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  1. grumbleguts

    Media Stats Reveal the Real Deal. Who's Embracing the Sewerage Best.

    Using the mathematics of dominance matrices we have analysed the season so far to ascertain just who is the highest lowest rated team statistically. Sometimes the ladder doesn't actually demonstrate the worst or best team in the competition. By way of demonstration, in 2016 North Melbourne...
  2. grumbleguts

    VFL Box Hill replays 2026

    FB19 Here is the first installment https://www.afl.com.au/video/1480576/vfl-match-replay-r1-box-hill-v-sydney?videoId=1480576&modal=true&type=video&publishFrom=1773970500001
  3. grumbleguts

    Toast Coaches' votes 2026 edition

    Player Total R0 R1 Nick Watson 9 9 Tom Barrass 5 5 Jack Gunston 4 4 Conor Nash 4 4 James Sicily 3 3 Jarman Impey 3 3 Jai Newcombe 1 1
  4. grumbleguts

    U19 50 over World Cup

    After the easy win against Ireland Australia face Japan. Japan won the toss and decided (for some reason) to bat. Looks a sightly unever pitch with reward to the bowlers in the early overs. Japan struggling to score 1/17 off 7 overs, having just hit their first boundary.
  5. grumbleguts

    25/6 BBL

    This bowler for the thunder's name is what I say to my neighbours when they won't stop arguing at 2:30 am. Shadab Khan!
  6. grumbleguts

    Toast Welcome to Hawthorn Nonno D'Ambrosio

    Guy needs his own thread now.
  7. grumbleguts

    Toast Coaches Votes 2025 Edition

    Player Total R0 R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22 R23 R24 Will Day 10 10 Karl Amon 7 7 James Sicily 6 6
  8. grumbleguts

    AFLW Toast 2024 Coaches' votes AFLW edition

    Total Rnd 1 Rnd 2 Rnd 3 Rnd 4 Rnd 5 Eliza West 23 10 3 10 Aileen Gilroy 17 7 6 4 Greta Bodey 15 5 10 Emily Bates 12 4 8 Jasmine Fleming 12 9 2 1 Lucy Wales 11 1 7 3 Tilly Lucas-Rodd 9 6 3 Emily Everist 5 5 Aine McDonagh 2...
  9. grumbleguts

    Toast Hawthorn Brownlow Votes 2024

    Bye Ess Mel Gee Col GC NM Syd WB StK PA Brs Ade GWS Ric Bye WC Gee Fre Col Ade GWS Car Ric NM Player OR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Total Jai Newcombe 2 3 3 2 1 3 3 2 2 3 24 James Worpel 1 2 3...
  10. grumbleguts

    Universal Love Goal celebrations we'd like to see.

    So it's a runaway horse we may as well embrace it. What are some of the goal celebrations we'd like to see? One would be a player giving the goal scorer a speeding fine after streaming through the fwd 50. Watson waving a wand. Painting a masterpiece. Lighting the cigar. What are some others?
  11. grumbleguts

    Analysis Stats per game this season based on time on ground.

    I was (I know, I know) reading a facebook post where someone asked why Breust was being managed, and some idiot replied, because he can't get a kick. I thought about how much game time Breust has had and how many goals he'd have kicked if he played out entire games this season and where that...
  12. grumbleguts

    Toast Coaches' Votes 2024 edition

    Coaches votes so far this season. Player 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Total Worpel 1 9 10 20 Newcombe 2 9 9 20 Moore 2 8 2 5 17...
  13. grumbleguts

    New Year's Cricket Idea.

  14. grumbleguts

    Media Relevant or Not: Umpires do they even matter?

    You know how it is, the umpire blows his whistle to start the match. He bounces the ball and seconds into match, he blows his whistle and there's some free kick lottery in the ruck contest. Some larrikin in the crowd calls out "He's been doin' it all DAY umpire!" and nobody actually knows...
  15. grumbleguts

    Media Relevant or Not: Kicks do you get a kick out of them?

    Next in our series of Relevant or Not, are kicks. The game is called Qootball after all, so using your qeet woud have to be one of the primary skills in the game. Does this premise translate to success on the score board? OF COURSE IT DOES! When we plot kick differential against scoreboard...
  16. grumbleguts

    Media Relevant or not: Hand balls

    The next stat in our "Relevant or Not" series is hand balls. Does your team gain an advantage on the scoreboard by hand-balling more often. There is a slight positive trend in the relationship between hand ball differential and score differential (Correlation coefficient = 0.45 - in the...
  17. grumbleguts

    Media Are disposals at your disposal when you want to win, or are they irrelevant?

    The next stat we'll be covering in our series "Relevant or Not" is total disposals differential. Does having the qootball in your possession help you win matches? Let's find out. If we plot disposal differential against score differential, there seems to be a pretty decent correlation (0.71)...
  18. grumbleguts

    Game Day Hawthorn vs Melbourne - 22_9_23 - Frankston

    Game on. Not started well.
  19. grumbleguts

    Media Are tackles worth the suspension risk?

    We've all seen the odd club captain perform the perfect tackle, earn a free kick and get a three week suspension for his troubles, but are tackles really a part of the game that should just be rubbed out? If you plot tackle differential against score differential you get a very slight...
  20. grumbleguts

    Media Rucks - Are they worth their pay cheque?

    If we plot hit outs in every game this season against team score there is a moderate correlation, this however is expected regardless of the effect of the number of hit outs on scoring, there is a profound effect the other way. ie scoring causes hit outs. (The more goals you kick the more...
  21. grumbleguts

    Coach Coaches votes 2023 edition

    Round Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Games Polled Jai Newcombe 63 7 3 4 1 4 8 7 7 6 3 3 10 12 James Sicily 53 5 2 3 7 10 5 10 10 1 9 Will Day 26 8 5 2 1 8 2 6...
  22. grumbleguts

    AFLW Autopsy Round 3, 2022: Richmond vs Hawthorn, 11 September 2022 @ Punt Rd Oval.

    Couldn't find a thread so I made one. We have been dominating play, Richmond 4 goals out of nowhere, killing them in clearances, but we can't hold marks above the shoulders. Commentators giving Richmond a rub down and hugs all round.
  23. grumbleguts

    Review Round 3, 2022: Box Hill Hawks vs Sandringham Zebras, 10 April 2022, 12.00pm @ MCG

    Early days but looks like we'll be winning this by kicking 1000 behinds.
  24. grumbleguts

    Analysis Line analysis

    After three games, a lot has been said about our midfield not pulling its weight and our backline doing the heavy lifting. I thought I'd look at I50 data in both directions and how well teams have scored and defended scoring. First table: ratio of I50 gained and conceded. Second table...
  25. grumbleguts

    Analysis 2022 Team ratings

    It's that time again. Last couple of seasons has been too depressing but it hasn't been often I can post a ratings table like this: Hawthorn on the top Essendon on the bottom and Richmond ninth. 1 Hawthorn 100.000 2 Collingwood 68.680 3 Melbourne 48.587 4 Sydney 48.047 5 Carlton...
  26. grumbleguts

    Analysis Team Ratings 2021

    Round 3 Teams rated against the highest rated team out of 100. North not doing so well. Early days and things will swing wildly for a few weeks. Western Bulldogs100 West Coast68.84 Sydney64.25 Port Adelaide25.38 Melbourne18.05 Richmond17.68 Collingwood9.92 Gold Coast7.83...
  27. grumbleguts

    Happy new year

    I hope all our players were standing on their left feet tonight, start 2021 off on the right foot. Happy new year everyone.
  28. grumbleguts

    Player Watch Cyril Rioli's Tiwi debut

    Cyril's debut game for the Tiwi Bombers is being streamed live today here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YaQ5It1mHs It has the number of hours until the start on the screen until it begins. At the time of posting it was 7.
  29. grumbleguts

    News Welcome to Hawthorn Cebby Johnson

    How cool is this: https://www.hawthornfc.com.au/news/2019-06-18/cebby-signs-with-hawks-
  30. grumbleguts

    Game Day Round 7, 2019: Melbourne v Hawthorn, 4 May 2019, 1.45pm @ MCG

    It's Saturday and it's game day. I didn't think parallel universe existed, nor do I know how I got here.

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