Certified Legendary Thread Covid, Life, UFOs, Food, & Wordle :(

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All it is that the closed cases so far are a relatively small group compared to the total and active cases. All the mortalities are included in the closed cases immediately but the recovering cases take much longer to get there, mostly sitting in the active group for now. Over time as many of the active group recover the % mortalities in completed cases will fall substantially.

Sorry re.. I tend to ask the same questions over and over again just to reassure everyone that I'm actually a complete idiot.
 

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God, this staying at home thing would be so much more bearable if I could watch the footy every weekend. Sigh.


Its obvious clubs like Richmond and Collingwood are only getting weaker by not playing games at the moment.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...l/news-story/2c5c2f018bc34af523febc39176a892a

You can't even fish in Victoria at the moment!!

Little doubt Collingwood is only getting weaker at the moment from a relative position of strength being asked to guarantee AFL loans to according to some.

Collingwood should be playing games with the likes of Richmond within safe quarantine environment to sure up revenue and viability clearly and throw in Mason Cox with your USA bonanza marketing to!!
 
Its obvious clubs like Richmond and Collingwood are only getting weaker by not playing games at the moment.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...l/news-story/2c5c2f018bc34af523febc39176a892a

You can't even fish in Victoria at the moment!!

Little doubt Collingwood is only getting weaker at the moment from a relative position of strength being asked to guarantee AFL loans to according to some.

Collingwood should be playing games with the likes of Richmond within safe quarantine environment to sure up revenue and viability clearly and throw in Mason Cox with your USA bonanza marketing to!!

You can thank the Chinese Communist Party for this wonderful new world we live in when they initially tried to surpress the seriousness of the disease.

Have to hand it to communism, always consistently brings misery upon the world.
 
You could also say the same about the deaths, when they're talking about the overall death rate being about 5%. Eg all the cases are included but not all the deaths are included as some of the deaths from current cases haven't happened yet.

All the cases are not included ...

... it’s only the ones that have tested positive. There’ll be many cases who haven’t been tested (yet). It also needs to account for sensitivity / specificity rates (false negatives, false positives).

We’ll probably have a better idea if / when we deploy a blood antibody test en mass
 
You can thank the Chinese Communist Party for this wonderful new world we live in when they initially tried to surpress the seriousness of the disease.

Have to hand it to communism, always consistently brings misery upon the world.
You can thank the mainland Chinese for starting it in the first place.
 
Its obvious clubs like Richmond and Collingwood are only getting weaker by not playing games at the moment.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...l/news-story/2c5c2f018bc34af523febc39176a892a

You can't even fish in Victoria at the moment!!

Little doubt Collingwood is only getting weaker at the moment from a relative position of strength being asked to guarantee AFL loans to according to some.

Collingwood should be playing games with the likes of Richmond within safe quarantine environment to sure up revenue and viability clearly and throw in Mason Cox with your USA bonanza marketing to!!
Or it could result in a situation like F1 where financial/engine development caps have allowed Mercedes to dominate for years with no one able to close the gap. As Gale says in that article the tigs already know what works and hold an idea of their priorities.

Unlike F1 we’ll still see some competition, but it might amongst just a few teams.

WC, Rich and Coll are all in a good position on and off the field.

GWS is less certain financially, but are highly talented. Brisbane appear similar to GWS with more debt and they have enough talent to win enough matches at the Gabba.

Hawthorn are strong off field and while Clarkson is in charge they can never be discounted onfield.

Geelong are well managed and Kardinia Park brings in a heap of dollars, their list is ageing though.
 
Or it could result in a situation like F1 where financial/engine development caps have allowed Mercedes to dominate for years with no one able to close the gap. As Gale says in that article the tigs already know what works and hold an idea of their priorities.

Unlike F1 we’ll still see some competition, but it might amongst just a few teams.

WC, Rich and Coll are all in a good position on and off the field.

GWS is less certain financially, but are highly talented. Brisbane appear similar to GWS with more debt and they have enough talent to win enough matches at the Gabba.

Hawthorn are strong off field and while Clarkson is in charge they can never be discounted onfield.

Geelong are well managed and Kardinia Park brings in a heap of dollars, their list is ageing though.

The stronger clubs will not even be able to provide support the way we are going.

Why look a gift horse in the mouth?
 

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All the cases are not included ...

... it’s only the ones that have tested positive. There’ll be many cases who haven’t been tested (yet). It also needs to account for sensitivity / specificity rates (false negatives, false positives).

We’ll probably have a better idea if / when we deploy a blood antibody test en mass
That is all true. In terms of death rates. We can only really talk about death rates amongst those who have been tested and confirmed. South Korea tested maniacally in terms of tracking contacts and that's probably a big reason why their death rates are lower than a lot of other countries - theyve picked up more of those who have mild symptoms or are asymptomatic. The actual death rate is probably significantly lower than the global rate if above 5%.

However, that is also what we were saying when we thiught death rates were 2%. We were expecting it to drop from there for the same reasons, but it has consistently risen and looks like continuing to rise in the short term. So god knows
 
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How f good does that look re.. am I a f great or what re..

View attachment 852588
As a skip, I think you've lost your Mediterranean cred. Looks like an over-topped skip pizza. And don't get me started on the pre bought bases.

Lift your game gimp, youre our barometer of style and refinement and that’s not cutting it.
 
As a skip, I think you've lost your Mediterranean cred. Looks like an over-topped skip pizza. And don't get me started on the pre bought bases.

Lift your game gimp, youre our barometer of style and refinement and that’s not cutting it.
I’d be happy with Gimp’s pizza for lunch. He might even let me have one of his expensive beers to wash it down.
 
Ain't that the truth.
Yep. Neither of the rates that Gimp was looking at are giving much of an idea abiut what they first appear to measure. You're right abiut the closed cases percentage of deaths being inflated and not giving a reliable measure if hiw cases are likely to progress. Additionally, we cant look at the 5% of active cases that are serious and assume only 5% of cases will be serious, as deaths have been removed from that 5% and those whose cases will develop into serious are yet to be included.
 

This is good news Dave. Reading in more depth, it seems the dosage used in the lab was 50 times stronger than that which they use for treating Yellow and Dengue fever, etc. So there’s a way to go to prove that Ivermectin is effective in people rather than test tubes, and safe to use at that strong a dose (or a lesser effective dose).
 
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