I don't see the Lions winning another match for the rest of the season, while I see Carlton as a possibility against Melbourne.
It'll come down to percentage, but with Carlton playing Hawthorn in the final round, it's looking likely that Carlton's percentage will be lower than Brisbane's - hence giving them pick 1.
Although, with the Lions playing the Crows, Hawthorn, and Bulldogs, their percentage could take a hit too.
Even if neither win another game, it's still not definite as to who will get the spoon.
As for us, we're almost guaranteed third. To come fourth, we'd need to win 2 of the next 3 games and hope Essendon don't win another game.
Realistically, we should win against Essendon and maybe against Port. Still gives us pick 3 and a good lead in for the pre-season - best possible outcome IMO.