outlets carrying on about how good labors chances were. It's you're own fault if your soft headed enough to trust the polls they use. Most people I knew thought it was up in the air and many, including me, expected a liberal win. How much was it really an upset, outside of 90iq journalists who take one look at their Twitter feed and conclude that nobody will vote liberal?

 

[Jibroni]

I think last night was a bigger upset than Trump in 2016.

The unpopularity of Mr Shorten may have been larger than Hillary's but given the happenings of the Libs over the last 4 years this should have been a gimme.

 

[its free real estate]

Trump was massive. I remember people at work coming up to me asking “are you seeing this?”

 

[Brunswick Trap King]

Trump was massive. I remember people at work coming up to me asking “are you seeing this?”

My brother, a friend and me were drinking watching it. I'll never forget the moment they called Florida.

 

[Scallop Industry Thug]

This one was a bigger upset. Clinton got 3 million more votes than Trump in 2016, but they were in the wrong states.

 

[HairyO]

Trump was massive. I remember people at work coming up to me asking “are you seeing this?”

Trump was always going to win. Saturday was more of a surprise though a friend of mine who never bets made an account and won $500.

So it was not at all surprising to some.

 

[The_torpedo]

As much as I hate him, I always felt Trump was gonna win in 2016

 

[sherb]

Newman's LNP getting rolled in Queensland in 2015 has to be up there.

 

[Chicago1]

I was defeated for 7th Grade Class President. It still hurts after 54 years. I think there was collusion betwwen the winner(a girl) and our teacher - a nun. Feminazis.

 

[FireKrakouer]

My brother, a friend and me were drinking watching it. I'll never forget the moment they called Florida.

Were you happy or sad m8? T'was a gay old time for me.

 

[tandino]

The 2015 UK General Election should be up there.

The conservatives behind in all the polls and they end up in majority government.

And then the s**t hits the fan.

 

[ChampRevesby]

Trump was massive. I remember people at work coming up to me asking “are you seeing this?”

If it was anyone other than Hillary then Trump would have been smashed. It was basically a tv show host vs the worst person in US politics.

 

[medusala]

The 2015 UK General Election should be up there.
.

Brexit much more of an upset than that. Kennett getting beaten was a huge upset.

 

[DaRick]

Got thinking about this after last night.

93 federal and 99 victoria are both certainly up there

Internationally the 2016 us election and 2018 malaysia also were pretty big shock results

Any others?

As soon as Mahatir (a popular former Prime Minister) became the Leader of the Opposition they were a good chance, particularly as Razak wasn't particularly popular or well-regarded.

Doesn't quite qualify as an upset, but an old-school Labourite like Corbyn shredding May's majority in 2017 came as a shock.

 

[Royal Flush]

I didn't buy into the polls at all.
I have always thought swinging voters use reason as an assessment. Therefore LNP was always in it.

However I got sucked into the betting agencies.
I believed they were the smart money.

Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk

 

[Bradesmaen]

If you look past the total opinion place, Trump was not an upset win. He was polling well in individual states but everyone was seeing the national poll which doesn't translate into electoral college votes.

 

[The_torpedo]

As soon as Mahatir (a popular former Prime Minister) became the Leader of the Opposition they were a good chance, particularly as Razak wasn't particularly popular or well-regarded.

Doesn't quite qualify as an upset, but an old-school Labourite like Corbyn shredding May's majority in 2017 came as a shock.

I classed it mostly because a) the BN were in power for 60 years, b) it was widely expected they would retain power and c) they brought out the old manipulation tricks (gerrymandering, opposition candidates disqualified for dubious reasons, etc) - yet they still got swept from office

 

[DaRick]

Newman's LNP getting rolled in Queensland in 2015 has to be up there.

Antony Green actually thought he'd lose sometime before the election, interestingly enough.

 

[Kyptastic]

 

[Belnakor]

Antony Green actually thought he'd lose sometime before the election, interestingly enough.

wasn't an upset, it was more of a "he is so far ahead seats wise it will be hard to lose".

 

[Belnakor]

Any others?

2001 WA election blind sided the WA libs, one of the ministers was on an ABC panel and the first booth came in showing he was going to lose. He quickly excused himself lol

 

[DaRick]

wasn't an upset, it was more of a "he is so far ahead seats wise it will be hard to lose".

Well, where does one end and the other begin?

Losing a supermajority in one term (even in QLD) should be impossible. The ALP were in disarray after 2012; a remotely competent LNP government should have seen them cool their heels for at least the next decade.

 

[Snake_Baker]

Latham nails it.

If they vote in another disconnected twit as leader, then they are no chance again next time around.