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  1. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    That's because there wasn't actually a mirror there.
  2. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    About two weeks ago I did try to push back in the other thread against the assumption that the polls were underselling Harris. I mean, we had two previous elections to look at for the historic trends. Trump outperformed the polling by substantially more in 2016 and 2020 than today, however, he...
  3. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    It was only 17% off. I don't know what you are complaining about.
  4. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Even then it's debatable.
  5. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Incidentally in Iowa (the one with the poll last week that made the Democrats all excited) Trump won by 14%. Goes to show how much stock you should put in even reputable pollsters.
  6. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    93% counted, he's up by over 200,000 votes. Not the most unreasonable thing he's ever claimed.
  7. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Decision Desk has called Pennsylvania. So that's that.
  8. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Georgia called for Trump now.
  9. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Completely different circumstances in 2020 tbf.
  10. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    The Decision Desk and Fox have called it. https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/
  11. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    North Carolina has been called for Trump.
  12. eaglespremiers

    Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

    Trump exactly 16 votes up currently in North Carolina (400,475 vs 400,459).
  13. eaglespremiers

    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    They absolutely do if Harris intends on making it a swing state. Of the last twenty-eight polls conducted in Georgia Harris has won in only two polls.
  14. eaglespremiers

    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    It probably is. But historically the actual election result compared to the polling indications is very favourable to Trump regardless of overall outcome. An example is Pennsylvania where about this time before the 2016 election polling indications were that Clinton had a 90% chance of winning...
  15. eaglespremiers

    Europe War in Ukraine

    Is that entirely true for a non-democratic authoritarian nation that has a compulsion to execute dissidents? I don't think anyone from a typical western nation like Australia could comprehend the sacrifice you are calling individuals to in order to oppose a dictator who wouldn't hesitate to take...
  16. eaglespremiers

    Europe War in Ukraine

    How pertinent these lyrics are from 6 years ago: "When strangers are coming They come to your house They kill you all and say We’re not guilty, not guilty"
  17. eaglespremiers

    Europe War in Ukraine

    As long as you don't send him to purgatory.
  18. eaglespremiers

    Europe War in Ukraine

    Unfortunately these are words which will likely be etched in future history books.
  19. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Just crunching some numbers for Georgia. The report is that 94% of the vote is in (totalling 4,659,069). Trump has a current lead of 102,823 votes. The remaining votes appears to be 297,431. Biden would have to win in excess of 200,000 of these votes in order to win Georgia. Are the remaining...
  20. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    It would make the other counts more interesting. Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
  21. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    I've no doubt it will tighten up significantly. I just think that Trump's lead will stand for him to hold (based on his 677,000 vote lead).
  22. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Maybe you're right. But Washington Post has the "An estimated 78% of votes have been counted" figure directly below the 5,323,770 votes. And Philadelphia only has a population of 1,500,000. So I'm not sure how it is just referring to Philadelphia.
  23. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Not sure if Trump loses Pennsylvania from here. According to Washington Post the number of votes counted upon closing earlier today totalled 5,323,770 (being 78% of the votes for Pennsylvania). Extrapolating this means that there are a total of 6,826,000 (approximately) votes available in...
  24. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Do you know which counties are left to report in Wisconsin and what proclivities they have?
  25. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Yep, which will obviously make my calculations redundant.
  26. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Biden just pulled within 32,000 votes. So the lead is all but gone.
  27. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Rudimentary math percentages extrapolated. For example, Wisconsin has 94% reporting with a total of 2,974,127 having been counted (between the two Presidential candidates). 2,973,127 is 94% of approximately 3,165,000. Ergo 190,000 votes to count (approximate only). I don't profess to have a...
  28. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Sure, but it seems comparable to winning from a six goal deficit at three quarter time. Theoretically possible, but not going to happen based on voting trends.
  29. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    How do you figure? Using very rudimentary figures: Wisconsin Wisconsin has 94% reporting with Trump leading by approximately 110,000 votes. This means that of the approximate 190,000 remaining votes to count Biden needs to win approximately 150,000 of them (79% of the remaining votes). Georgia...
  30. eaglespremiers

    US Election 2020: President Elect Biden and VP Elect Harris

    Would set a disturbing precedent. The Supreme Court would essentially be obsolete the next time the Republicans had the President and power in the Senate again and completed their own expansion. Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk

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