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2015 Brownlow

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He's been so bad they might takes votes off him.



Oh gawd there's just too many markets to keep up with!
yes no way a vote, although he was on one leg and had the most contested possys by 3, and 4 more clearances than anyone. was big considering and yes i realise there is no votes in finals
 
Josh Kennedy (WC) over Franklin H2H @ $1.70- Crown- 3.5U

This is a no brainer for mine.

Added Cyril over LeCras- 1U

JPK over Goldstein - 2.5U
 
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What is everyone's thoughts on Goldstein? I have not seen that many North games but is he really going to get 20 plus votes like some people are thinking?
 
What is everyone's thoughts on Goldstein? I have not seen that many North games but is he really going to get 20 plus votes like some people are thinking?

It's hard to say how a ruckman will poll, but we certainly won a decent amount of games and he played very well in our stretch of 7 wins as well as v GWS and Brisbane. Could go from 10-22 but doubt he will win.

Budd has a couple of big games. Kennedy not exactly a huge vote getter... What do you have them both on?

Kennedy:
3 votes v Carlton (10 goals)
2 votes v Geelong (6.4, 20 disposals - 3. Priddis 2. Kennedy 1. Gaff)
2 votes v Western Bulldogs - kicked 7, but Shuey, Gaff, Priddis had big games, so could be 0 too, but on watching it I went Kennedy as BOG but then Shuey was huge as well so gave him the 3 as a midfielder
1 vote v GWS - 3. Gaff 2. Shuey 1. Kennedy (14 disposals, 7 marks, 6 goals)

Franklin:
3 votes v Carlton
2 votes v Geelong (3. Kennedy 2. Buddy 1. Parker)
1 vote v GWS
 

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Personally, and I have zero evidence for this AT ALL, I reckon Priddis will get what I am calling the "reverse Judd effect". He won last year when not many people thought he would, and people thought he over-poled, and I bet he certainly poled his guts out later that night, so I reckon the umpires might not be so friendly to him this year. Basically, he'll under-pole as a result of over-poleing last year. The reverse Judd.
 
Personally, and I have zero evidence for this AT ALL, I reckon Priddis will get what I am calling the "reverse Judd effect". He won last year when not many people thought he would, and people thought he over-poled, and I bet he certainly poled his guts out later that night, so I reckon the umpires might not be so friendly to him this year. Basically, he'll under-pole as a result of over-poleing last year. The reverse Judd.

The chicken-wing effect?
 
Personally, and I have zero evidence for this AT ALL, I reckon Priddis will get what I am calling the "reverse Judd effect". He won last year when not many people thought he would, and people thought he over-poled, and I bet he certainly poled his guts out later that night, so I reckon the umpires might not be so friendly to him this year. Basically, he'll under-pole as a result of over-poleing last year. The reverse Judd.
That is my hope as well. I have taken Gaff in quite a few different bets. Gaff had a very good year and with any luck the umpires decide to be a bit more generous to him as they be more stingy towards Priddis.
 

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Personally, and I have zero evidence for this AT ALL, I reckon Priddis will get what I am calling the "reverse Judd effect". He won last year when not many people thought he would, and people thought he over-poled, and I bet he certainly poled his guts out later that night, so I reckon the umpires might not be so friendly to him this year. Basically, he'll under-pole as a result of over-poleing last year. The reverse Judd.

There is precedence with Bartel in 2008 and even Judd in 2011 (after crazy polling to win in 2010).

Robert Harvey polled well to win two in a row (97/98), but the difference was that he was favourite in 1997 and wasn't viewed as 'overpolled' to win.
 
That is my hope as well. I have taken Gaff in quite a few different bets. Gaff had a very good year and with any luck the umpires decide to be a bit more generous to him as they be more stingy towards Priddis.
The thing with Gaff is he hasnt had a breakout polling season, Beams in 2012 had a crazy good season and only polled 19. I have found that players need to have a couple of consistent polling seasons before they get enough votes to win.
 
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