2015 Brownlow

[A11dAtP0w3R]

For $40 id let that bet ride for sure, Cripps is all over a winner, Fyfe just has stop putting himself in those sort of spots for two more games (AFL won't suspend him for petty shit anyway, if they were going to they should/would have this week) he would have to have a complete brain meltdown to get suspended now before finals time anyway, i would expect him to get votes against Melbourne this week, he always destroys us.

Awesome bet BTW.

 

[chrisdon16]

Surely nothing can be considered 'safe' in the brownlow these days?

#inb4cjudd3votes

Absolutely. Wouldn't be surprised if priddis wins it

 

[FootyStar#1]

I agree, think Priddis is the main contender with Dangerfield a tiny chance if he polls out of his skin.

I am thinking to just cross my fingers that Fyfe doesn't get suspended for the next two weeks. Cash out after Cripps takes the Rising star. Little bit risky but I am pretty sure he has it.

 

[d3ft]

Why do we see so many of these "should I hedge posts"?

Would you put $1500 on a multi of Cripps RS, Fyfe Brownlow today? If "Yes", then let it ride, if "No" then cash out. It's a pretty simple question. If you'd never put that sort of money down on a bet then I think you have your answer.

What you initially bet is completely irrelevant. You're not betting $40 any more, you're betting $1500.

 

[Trotts]

I agree, think Priddis is the main contender with Dangerfield a tiny chance if he polls out of his skin.

I am thinking to just cross my fingers that Fyfe doesn't get suspended for the next two weeks. Cash out after Cripps takes the Rising star. Little bit risky but I am pretty sure he has it.

Where did you even do that bet? screenshot?

 

[FootyStar#1]

Why do we see so many of these "should I hedge posts"?

Would you put $1500 on a multi of Cripps RS, Fyfe Brownlow today? If "Yes", then let it ride, if "No" then cash out. It's a pretty simple question. If you'd never put that sort of money down on a bet then I think you have your answer.

What you initially bet is completely irrelevant. You're not betting $40 any more, you're betting $1500.

Whoa chill out mate. Try not to get to worked up over the contents of a forum post. Just trying to ask what other people would do in my situation.

 

[FootyStar#1]

Where did you even do that bet? screenshot?

 

[Trotts]

Nice one, let it ride I reckon

 

[Zealbee]

I agree, think Priddis is the main contender with Dangerfield a tiny chance if he polls out of his skin.

I am thinking to just cross my fingers that Fyfe doesn't get suspended for the next two weeks. Cash out after Cripps takes the Rising star. Little bit risky but I am pretty sure he has it.

I like that idea.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Whoa chill out mate. Try not to get to worked up over the contents of a forum post. Just trying to ask what other people would do in my situation.

Roby's alter ego gets worked up about everything.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

I agree, think Priddis is the main contender with Dangerfield a tiny chance if he polls out of his skin.

I am thinking to just cross my fingers that Fyfe doesn't get suspended for the next two weeks. Cash out after Cripps takes the Rising star. Little bit risky but I am pretty sure he has it.

If you're really concerned about the brownlow I'm sure there will be a Fyfe vs the field bet you could lay off with somewhere if need be.

See how much the Cash Out is for after Cripps wins and go from there.

 

[Sausage Legs]

I agree, think Priddis is the main contender with Dangerfield a tiny chance if he polls out of his skin.

I am thinking to just cross my fingers that Fyfe doesn't get suspended for the next two weeks. Cash out after Cripps takes the Rising star. Little bit risky but I am pretty sure he has it.

Brilliant bet and I'd personally let it ride, but I reckon Fyfe is a safer bet than Cripps. Im on the Hogan wagon but a lot of people seem to think the medal is judged just on that one game. Wouldn't surprise either way tho

 

[freo_leo29]

Is Cripps seriously a certainty? I would pick Hogan and i think the media will jump on Melbourne's great white hope closer to the event

 

[ash_1050]

What date is the RS medal? You could look to hedge before/after this event if you'd rather see guaranteed bank. Brilliant bet btw.

 

[Zealbee]

What date is the RS medal? You could look to hedge before/after this event if you'd rather see guaranteed bank. Brilliant bet btw.

Rising Star is before the Brownlow isn't it?

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

David King, do you post on BF?

#helpplease

 

[Zealbee]

I reckon the Rising Star is similar to last year in that Hogan flashed but Cripps was much more consistent over the course of the year. Exactly like Taylor last year. What's David King's tip?

 

[Infra Ted]

When is the rising star announced?

 

[d3ft]

Whoa chill out mate. Try not to get to worked up over the contents of a forum post. Just trying to ask what other people would do in my situation.

Was just trying to counter-balance the ridiculous "It's only $40 so let it ride" comments with some common sense. Must have forgotten what forum I was on for a minute. Carry on.

 

[FootyStar#1]

Is Cripps seriously a certainty? I would pick Hogan and i think the media will jump on Melbourne's great white hope closer to the event

Definitely not a certainty but I think Cripps' year has been slightly more consistent than Hogans (as Zealbee has just said aswell).

Add that to the fact that he is going to be the main cog in Carlton's midfield for the last two games with Murphy out and Melbourne playing Fremantle in the West next week, i think he will just pip Hogan.

 

[The Swert]

http://www.afl.com.au/news/2015-08-26/fyfe-to-miss-last-two-games

Fyfe is out for the rest of the season. Will he have enough votes to win it?

 

[Gift]

This is like a repeat of Ablett last year but Fyfe will have polled a lot more 3s.

 

[10571z]

http://www.afl.com.au/news/2015-08-26/fyfe-to-miss-last-two-games

Fyfe is out for the rest of the season. Will he have enough votes to win it?

Well thats it for him. Wonder who has been following closey how many votes is he on ?

 

[Duritz]

Well thats it for him. Wonder who has been following closey how many votes is he on ?

I have him on 60.

 

[Jay-Z]

Fyfe still alive.. phew.

Alright got a question for you guys, i've got a multi riding from a few months ago.

Cripps RS - Fyfe BM - Kennedy CM - Payout is 5K, current cash out is at 1.5K

What would you do?

I'm holding onto it for the moment. Confident with Cripps taking RS, but each week feeling Priddis / Danger could pip Fyfe unless he picks up votes in the next couple of weeks.

It's your money but I would definitely take the cash out. I think Cripps is a deserving favourite but nowhere near a certainty, I personally wouldn't be surprised to see Hogan take it out. And Fyfe has had a real quite second half of the year and will now miss the last 2 games leaving him 4 games short of other contenders like Priddis.