Depends on where we finish in 2016.
Deficit for best "teens" scenario (Keays & Hipwood 18 & 19) would be 483 (or worse).
If at:
Pick 1 (wooden spoon 2016) ... would slide to Pick2
Pick 10 (just miss finals 2016) ... would slide to Pick 20
Pick 18 (premiers 2016) ... would slide to Pick 28
It would require
3rd Rnd Pick 37 (483 pts) to make up that deficit.
If 4th Rnd picks, we would require 55(207pts), 56(194 pts) & 65(90pts) to make up that deficit.
And we could go on with any other combination of picks to make up the deficit (until we went bonkers).
I do believe that my original point (in essence) is still valid .i.e. it's not as cut & dried as a lot seem to be thinking that we will draft in both Keays & Hipwood
AND trade in the likes of Dixon, unless the two Academy boys are not highly rated by Recruiters from other clubs (i.e. both well outside top 20).
And if that assessment is in thinking with our recruiters, then others may well be better options.
Just worth keeping in mind.
ps
dlanod, please tell me I haven't gone bonkers pouring over this stuff .... good god I'm even working on a "Reckoner" to asses various combinations of pick scenarios ... the men in white coats may well appear soon (and I'm not referring to pre 80's Goal Umpires)