I don't know anything about his role at Freo, but he is VERY outside.
Last year North gave up more uncontested possessions than any other team. More than 10% above league average.
Last week (one one match) they were 10% worse than last year's average.
If he's gonna hit big #s any week, this...
Amen Thompson starting, with Sengun out.
His stats this year 8.1 pts, 5.7rebs, 2.3 ast
His stats as a starter 12.6, 10.9, 3.9
Only 8 game sample, but
Has hit 10+ reb 6/8 vs odds of $3.50 (SB)
Has hit 12+ reb 4/8 vs odds $7.50
Has hit 4+ ast 5/8 vs odds $2.70
Has hit 1+ stl 7/8 (no odds)...
God damn it Sam.
We don't want mind games in order to streamline gameplans or mess with opposition preparations.
We want clarity on where players will line up.
But not so much clarity that the bookies catch on.
Capiche?!?
Training, verb
The act of watching players prepare for a match for the sole purpose of determining who should be backed degnerately for goal trains.
Eg - I got to the ground early so I could get in a great training session. This allowed me to place my life savings on two players that usually...
Mitch Lewis odds at SB look insanely juicy to me.
He isn't always fit but when he is he kicks goals (#MostInterestingManInTheWorld)
Comparing his odds to his performance over the last couple of years.
Goals
Hits
% hit
Fair odds
Actual odds
1
26
87%
$1.15
$1.17
2
20
67%
$1.50
$1.88
3...
That's hot.
Last two years he has kicked goals in 19/52 matches.
Equals fair odds of $2.73 (before you account for the fact that it's probably harder to score against Syd than the avg team).
Kicked 0.0, 1.0, 0.2 last three games against Syd.
I tailed your multi, but swapped out Martin for McGovern 20+
Managed to get the line at -13.5, but fell short.
Good call though and at least $ back on Bet Return.
Every team has close games. Very fine line between winning/losing those.
Important to end up on the right side. Collingwood's last two seasons have been built on close wins.
Interesting to see the boys slowed things down in final minutes and sent Charlie back.
Not saying it was pretty or...
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