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Yeah I don't understand how this works either, you hear it said that French racing that it's a lot of sit-and-sprint (more so than English racing). And then Japanese and Hong Kong racing seem to have none of it at all. Is it something to do with the tracks (French are stickier, Asian racing is...

there's probably a decent error bar on that rating because she eased off in the final 100m. hard to tell if that's because there was nothing left in the tank or if she could have gone even faster with a bit of a push (no idea if timeform factor this into their ratings but just looking visually).

Great effort to keep running after those early splits

From a long time lurker: paris got me into the game of horse racing must have been ten years back when I placed my first bet tailing him on a $10 multi trying to tip the card at Royal Ascot -- ended up missing the last leg by a head and I've been hooked since. Always enjoyed the debate here and...

Going to the Cup tomorrow for the first time, does anyone have any tips for making the most of it? Get there for Race 1 and try not to get too drunk before the big one?

Right so people would have gone to Deauville Legend last year hoping that he was going to improve a bit because he was a 3yo going through group races (=shows potential)? Vauban got a RPR of 114 at Royal Ascot which I guess could win a weak Melbourne Cup but that's probably close to his peak...

What's the knock on Vauban? Second to State Man hurdling over 2m whilst not a very good hurdler is pretty good form. Runs the distance, has enough speed to win 1m6f at Royal Ascot, runs on all ground, very highly rated by Ruby Walsh and the Mullins stable. Would be wanting a strongly run race...

Is there any way to bet into the Hong Kong triple trio from Australia? Don't see it on the TAB website

Are the two related in the sense that it's hard to push the tempo up if there's a rail bias because you don't want to move to the outside? Otherwise wouldn't it be in the best interests of midfield and backmarker horses to apply some pressure mid-race?

You hear a lot about tracks with leaders biases -- what's the actual mechanism behind this? My guess was that something to do with the ground means that there is a limitation on the top speed of a horse so all horses are running more or less similar speeds at the end of the race, meaning horses...

How does the Japanese turf compare to ours? You hear a lot about the firmness of the tracks in Hong Kong which changes the races a lot

Does anyone around here get a rebate from the tab on tote bets? Any idea what kind of volume you need to be betting? There's a bit of stuff online about it but it's mostly 10 years old

You're dead on, she would need to run thousands and thousands more rides to make those numbers statistically significant, and she's also competing against the favourite-longshot bias. If you filter by rides this year at < $10 SP she's going at -9% ROI which is normal enough. I don't know if...

From box 5 with unreliable box speed though. I like Mick Flash EW in R8, he's also risky early but good box and good price

Can somebody explain deductions to me? I had an early bet on Paua of Mindy to place at a short price, after which there were two scratchings. The dog ended up winning and I only got my stake back -- the rest was eaten up by deductions. Doesn't seem that fair, I'm sure the TAB would have been...

Can anyone explain deductions to me? I had a day early bet with sportsbet on Do It to place in the Topgun. Mr Fix It got scratched on the morning of the race and Lala Kiwi came in, at pretty much the same odds as Mr Fix It (she may have even started shorter) but my payout got a deduction. It...

I was worried I wasn't going to get into this match but I'm all aboard the dee train now

Nat Fyfe not actually that bad holding a microphone

Caleb was just hacking it out if mid air, even if he connects it's probably deliberate but further downfield

The mullet is a working class signifier, a taunt to those who wouldn't be able to wear one in their office job. On a private schoolboy millionaire footballer it looks as wrong as a neck tattoo on Hamish McClachlan

Also wouldn't it feel kinda hollow if you have to share it? I'd say most would rather win it outright but not many would want to risk slipping to silver

How did Thompson-Herah know that she had won on the finish line? Didn't see her look over her shoulder or anything so was ballsy to raise the arm early

can anyone tell me what song that was playing over the montage just before the ad break there?

Not 15m calls are just about the vibe

Is there any consistency to when bookies put their fields up for the dogs? Sometimes you look at the next day's races and there are no fixed odds at all and then other times they're all up and the opening prices are long gone

I'm surprised Zack Monelli isn't a bit shorter for the Sandown Cup but of the others I'd say Sir Truculent is as good a bet as any as is big value at $31. Will be finishing strong and hopefully gets a nice ride behind Zack Monelli through the first bend.

The AFL top 10 moments of the round video summed up the game pretty well: Collingwood nail a set-shot from a turnover and then receive a free-kick as the siren goes. Port nowhere to be seen but hang on for a win.

A couple of value bets for Saturday's events at Wentworth Park: Farmor Beach at $15 on b365 is every chance for the Easter Egg, good quality dog with times at Albion Park which would equate to roughly 29.4 at Wenty gets his chance in box #1. In the Association Cup Final I like Burn Time at $17...

Collingwood rough not to get a free in that last passage

Great thanks for the info! I guess it makes sense that once you've got a decent bit of exposed form then that's some actual data to go off and it should be more important than pedigree. And then the stuff like box manners should be more learned behaviour than genetic, right?