Preview 2012 Predictions thread

[syl]

Another obligatory thread for bragging rights! If you can think of other categories, let me know!

Mine is below, you don't have to put up a full ladder - just MFC possie if you're in a hurry.

Ladder:
Hawthorn
Geelong
Collingwood
Carlton
West Coast
North Melbourne
Sydney
Adelaide
---------------------
Essendon
Fremantle
St Kilda
Melbourne (10 wins)
Richmond
Western Bulldogs
Port Adelaide
Gold Coast
Brisbane
GWS

Premiers: Collingwood
Brownlow: Ablett
Rising Star: Sheils
Bluey: Jones
Coleman: Franklin
Melbourne Leading Goalkicker: Clark (52)

 

[Biffinator]

Premiers - Collingwood

Brownlow - yes, Ablett

Coleman - The Self-Loathing Riewoldt

Spoon - Judas and his Merry Men in Grey

Melbourne to finish - Tenth

Number of BF MFC guys (Clad in a balaclava) to show up at the 'G to welcome Judas - 50

 

[syl]

Hey biff - can you chuck the preview tag on this thread?

 

[rhaz]

Premiers: Hawks
Brownlow: Ablett
Coleman: Franklin
Bluey: Nafan Jones
Spoon: Greater Western Tom's Dad is FAAAAAAAAAAAT
Number of MRP reports after Rd13: 15

 

[CowboyFromHell]

Premiers - Hawthorn
Brownlow - Pendlebury
Coleman - Buddy (Riewoldt will go close but I just can't pick him, hate the prick)
Bluey - Chip
Spoon - Phil Scully ate it
MFC leading goal kicker - Clark (48)
Number of posters who lose the plot after any loss - 3,405

 

[Demon JP]

Premiers - Hawforn
Brownlow - pendlebury
Coleman - Buddy
Bluey - Jones
Spoon - $cullys mob
MFC leading goal kicker - Clark with 42
melb - to finish anywhere between 8-13

 

[RandB]

Premiers: Hawthorn
Brownlow: Murphy
Rising Star: nfi
Bluey: Jones
Coleman: Franklin
Melbourne Leading Goalkicker: Clark (44)
Spoon: the new team
How many will go: 5

 

[Demon 16]

Premiers: Geelong
Brownlow: Franklin
Rising Star: Coniglio/Caddy
Bluey: Jones
Coleman: Cloke
Melbourne Leading Goalkicker: Clark (44)

 

[LeverPuller]

Flag: Dawks
Brownlow: Mr 3 Votes Himself
Rising Star: Wingard
Bluey: The bald tattooed bloke
Coleman: Guy from Hawthorn, think his name is Lance?
Spoon: That charcoal mob
MFC Leading Goalkicker: Petterd (46)
Melbourne to 11 games: 3-8
Melbourne final position: 8th
My reaction when we pull an '87, right down to the prelim loss at the death due to a 50m penalty:

 

[Demon 16]

Premiers: Geelong
Brownlow: Franklin
Rising Star: Coniglio
Bluey: Jones
Coleman: Cloke
Melbourne Leading Goalkicker: Clark (44)

Melbournes ladder postition: 10th/11th

 

[demonfan9]

Didn't want to start a new thread so this one seems sort of appropriate for this post. I've been looking at a few stats of our recent seasons, in particular who we have defeated and lost to. These are stats from 2008 to 2011 (four years of the Bailey era). They may or may not be significant when predicting our upcoming season, depends on your own opinion.

88 games, 23 wins, 2 draws, 63 losses. A winning percentage of just 26%.

19 of those wins were at the MCG, 2 at the GABBA and 2 at TIO. We did not win at any other venue during that period.

Teams we beat during this period:

4 x Richmond, Brisbane
3 x Port Adelaide, Fremantle
2 x Essendon, Adelaide, West Coast, Gold Coast
1 x Sydney
0 x Carlton, Collingwood, Geelong, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, St Kilda, Western Bulldogs

(Drew once each with Sydney and Collingwood)

Despite the bleakness of the above stats, our record against non-Victorian sides at the MCG is actually very impressive.

16 games, 13 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. A winning percentage of 81%.

Over the last two seasons, our record at the MCG is almost break even. 12 wins, 1 draw, 13 losses.

Given all that, here are my predictions for our 22 games this season.

Brisbane (MCG) - Win - Interstate team at the 'G, our bread and butter.
West Coast (PS) - Loss - Western Australia? Forget about it!
Richmond (MCG) - Loss - Returning from WA, Tiges seem up and about early.
Bulldogs (MCG) - Win - We'll buck the trend against Victorian sides and win here.
St Kilda (MCG) - Loss - Saints senior players will be too professional to drop this.
Geelong (SS) - Loss - It's like a victim returning to the crime scene. Mortifying!
Hathorn (MCG) - Loss - As if the previous match wasn't bad enough...
Sydney (MCG) - Loss - Will be competitive but Swans too strong here.
Carlton (MCG) - Loss - We haven't got close in recent years, probably won't change.
Essendon (MCG) - Win - Just like last year, we'll snap our streak against the Dons.
Collingwood (MCG) - Loss - Anything could happen. I'm predicting spirited loss.
GWS (MCG) - Win - Smash the new kids, boo the traitor. Pleasant Sunday afternoon.
Brisbane (GAB) - Win - We have a good record against the Lions at any ground.
Richmond (MCG) - Win - We'll split the two matches against them this year.
Fremantle (ES) - Win - I can see us finally breaking our Docklands hoodoo.
Port Adelaide (TIO) - Win - The hot streak continues at our home away from home.
North Melbourne (ES) - Loss - Thud! Back down to Earth we come.
Gold Coast (MCG) - Win - And back on the winners list we go.
St Kilda (MCG) - Win - Our confidence is up, this time we'll finally beat the Saints.
GWS (MO) - Win - Another chance to hammer Scully in the nations capital.
Adelaide (MCG) - Loss - A win could take us to September...so expect a loss.
Fremantle (PS) - Loss - Season hinges on this result, won't go our away sadly.

11 wins, 11 draws. We'll finish between 10th and 12th. A season of improvement particularly with a soft draw, but ultimately we'll just fall short of finals.

 

[Crimson Azure]

Premiers - Geelong (doubt it)

Brownlow - Ablett

Coleman - Franklin

Spoon - Pet shop boys - Goooo west Sydney

Melbourne to finish - 9th

Number of BF MFC guys (Clad in a balaclava) to show up at the 'G to welcome Judas - 33

First Dees board Meltdown - Round 2

First call to sack Neeld: Round 7

Watts hailed as a demigod: Rd 3

Call for Watts to be dropped: Rd 4

 

[Ageing Demon]

I think 2012 is the year of the HAWK
They will win the Flag.
Buddy will win the goal Kicking
Hodge the Brownlow
Where will the Dees finish?
Very good question!
My summation is based on the following.
- we have with the addition of Clark and Magner the same players as in 2011 and a large number of those proved they are not up to the task.
- We again start with a number of injuries
Jurrah ( 40 Goals 2011 )probably out till the court case and who knows may never play for the Dees again.
Sylvia out for five matches which could easily be longer
Tapscott starts another season on the back of an operation and restricted pre season
Grimes again showing how brittle he is, no guarantee he will play a full season.
Gawn out for the season. we look very short of ruckman if anything happens to Jamar.- Our senior list with a couple of exceptions are average at best.
- A new game plan that even if we are capable of implementing will take time to master.
- we lost our heart and soul last Tuesday
I have gone through the Fixture a number of times and the number of wins I have confidence in is 5.
If we then split the two with Richmond ( as last year )we have 6
Add a win against Adelaide at the G ( we seem to be able to beat them at the G ) makes 7
I then start to get desperate for another game, perhaps the Dogs or saints if as expected they slip a bit and we catch them on the right day.
So the absolute max. number I can see is 8.
That would make us about 13 -14 th.
The first half of the year could be very bad, of the first eleven games I am confident of winning the first game then we need luck to get another 1 or 2 vs Dogs or Richmond.
We could easily be 1 and 10.
IMO 2012 will not be a year to remember

 

[Logger]

Premiers: Cats
Runners up:Hawthorn (stealing one back for 2008)
Brownlow: Sandilands (is normally in the top 5 or so, about time a stat-grabbing midfielder didn't win it)
Coleman: J Brown
Rising Star: T Mitchell (Swans)
Wooden Spoon: will be renamed the "Sheedy Memorial Kitchen Utensil"
Bluey: C Garland
Leading Goalkicker/Goals kicked: M Clark/50-60
Melbourne Wins/Ladder Position: 12 wins/9th by a fair whack of percentage
Percentage of pundits and board members who would predict no more than one win between rounds 6 and 11: 93%
Percentage of pundits and board members labelling us a disgrace, heartless spuds and disrespectful of Jimmy's name, calling for a complete list overhaul, Neeld's resignation and members to walk away after (a high number) years of following the club when we don't win more than one game between rounds 6 and 11: 97%
Rounds $₵U₤₤¥ plays/Wins $₵U₤₤¥ participates in: 8/0

 

[lose]

Premiers - Hawks
Brownlow - Mitchell
Coleman - Franklin
Spoon - The muppets from western sydney
Melbourne to finish - 8th
Number of BF MFC guys (Clad in a balaclava) to show up at the 'G to welcome Judas - 17
First Dees board Meltdown - Round 4
First call to sack Neeld: Round 5
Watts hailed as a demigod: Rd 9
Call for Watts to be dropped: Rd 3

 

[Captain Jack]

Well well well. What a terrible season, we had such optimism back in March! With the final 8 set (not yet in position, but still), now is the time to look back on all the ridiculous predictions we made early in the year. Lulz will ensue.

 

[Dory_77]

Well well well. What a terrible season, we had such optimism back in March! With the final 8 set (not yet in position, but still), now is the time to look back on all the ridiculous predictions we made early in the year. Lulz will ensue.

Ageing Demon was eerily prophetic in his predictions. Doubt we'll be as optimistic next March; although by then our list will have changed, we'll have drafted some insta-guns and the pre-season will have been the best yet!