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I do this after the H&A every year and it usually throws up a couple of interesting points. 2022 for reference. It can be useful as a finals win predictor but like all models, it's pretty blunt and best used with your own judgment - it doesn't account for injuries or home vs away, for example...

Hey baybes. As I’m sure you’re all aware, the mighty Hawks are currently on their inexorable rise to another dynasty. But in all honesty, that might be several months away and we’re a bit rubbish at the moment. And it got me thinking: who’d make our all-time* spud team? But more than that...

Hey everyone, thought I'd do the annual records vs top 8 to see whether it throws up anything interesting. Last year for reference. First, top 8 vs top 8: (Note it ranks by points, then fewer games played, then %.) Some thoughts: The fewest possible number of games against teams in the 8 is...

I've done this for the last couple of years and I think it's kind of interesting - it usually throws up a few unexpected things. And for those tipping, I think (but I cbf checking) that last year it only got one finals tip wrong. EDIT: it got two wrong - Geelong in the QF and Geelong in the PF...

I did this last year for a bit of a diversion and was bored enough to do it again. Brisbane is either a very good side or flattered by their draw. Percentage is often said to be a strong indicator of a flag side, which suggests Richmond and Geelong will be hard to beat. But Geelong was the...

I had a bit of time today, so decided to nerd out and create a ladder based on results vs the final top 8. As teams haven't all played the same number of matches vs the finalists, I've sorted it by win percentage. A couple of observations: - The differing number of games played even among...

I always like to have a look at this as the season draws to a close. Here are our remaining games: Brisbane (Tas) - They'll start favourites but we're not without a chance. We seem to play better against the top sides. North (A) - They're a chance of beating anyone at the moment but this is one...

I grew up with them being the undisputed world champs - they dominated for 20 years - and I've often wondered how a non-unitary collection of islands with such a small population (of Test-playing nations, larger only than New Zealand at a current level of about 6 million) produced such an...

So here's what we're up against: Fremantle (Subiaco) Sydney (MCG) Richmond (MCG) North (Tassie) Carlton (Etihad) Bulldogs (Etihad) I think we're a genuine shot in all of them on current form. How many will we win? I'd say four. (But not which four...)

Am I the only one who noticed this?

Getting in early with the preview thread to discuss which Hawks players run out on Saturday, if any. Do we apply to play guys like Schoey and Spang for continuity or not risk them?

Apologies if there's a thread on this - I didn't see one. I'm curious as to what people think about how the week off before finals affects the relative chances of the top 4 and the 5th to 8th teams, especially given the second week off in three weeks that the QF winners will have. Is it too...

Benny McGlynn has come out and conceded the $wans are no chance this year: http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/sydney-swans-forward-ben-mcglynn-thinks-grand-final-demons-could-linger-20150203-135790.html But it's not just about admitting the demons could (read: will) hang around in the backs...

Bay, it's time we had a finals spudwatch. I think it'd be a good idea to declare a winner post-GF as well, to take the mantle from Travis Potacoe and his brilliant 2013 efforts to hand victory to both Freo and us. Unfortunately, he actually wasn't too bad last night - hell, even Zac Dawson went...

OK, since journos crib topics off BF, let's crib one off them: http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/twenty-years-on-exciting-finals-series-looms-20140902-10bluo.html That series included two of the greatest games I've ever seen: the first was the Hawks-North QF, when we pushed them to extra...

:oops::$ http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/essendons-paddy-ryder-on-verge-of-walkout-20140903-10c40d.html Post tears, melts and gloats in here.

Freo's recent form has me thinking we might start favourites in all five remaining games. Freo and Geelong are still definite dangers though, and even the Pies could knock us off coming off a couple of short breaks and with them probably playing for their season. I think we're good enough to win...

Help me, Bay. The two teams tearing at the fabric of our great game with their cheating are playing tomorrow night, and I don't know who to root for. CoLA cheats with their institutionalised advantage and constant crying for us to respect their tainted culture? Or drug cheats from a once-proud...

Didn't see a thread for this, so here goes. CA Chairman's XI: Marcus Harris, Steve Cazzulino, Michael Hill, Alex Keath, Jake Doran (wk), Ashton Turner, Luke Robins, Josh Lalor, Jayde Herrick, James Muirhead, Michael Beer (c), Simon Mackin (12th) England: Matt Prior, Michael Carberry, Joe...

Apparently Chappy is going to be a bit more circumspect for a while: But he's got a nice little swipe in there for the lulz, and is spot on. Good work :thumbsu:

Yes, Cats flogs, you can take comfort in the fact that your favourite front-runners are all just as offended as you are. http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/geelong-star-steven-motlop-still-in-pain-over-missing-grand-final-20131021-2vwc6.html There are lots of fun quotes in there...

Hey Cats flogs, can someone give me one of your awesome 11 avatars? What are they for, anyway? Have you won 11 flags like us?

Didn't see a thread for this, but mods feel free to merge if there's somewhere more appropriate. Just looked at the XII on cricinfo and it's very bowler-heavy - in a rough batting order it would be EJM Cowan* PJ Hughes UT Khawaja SPD Smith MS Wade + JP Faulkner AC Agar MA Starc RJ Harris AJ...

Hey guys, sorry for the intrusion and feel free to merge this if it's not threadworthy. Tonight's game got me thinking about older Hawks-Cats clashes, and I had a look at the 1963 season on wiki. Lots of people talk about open seasons, but check this one out...

From http://www.hawthornfc.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/4742/newsid/133542/default.aspx. No rookie nominated yet.

Linkedin sent me some jobs the other day. The first one was the second sock-puppet job I've seen advertised this week. If I'm not misinterpreting what the job is - and I don't think I am - it seems to represent a growing and sophisticated market. What say you, SRP? Wonder if we'll get one in...

Anyone got one? OK, I'll do one.

Didn't see this posted anywhere else. http://www.espncricinfo.com/west-indies-v-australia-2012/content/current/story/557237.html Watson to bat at 3 for Marsh, it looks like. No Cummins, which is the right thing if he's not 100%. No real surprises either. Looks like some stability coming to...

Just wondered if we had other students in here doing a thesis or a research project. If so, I'd be interested in hearing what you're studying. I've chosen to finish my Master with a dissertation (though it's a coursework course), which is a bit stressful right now with a full-time job, but it's...

Forgetting about that medal, here's something that should provide a bit of happiness: no player is expected to need surgery. As for surgeries that have already happened, news is mixed: http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/hawks-avoid-surgery-worries-20110926-1ktjc.html