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Dannnnnnnnnn good write up as always buddy. But just a question, did you see the back end to Bontempelli's season? Because there's a fair bit which I don't agree with
This is something I haven't touched on and have questioned. But I can see him playing perhaps in an inside receiver type role which I think is ok. He could play a Nat Fyfe type role where he roams around up forward a bit or could even play as a loose man across half back as he is very good in the air. He's pretty unique really.
Looking at the two players you touched on Macrae and Stringer. Macrae whilst similar in quite a few ways he doesn't have anywhere near the overhead marking abilities plus he can be used down back or on the wing. Stringer is a bull, but will he ever have the tank to play in the midfield? Plus he has genuine forward smarts and looks great up forward. Could he be a Pavlich FF type? Do we know for sure. If we think he's the best player available we can easily fit him in. Is he a perfect fit? Not really, but if we have genuine doubts over Aish or think he's the better player then we have to go with him. We can easily fit him in.
By the way I don't think Aish is the perfect fit anyway as some have made him out to be. He doesn't have the leg speed or penetrating kick over distances to say he's the perfect fit (not necessarily referring to you by the way Dan).
What He Needs To Work On: I spent a lot of time harping on about the positives of his height in the above section, but now it's time to look at the flip side. You'll notice that I said, "... for his height," a lot in the 'strengths' section and this is a bit of a problem. On the outside he's never going to have the speed of your common outside midfielders, and on the inside he's never going to come away with the ball from a contested situation as much as your 183cm inside midfielders. For his height he has a very good burst of speed and is very good below his knees, but when you rank every player on these attributes he's never going to be ahead of your 'usual suspects' in those positions. Of course he's not going to be playing the same role as those sort of guys and he has the best of both worlds (as well as being very good overhead, something he has over these players), but it's still a little bit of an issue for me. At AFL level I see him being caught a lot more and I also see him struggling to have as much of an impact against those inside midfielders, so his improvement will need to be significant. His athleticism holds him in good stead but it's still a little worry that I have.
I know you mentioned here he has a very good burst of speed for his height, but I've never really thought this and his combine results back me up on this (bottom 10% over the first 5m and 10m). But I don't have an issue with this (as an inside midfielder) as he reads it well and he positions himself well a the stoppages most of the time. He also tested a lot better in the repeat sprints which tells me where others tire he will get stronger.
At AFL level you mentioned you see him being caught a lot more, I'm not sure fully understand this comment. Player's with very good vision like Bontempelli has don't get caught all that often and like you say he's quite quick once he gets going. If he's in trouble he will generally dish out a smart handball or bang it long. I think he understands his limitations quite well and doesn't try to be too arrogant in regards to taking the game on when he knows he can't. I've very rarely seen him get caught.
The next two go hand in hand: inconsistency and a less than impressive inside game. Let's address the latter first. I've said that he scraps for the ball hard, can win it, and is good below his knees, yes, but sometimes he really doesn't judge when it's "his turn," if that makes sense. No, it really doesn't. Let's try that again. Occasionally I've noticed him somewhat stuck between two minds in terms of his positioning. He definitely favours the outside and he needs to get a little bit quicker at reading the play and deciding whether to enter the contest or sit on the outside. Too many times he's sitting on the outside (in a fantastic position, mind you; ready to do some serious damage if the ball gets to him) when his team is outnumbered at the contest. This leads to him being set up offensively when the ball is in the hands of the opposition, and as that taller midfielder it's really difficult for him to make up ground quickly on those smaller outside guys. It's why he looks so poor defensively - while he has no issues tackling and will absolutely chase someone down if it's required of him, he's so often in a bad defensive position that it makes it really difficult for him. He's still developing that inside game so I won't criticise it too much, but it really does need improvement. I think half of the problem with the aforementioned positional inconsistency is that he's not confident in his inside ability, and once he addresses this I feel he'll be much more comfortable with going into contests rather than looking for space. He's also very patchy over the course of an entire match, and when the above sides of his game improve I'm quite sure that will also more or less correct itself.
He's improved on his positioning a lot throughout the year and was winning 6 or 7 clearances on average when I saw him and against some decent opposition too (Geelong, Gippsland twice). There's still things that need fixing, but I can't agree that it's a major issue you are alluding to. Defensively poor? Not in my books. Again it's an area he could continue to improve but it's not poor in my view which does come down to better positioning. Still absolutely needs continual improvement but I just feel you are being too harsh here.
Now to his kicking. Yes, I did just tell you that he's an excellent kick out of traffic and no, I'm not losing the plot (well, that's debatable). The problem for me with his kicking is that he has an inside midfielder's kick as an outside midfielder. Now, I'm not talking a Matthew Boyd kick here, and I'm not saying his kicking is a massive problem in his game. It's an effective kick out of contests for all of the reasons I expressed: it gains ground, is well placed and often goes to winnable contests. However, on the outside and in space his kick really doesn't improve a whole lot. It's long and it's accurate but it's rare to see him lower the eyes and target a leading forward with a pinpoint pass. Most of his kicks are long to contests and while this isn't necessarily a bad thing, he just isn't as damaging as I'd like an outside midfielder to be. He's almost like the anti-Billings - dangerous under pressure, not so damaging in space. It's probably something that can be fixed and it's not a massive issue but it's worth mentioning.
This is perhaps a fair view. What seems to stick out in my mind is with every game that I've seen him play is there's one kick that's incredibly damaging and then you go oh my gosh and start to get super excited. But does he do it consistently for a full game? No he doesn't. I agree with Dav1d view here in that his kicking is quite effective, but he takes the safe option a lot rather then backing his abilities in.
This isn't so much a weakness as it is a personal question derived from his weaknesses, however: where does he play? What's his role? He's a tall inside/outside midfielder who can rotate forward Dan, you moron. The problem for me is that, while he is versatile, he has a weakness stopping him from dominating every position on the ground. Inside midfielder? He's still working on that inside game. Outside midfielder? He doesn't really have that pace or the damaging disposal. Key forward? He doesn't have the strength one on one and, to date, hasn't shown much up there. Back flank? Again, not great one on one and not strong enough defensively. All of these things can be worked on but with high picks you want someone who you know can dominate set positions. Comparing him to somebody like Billings, Bontempelli has shown more through the midfield but he's yet to really dominate it. Billings, on the other hand, has question marks hanging over him relating to his ability (or lack thereof) to translate his form into the midfield - however, he has dominated games up forward countless times. See the difference? I genuinely worry with Bontempelli that he may end up a jack of all trades, master of none, and while versatility is a great strength to have, alarm bells ring in my head when it's at the expense of exposed form in a set position.
I don't have any worries he will be the jack of all trades master of none. I know you have doubts about him even in the midfield but I know when I look at his form in the TAC in the midfield where he can play to a high level. Up forward I do think he has quite a bit of potential too. Down back I just don't rate him at all.
We all know this one so I won't dwell on it too much, but what Bontempelli's shown and what we expect him to be capable of are two very different things. He's played some solid games this year but none that I've seen have really blown me away. I'm going to re-watch a few of my tapes and keep a very close eye on him, but for now I'm sticking to my guns on this one. His form has been good but nowhere near top 5 pick good and this is where the discrepancy between ratings comes from. People are rating him based on what they think he'll become, and while this kind of predictive work is what makes the difference between a good recruiter and a great recruiter, with Bontempelli I feel as though the difference between exposed and expected form is a bit larger than you'd expect from a top five pick. I also disagree that his late birthday makes this okay.
Certainly understand this. I'd happily take him with a top 10 pick. Certainly not a top 5 pick with the other player's on offer.
How He Fits:
This is where I'm a little lost and it's where my major objection to using pick 4 on Bontempelli comes in. First, let's reflect on our list. Our midfield is absolutely packed with young talent but their flaws are obvious. Look at it - Stringer, Macrae, Hrovat, Hunter, Smith, Wallis, Libba, Stevens, Darley. None are fast, few of them have genuinely elite disposal, so on and so forth. Those on our list that provide what we're missing all have question marks - Higgins (injuries), Dahlhaus (not in the midfield yet), Tutt (lol), Pearce (more of a small lockdown defender imo and no guarantee to make it), Howard (double lol), JJ (will he transition there?). Bontempelli provides some height, yes, and I'm not denying that we need that. However, I just struggle to see how he fits into a structure. Yes, you rotate him into the forward line - but you can't play Stringer, Bontempelli, Grant, Crameri, Jones and Campbell all in the same side as much as you'd like to. It's tough to see where he comes into it.
His kick strikes me as an incredibly effective kick out of contests as I've discussed already, but in space I just haven't seen him be as damaging as I think our list needs. With the likes of Libba, Stringer and Macrae we've already got those sorts of players who can effectively distribute the ball from congestion but we don't have that guy on the outside to tear the opposition to shreds with pinpoint passes. I'm not convinced that Bontempelli is that guy.If he becomes the player he could become, you'd slot him in no dramas. The problem I see is that if we keep denying our list some genuine outside speed and skill, we're going to end up with an incomplete list peaking all at the same time but not having the balance to progress as far as the talent on our list suggests we should. It's never an excuse to take a lower rated player who fills a need, absolutely not - but there are likely to be players who have shown more and fill more of a role available at pick 4 than Bontempelli does.My Verdict: Is it a call I'd be making? No. I would be taking Aish, and if we really felt as though we needed a bit of extra height I'd be taking Kolodjashnij. However, Bontempelli has the potential to become one of the best players of this draft class and if we completely believe that we can get the best out of him then we should be taking him.
This is something I haven't touched on and have questioned. But I can see him playing perhaps in an inside receiver type role which I think is ok. He could play a Nat Fyfe type role where he roams around up forward a bit or could even play as a loose man across half back as he is very good in the air. He's pretty unique really.
Looking at the two players you touched on Macrae and Stringer. Macrae whilst similar in quite a few ways he doesn't have anywhere near the overhead marking abilities plus he can be used down back or on the wing. Stringer is a bull, but will he ever have the tank to play in the midfield? Plus he has genuine forward smarts and looks great up forward. Could he be a Pavlich FF type? Do we know for sure. If we think he's the best player available we can easily fit him in. Is he a perfect fit? Not really, but if we have genuine doubts over Aish or think he's the better player then we have to go with him. We can easily fit him in.
By the way I don't think Aish is the perfect fit anyway as some have made him out to be. He doesn't have the leg speed or penetrating kick over distances to say he's the perfect fit (not necessarily referring to you by the way Dan).






A few bits and pieces though.
), we play a flip and share Geelong style game. Quick Hands, quick gives playing hot potato till someone gets free. Bontempelli the inside receiver would do well with this game style.

