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  1. Final Siren

    I will be simulating season 2020 in real-time as if the games were really being played

    Since there is no actual football, me and a rag-tag group of football analysts, model-builders, and maths geeks are coming come together to simulate games in real-time as if they were really going ahead. Because this is as close as we can get. It will look something like this: So this...
  2. Final Siren

    Pasting in BigFooty strips newlines

    I made a Ladder Predictor site, which has a button for people to copy & paste their ladders into BigFooty in a friendly format. However I've discovered BigFooty runs some JavaScript that modifies the pasted text, and it's stripping out all the newlines. The result is posts like this one - the...
  3. Final Siren

    Fixture Analysis 2018: Home Ground Advantage

    Home ground advantage is often overlooked, underrated, or just plain cocked up in fixture analysis. Which is strange, because it's one of the most reliable predictors. We don't know whether a team's double-up opponents will become tougher or weaker in 2018, but we do know it's always better to...
  4. Final Siren

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    EDIT: The below post was written by @Lions_Prid3. When they went inactive, mods reassigned the thread to me. JUMP TO 2023 :arrowright::arrowright::arrowright: ----------------- If you are anything like me, hearing Final Siren state that after his beloved Tigers saluted in the last game of the...
  5. Final Siren

    Suggestion I don't care about Fitzroy

    Long-running pet hate... On the mainboard, there is a helpful topbar with links to the subforums, starting with "AFL" and then the clubs in alphabetical order ("ADE", "BRI", ...) and then "Fitz" at the end. When my browser isn't wide enough to fit the entire bar, it removes some links and puts...
  6. Final Siren

    Certified Legendary Thread Squiggle 2017

    Continued in thread for 2018/2019: https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/the-squiggle-2018-and-2019-appreciation-thread-and-other-analytics.1187002/ ====================================== Chief asked me to start a new thread this year so this is it. Thanks for joining Squiggle 2017! This is...
  7. Final Siren

    Proof of umpire error in Sicily goal

    According to the umps, it was a goal, not even close enough to review, and it only looked like it missed because of the camera angle. Half of polled Herald-Sun readers reckon they're right, and after reviewing the round, the AFL agree. Footage of the "goal" here: "Hawthorn get another...
  8. Final Siren

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    [Edit! 2015 squiggles start here. Interactive squiggle (with tips, predictor & FAQ) is here. 2014 squiggles started here.] I like to chart things for no good reason, so I decided to make a scatterplot of teams from their scores for and against over the course of the 2013 season. It looks like...
  9. Final Siren

    Finals Ticketing

    Obviously it's way too early to talk about finals, and we probably won't make it, and the lid is ON, STAY ON! But if, hypothetically, a team, say... oh I dunno... could be any of them... let's say Richmond, just picking at random. If the Tigers hypothetically made the finals this year, what do I...
  10. Final Siren

    Barometers in 2012, by the numbers

    I've been poking around looking for interesting correlations between team performance and who's playing, to identify players who, for whatever reason, seem to be around when the team plays well, and absent when it doesn't. Namely, barometers. It might be that they just happen to be on the park...
  11. Final Siren

    Moneytigerball 2012

    Let's begin with a pretty graph. Everyone loves graphs: This doesn't tell us much: we won most of the games we were expected to, lost most of the ones we weren't, with a few upsets either way. For a better feel of the season, we can look at the difference between the final margin and the...
  12. Final Siren

    Suspensions: Why aren't finals weighted differently?

    Surely this has come up before? I couldn't find a thread. Anyway: The MRP system awards "points" for an infringement. For every 100 points, a player is suspended for 1 match. It would be easy to weight finals matches a little differently, so that, for example, you don't miss a final unless...
  13. Final Siren

    New rule idea: Suspensions

    When a bloke gets rubbed out, I want to see him serve the first week of his sentence against the club he infringed. So if, for example, Jake King (Richmond) belts Dane Swan (Collingwood), and the Match Review Panel give him three weeks, Jake misses the next two rounds, plus the next match...
  14. Final Siren

    Play GWS/GC = Win + Win Next Week

    Interesting how the first four weeks have produced this pattern. Every team that has played one of the new teams has not only taken home the 4 points, but also won the following week, often unexpectedly. Round 2: Sydney down Freo, Adelaide defeat the Bulldogs. Round 3: North upsets Geelong, St...
  15. Final Siren

    Our 2012 if we play like 2011

    I had a thought: how will our season go in 2012 if results fall the same way as 2011? E.g. we lose to Carlton the first time we play them, we beat Essendon the first time we play them but lose the second time, and so on. It makes for some pretty scary reading. Here's our 2012 fixture with...
  16. Final Siren

    Your Club in 2012, according to BigFooty

    Post-Grand Final update! The best tipsters by club! Updated 29 March 2012! Now with 357 ladders, and team snapshots for North Melbourne, Richmond, West Coast, Melbourne, Carlton, GWS, Collingwood, Hawthorn, St. Kilda, Sydney, Geelong, Adelaide, Port Adelaide, Fremantle, Essendon, and Gold...
  17. Final Siren

    The Ladder: fixed version

    I must have too much time on my hands, because I decided to figure out what the ladder would look like if instead of getting 4 points for a win, you get however many premiership points the opposition has. For example, beating Hawthorn is worth 12 points, beating Port is worth 4, and wins over...
  18. Final Siren

    Bank the Pick

    I heard somewhere we are planning to bank our end-of-1st-round pick (the one we got from Adelaide, and they got for losing Bock to Gold Coast). If true, this is a GREAT sign. So often we have sold out the future chasing short-term results. I see this happening now with other clubs, e.g...
  19. Final Siren

    2010 fixture was rubbish

    This is what members got for $180 this year: Thursday night v Carlton MCG Sunday twilight v Western Bulldogs MCG Sunday early v Melbourne MCG Sunday early v Hawthorn MCG Friday night v St Kilda Etihad Sunday early v West Coast MCG Sunday arvo v Sydney MCG...
  20. Final Siren

    Did we stitch up Brisbane?

    Last year when Brisbane raided our coaching staff, luring Rawlings and McCrae north, I thought it was odd that a flag contender would value our people so highly. These were blokes I never had a problem with, but, let's face it, had been there during some miserable years and delivered nothing...
  21. Final Siren

    Which team has had the most priority picks?

    Every now and again someone moans about how Richmond is full of priority draft picks, so I decided to get the facts: Since 1999: Club Priority Picks 1st Round 2nd Round Year / Player ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Carlton 4...
  22. Final Siren

    Disappointment Ladder

    With most flag fancies suffering early setbacks and the Hawks and Crows in freefall, season 2010 has been chock full of disappointments. So behold: the Disappointment Ladder! (In reverse order: surprisingly promising teams at the top.) 1. Fremantle 2. Sydney 3. Collingwood 4. Melbourne 5. Port...
  23. Final Siren

    Is this the gameplan?

    I mentioned this in another thread but no-one picked up on it, so sorry for repeating myself. But I think it's an interesting point from last night's game that nobody is talking about: our directness into attack. Last night, despite being smashed in every stat, we stayed reasonably close on the...
  24. Final Siren

    Ban the Boo

    One thing that gives me the irrits about going to the footy is when supporters boo the opposition. I reckon the only acceptable times to boo are: A terrible umpiring decision. It's also okay to boo an opposition player lining up for a shot on goal as a result of a terrible umpiring decision...
  25. Final Siren

    2018 Premiers: guaranteed

    I was knocking back with a well-earned stubbie last night and no sooner had I twisted off the top when a genie pops out. Huge bloke, swathed in robes, looked a bit like Andrew Demetriou. "FINAL SIREN," he boomed out, "FOR FREEING ME FROM THAT STUBBIE I WILL GRANT YOU ONE WISH." Well obviously...

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