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Sport 2015 Punters Lounge

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10% on Armitage getting less than 28.5 Disposals 1.87, i thought that St Kilda was playing Freemantle when I made the bet :(. Oh well he's only made it past that line in 8 games of his career.
 
abet said:
After a very successful day on the races yesterday today i have another couple of small plays on the basketball, $150 on the Clippers line -2.5 @ $1.85 and $150 @ $1.85 on the total score under being under 204.5

San Antonio Spurs Vs Los Angeles Clippers

NBA PLAYOFFS

CLIPPERS -2.5
(20 units)

CLIPPERS/SPURS "UNDER" 204.5 Total Score
(20 units)
Click to expand...

That was close but no cigar
 
10lana said:
Round 5 bet

Well after last weeks disaster(1-5) which resulted in a 50% loss I'm returning back to basics.

Games I'm avoiding this week
WB v Sydney, I have no read on WB atm
Geel v Richmond , I don't be against Geelong but if you do bet against them beating the line.
GC v Brisbane Both are basket cases.

Bet 11
Collingwood v Carlton -11.5 1.92
North v Hawthorn -11.5 1.62
Melbourne v Freemantle -17.5 1.45
St Kilda v Essendon -11.5 1.29

Pays 5.81
Bet of 10%

Reserve 120%

For me the riskiest is the Col v Carlton, followed by Hawthorn v North.
I'll prbably make another multi with the last two legs and another risker bet(or 2) to get that one up to $5

Bets that I'm interested that could be made after selection
the Port v Adelaide the line for Port is -7.5 but I'll wait for selection
WC v GWS, I don't think this is going to be close, one side is going to win well, I'd bet 5% each way WC over 15.5(2.1) and GWS over 15.5 (3.90)

3-7*

*2-0
Click to expand...
10lana said:
Round 5 bet 2 and 3/4

Betting 10%
Melbourne v Freemantle -11.5 1.32
St Kilda v Essendon -11.5 1.25
Adelaide v Port -11.5 2.00
West Cost v GWS +35.5 1.23
pays $4.05

I wasn't sure about the result in the GWS v WC game but I expect GWS to get within six goals of WC. I used a lower line in the Mel v Freemantle

I'm predicting a blow out in the Brisbane v GC but I don't know which side will win
5% each way to win over 15.5+
Brisbane 3.2
GC 2.7

Risking 10% to gain 13.5% or 16%

Current Reserve 100%
a full wipe-out this round would put me back where I started.

3-7*

(2-0)
Click to expand...
10lana said:
Man who ever has backed the Bulldogs this year would have made a fortune.

A couple of line bets
20% on Freemantle to beat Melbourne -19.5 1.48
10% on Hawthorn to beat North -11.5 1.51

70% reserve
Click to expand...
10lana said:
10% on Armitage getting less than 28.5 Disposals 1.87, i thought that St Kilda was playing Freemantle when I made the bet :(. Oh well he's only made it past that line in 8 games of his career.
Click to expand...

Made a couple of mistakes with some lines which cost me both multi this week. Lost 10% on a disposal bet since that I wouldn't have made if I got the teams right.

10lana's lesson 7: Double check your bet
10lana's lesson 8: Not every leg has to have a line

3-3 this week for
A weekly loss of 11.8%


118.2% Reserve

6-10
 

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darren forssman said:
not a big fan of that one bobby...grizzle are grind it down in the half court type team, think it will be less than 10.
Click to expand...

yep, it's a very risky bet. I think the public will be all over the Grizzlies here. 10 points in the first opening game of round 2 seems almost to good to be true.
Probably the type of game Curry and Thompson shoot very high percentages.
 
Was anyone else on the Ducks this morning in NHL playoffs?
got on them @ $1.75 to win in regulation time absolute easy money they had won their past 20 games at home to the Flames
 
Bobby_ said:
yep, it's a very risky bet. I think the public will be all over the Grizzlies here. 10 points in the first opening game of round 2 seems almost to good to be true.
Probably the type of game Curry and Thompson shoot very high percentages.
Click to expand...

congrats, that is why you're the gambler and i am the risk averse guy.:D
 
10-1-7
(+$950)

Really like the Cavaliers in game one tomorrow. Tough game to cap but LeBron has never played with a genuine 7 footer for a long bloody time and Mozgov is giving him such a great outlet now. Doesn't have to try and crash and bash all himself.

darren forssman, what do you think about the Cavaliers 5 point favourites?
 
Bobby_ said:
Really like the Cavaliers in game one tomorrow. Tough game to cap but LeBron has never played with a genuine 7 footer for a long bloody time and Mozgov is giving him such a great outlet now. Doesn't have to try and crash and bash all himself.

darren forssman, what do you think about the Cavaliers 5 point favourites?
Click to expand...

to win by more than 5?

tough one, both love and smith out and thibs is a great coach...i would sit it out myself and see how both teams play in the first 2 games.
 

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Couple more smaller plays, $150 on Wizards at the +6.5 line and the same on the Warriors at the -10.5 line.

NBA PLAYOFFS

Washington Wizards Vs Atlanta Hawks
WASHINGTON +6.5
(20 units)

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Golden State Warriors
WARRIORS -10.5
(20 units)
This team just simply has too much firepower for Memphis
 
darren forssman said:
i am a wise man bobby!!!:p
Click to expand...

You most certainly were. Thanks for the advice mate, saved me a bit of money there.
Having said that, I think I'm going to take the Cavaliers in game 2. Bulls are really on the improve as we speak. Risky as always but LeBron just has to do a hell of a lot more next game.

abet said:
Couple more smaller plays, $150 on Wizards at the +6.5 line and the same on the Warriors at the -10.5 line.

NBA PLAYOFFS

Washington Wizards Vs Atlanta Hawks
WASHINGTON +6.5
(20 units)
Click to expand...


I just saw this post, John Wall is out for tonight's game with a wrist injury he sustained in game 1. Hope they can keep it within 6 for you.
 
darren forssman said:
i like that, legonzo will be mad and get them the w.
Click to expand...

Bulls looking good though.
Rose is really beginning to find some touch and that's obviously the x-factor for them. Butler, Gibson and Brooks were all improving without Rose. Some even felt they had the nucleus (with Butler) to build without Rose, but now that Rose is back, and looking more and more like his old-self, could be a headache for anyone given how well they defend the perimeter and especially, right beneath the rim.
 

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Bobby_ said:
darren forssman, the line for tomorrow's game is Cleveland -5.5 points & Houston -7 points.

I'm liking both the favourites, what do you think?
If I really had to choose one, I'd back the Rockets to win by at least 10 or 15 points, so that is the one I'm currently looking into.
Click to expand...

not a huge fan of lines but think the cavs may beat the bulls by more than 5 and clips-rockets depends on cp3 playing (the clips cannot rely on son of glenn again).

are the rockets fave's in this series? i think the clips will win, depending on cp3's health, 4-1 or 4-2.
 
darren forssman said:
are the rockets fave's in this series?
Click to expand...

yes, but not by much at all. The Clippers were about $2.20 to win the series. As of right now, they are down to $1.60 while the Rockets have gone right out to $2.35.

Harden is the key isn't he?
I'm surprised he wasn't all that aggressive in game one. He's gonna be unstoppable tomorrow I reckon.
 
abet said:
For what it's worth, I'm on Houston at the -7 line for $150 and the bulls at the +6 line for $300
Click to expand...

I think I am going to follow you here.
I have backed out of my Cavaliers bet. Too much resting on a select few without J.R or Love in the line up.

My book (Tom Waterhouse) has the Rockets -6.5, so $350 on them to win $318.

Good luck :thumbsu:
 

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