2015 SC / Player Watch..

[Chaisa]

In 2014 the following (among others) lost DPP and became mids only:

Christensen
Daisy
Gibbs
Goddard
Hartlett
Heppell
Lewis
Rockliff
SJ

Meanwhile the following mids (among others) gained DPP:

Caddy
Dangerfield
Hodge
Howlett
Hunter
McVeigh
S Mitchell
T Mitchell
Parker
D Swallow
Wingard

On what basis do you say Parker will retain M/F DPP? Personally I reckon he'll follow Dangerfield, Beams, Sidebottom, O'Keefe, Deledio, Carrazzo, Gibbs, Goddard, Rocky, SJ etc. in being restricted to the mids.

Difference is that all of the first guys didn't really play in their old position (except for Rockliff who largely played midfield in the latter half of the season) IIRC. I think Parker has still played a fair bit of forward this season.

 

[Jiska]

I remember reading somewhere that DPPs are based on the part of the ground a player has spent their time in percentage terms over the year. Danger was injured a large part of 2013 and was rested forward, hence him gaining DPP. Don't think it has anything to do with popularity.

 

[Kadog]

Look out for father/son rookie, Panagiotis Hrysoulakis.

He can't kick, handball or tackle very well but he can RUN!

 

[Zach Package]

What evidence is there that Selwood will be a Mid/Fwd? Not convinced that Zaha is a lock even if he is DPP, I think the likes of Jack, Gray, Parker, Bennell, Martin, etc. look better. Really liking Bonts for next season though, he's improving rapidly and could go close to elite status by this time next season.

Worth remembering with Petracca and Brayshaw that they'll have quite a large premium for next season due to being very high draft picks. I like Petracca as he'll also be DPP, but there are cheaper options than Brayshaw that can do a similar job, IMO.

Waterman will probably be priced at $117,300. Lock if named R1.

Selwood and Zaharakis have both spent significant time up forward? there's not really more evidence than that to support it, but i'm not sure you need more

 

[Chaisa]

Selwood and Zaharakis have both spent significant time up forward? there's not really more evidence than that to support it, but i'm not sure you need more

Just surprised that Selwood has spent significant enough time up forward to make him a DPP.

Would expect Zaha to be a DPP though.

 

[Hoges64]

Yep - Sidebottom, ROK and Dangerfield were the three that smashed it for me in the forwards.

If I understand your plan correctly, it doesn't quite work because:

1. You are basing it on the top players in each position as at Round 17. There are still six rounds to go (just under a quarter of the season).

2. Starting prices aren't based on a player's value at the end of the previous season, they're based on their previous season's average (generally avg x 5.36). A player who represents good value now will be expensive again next year (e.g. Dangerfield currently priced at $505.8K (~94ppg) but if he maintains his average will be priced at $577.3K (107.7ppg).

3. You aren't accounting for drops in form. A player starting at more than $600K needs to keep averaging a metric farkload to keep from depreciating. All it takes is one sub-100 game and they're on that slippery slope.

4. You aren't accounting for injury discounts. Sandilands and Beams weren't in the top 6 in their positions in 2013 but you would have been mad to start without them in 2014 as they represented incredible value.

Rather than stacking your side with "safe" premos you're better off picking a few super-premos, a few mid-pricers (returning from injury, fallen premos, potential breakout players) and the best rookies and going from there.

If you'd applied your plan to 2014 you would have started with Cotchin, Griffen, Swan, Cox and Heath Shaw ...

1. Yep, fair enough, but I wasn't actually saying these are the must have players, just using them and their price as an example.

2. So at the end of the year, they'll maket a $ per point figure and apply that to all the players, then add more money on to them? Have I read that right? So if someone had 100 every single week so their price never fluctuated, they would still be higher at the start of next season? If so then that would certainly stop my plan as I'd run out of money quicker than what my plan would allow.

3. I realise that too, so that's why I allowed for 5 out of the 14/15 premos to be traded out, which as you've mentioned this year would probably be Cotchin, Griffen, Heater, etc. but your other 10 or so should be set and forget.

4. Sorry, that was the (clearly badly made) point I was trying to get at with you could have started this year with Sandilands, Higgins, Beams as not super-expensive premos but guys that you knew were just going to kill it. Which means you could use their cash for better premos in other areas.

5. Ewww, I'd never have Swan or Heater in my side due to my hatred of them anyway.

I'd love to be able to have a look again at starting prices for this year to see how / if my plan would / could have worked. Are they listed anywhere by any chance?

P.S I don't mean for this post to sound argumentative if it comes across that way, just trying to gain a better understanding. Cheers.

 

[Feerits Elf]

1. Yep, fair enough, but I wasn't actually saying these are the must have players, just using them and their price as an example.

2. So at the end of the year, they'll maket a $ per point figure and apply that to all the players, then add more money on to them? Have I read that right? So if someone had 100 every single week so their price never fluctuated, they would still be higher at the start of next season? If so then that would certainly stop my plan as I'd run out of money quicker than what my plan would allow. What their price does in 2014 is irrelevant, it's based on their points average (and any relevant discount).

3. I realise that too, so that's why I allowed for 5 out of the 14/15 premos to be traded out, which as you've mentioned this year would probably be Cotchin, Griffen, Heater, etc. but your other 10 or so should be set and forget. Set and forget doesn't work with anyone bar Gaz and Pendlebury IMO. Didn't work in the case of Goldstein/NDS 2012, JPK/Tuck/Franklin 2013, Swan/Montagna 2014. The list goes on, rolled gold "set and forget" premos crash and burn every single year. If it was as simple as picking the 15 best premos from the previous year and trading out those who don't perform, we'd all start with the same team and finish equal first.

4. Sorry, that was the (clearly badly made) point I was trying to get at with you could have started this year with Sandilands, Higgins, Beams as not super-expensive premos but guys that you knew were just going to kill it. Which means you could use their cash for better premos in other areas. I wouldn't class Higgins as a premo. But yes, money saved on players of this type can be used elsewhere.

5. Ewww, I'd never have Swan or Heater in my side due to my hatred of them anyway.

I'd love to be able to have a look again at starting prices for this year to see how / if my plan would / could have worked. Are they listed anywhere by any chance? tooserious.net

P.S I don't mean for this post to sound argumentative if it comes across that way, just trying to gain a better understanding. Cheers.

 

[Hoges64]

OK, if I used my "plan" looking back at it now I would've gone something similar to this format (using all the "tips" I got from friends about rookies)
DEF:
Walker McVeigh Bartel Langford
Mitchell R.Murphy Thompson Langdon
MID:
Ablett Aish Templeton Ellis Michie
Polec Tyson J.Martin Macrae D. Sheed
RUC:
Sandilands Minson B. Brown Currie
FWD:
Dangerfield Boomer Martin Impey
Wingard Higgins Dixon L. Taylor

This would have been around the $10,440,000 mark. So I may have looked to cut costs probably with Minson at $616 for probably a McEvoy or a Mumford, saving just over $100k there. Then I would have looked at 1 "premo" from the forward line, and 1 from the back line, cutting around $200k from each there.

How do you think the team would have gone?

I'd have to have cut R. Murphy, Thompson and Wingard pretty quickly and Mitchell obviously gets injured. The rest haven't been too bad though.

Thoughts?

 

[Kadog]

OK, if I used my "plan" looking back at it now I would've gone something similar to this format (using all the "tips" I got from friends about rookies)
DEF:
Walker McVeigh Bartel Langford
Mitchell R.Murphy Thompson Langdon
MID:
Ablett Aish Templeton Ellis Michie
Polec Tyson J.Martin Macrae D. Sheed
RUC:
Sandilands Minson B. Brown Currie
FWD:
Dangerfield Boomer Martin Impey
Wingard Higgins Dixon L. Taylor

This would have been around the $10,440,000 mark. So I may have looked to cut costs probably with Minson at $616 for probably a McEvoy or a Mumford, saving just over $100k there. Then I would have looked at 1 "premo" from the forward line, and 1 from the back line, cutting around $200k from each there.

How do you think the team would have gone?

I'd have to have cut R. Murphy, Thompson and Wingard pretty quickly and Mitchell obviously gets injured. The rest haven't been too bad though.

Thoughts?

One premo mid spells doom from the getgo. Need minimum 3-4 to start with.

 

[Chaisa]

This is my plan for 2015 (assuming that the changes in DT are replicated in SC, and that the likes of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, etc. lose their DPP). Some big calls, but meh. $100,000 under the cap, so can/will probably make changes in the meantime, given the prices will likely change.

B:

Nick Dal Santo - given there's gonna be a lot of defenders from this year not being defenders anymore, I think Dal is gonna be an utter lock ala Dangerfield if he is a DPP, which given he is in DT, the signs look promising. Estimated price: $600,400.

Brodie Smith - think he'll spend more time in the midfield given Adelaide lack outside pace and skills, and has been elite as a small defender this season anyway. Like this a lot. Estimated price: $502,200

Ben Reid - missed the whole season through injury. DPP. Not convinced how SC-friendly his role is, but I want to go cheap in my backline. Estimated price: $304,800.

Beau Waters - has really struggled with injury during his career, but when fit can be a stud at SC. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $281,500

Matthew Scharenberg - highly rated but has missed this season due to injury. Collingwood needs a refresh IMO and he's still clearly a true talent. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $123,900.

Liam Duggan - was highly rated early this season, but has fallen under the radar somewhat. Should be a reasonable SC option given he won't get much of a premium. Estimated price: $122,300

*two backline rookies worth $117,300*

Basically I'm trying to go cheap as possible in my backline. It is possible, if not likely that all of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, Bartel and Hanley will not be defenders next season, and from what the DT positions changes indicate only Dal Santo and Kelly really look tempting as future defenders. That leaves a lot of guys that I don't really like, and aging guys. I don't really want to go down the Duffield route.....so accordingly it's probably worth going cheap as chips here. In addition, small defenders seem to be quite good cows, so it's not like there will be a major shortage of cash cows in the backline.

C:

Gary Ablett - it's freaking Ablett. Yes he is aging, but take his last game and he's only scored under 120 twice this season. Until he starts showing his age, he's a must have. Estimated price: $737,400.

Scott Pendlebury - it's Pendlebury. Almost as big of a lock as Ablett. Estimated price: $696,600.

Nathan Fyfe - just has a really awesome game for SuperCoach. If he can sort out his sometimes iffy disposal, he'll garner Ablett-esque scores for your SuperCoach team. Estimated price: $655,400.

Joel Selwood - probably underpriced slightly due to a poor season this year, which may be influenced by an interrupted pre-season. Was elite in the back half of 2013. Not cheap but does look a solid option. Estimated price: $617,600.

Marcus Bontempelli - improving rapidly. Game style should suit SC like a glove. Easy choice, could go close to elite status by the end of next season. Estimated price: $397,000.

Daniel Rich - missed most of 2014 with injury. Could potentially make a real push towards premium status, and at least should be a reasonable enough cash cow to upgrade to a proper one. Estimated price: $393,200.

Jed Anderson - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Peter Bampton - IMO the most likely to do a Dunstan this season. Will be cheap and seems ready-made. Estimated price: $127,300.

Alec Waterman - F/S selection. Should get games straight away. IIRC, he's inside oriented with a plus for SC. Estimated price: $117,300.

Touk Miller - size will likely see him fall. That said, he seems likely to some immediate impact, and seems to have a good SC game. Estimated price: $117,300.

Lots of interesting options here. Traditionally the midfield gives us the best cow options, but this year there aren't as many "OMG wow" sort of mids in the draft class. There are however quite a few really promising players lower in the draft order, who will be cheaper and could be interesting cow. Quite a lot of intriguing midprice options for your midfield though, and that's in addition to the midfield producing the best premos. Yum yum yum.

R:

Nic Naitanui - hopefully he has a full pre-season. Dominated in his last injury-free season, and now he'll probably be the first ruck. Estimated price: $452,600.

Matthew Kreuzer - carved up the second half of 2013. Basically has missed the entire season with injury. If fit a probable lock. Estimated price: $369,700.

*two rookies, one likely a $102,400 for loophole purposes*

Wowee. Boy are there are lot of bargains here. Naitanui, Krezuer, Leuenberger and Goldstein all look cheap and are startable/keepers. Moooo.

F:

Dustin Martin - finally starting to become more consistent. Role still iffy-ish though, but AFAIC he still has upside. Estimated price: $556,700.

Harley Bennell - reckon he's on the verge of domination. And looking at him, he could be anything. Estimated price: $536,200.

Chad Wingard - a risk? Sure. But last year he was a fine SC scorer. Injuries has taken a bite out of his price, and he could be elite in the right circumstances. Only problem is that Port have a lot of similar players. Estimated price: $428,800.

Jack Billings - my bet for "the 2nd year breakout that always seems to happen in SC". Expect him to have more midfield time and start to look a true player. Estimated price: $333,900.

Tom Mitchell - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Christian Petracca - IMO the most likely player in the 2014 draft class to be an immediate success. DPP. Looks an utter beast. Estimated price: $207,300.

Jesse Hogan - in Melbourne's best 22. Not the most friendly SC role ever, and he is still somewhat raw, but given he's already had 2 seasons on an AFL list he should at least be reasonably effective. Estimated price: $123,900.

Caleb Daniel - elite talent...but he's really small so he'll slide down the draft order. Risky but I think he'll be worth it. Estimated price: $117,300.

The most interesting line. Should be quite a few good premo options up here, and as I noted a few intriguing midpricers. Not that many great rookie options though, as always.

 

[Kadog]

Cheap backline is the way to go. 1-2 premos max.

 

[Kenny_01]

This is my plan for 2015 (assuming that the changes in DT are replicated in SC, and that the likes of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, etc. lose their DPP). Some big calls, but meh. $100,000 under the cap, so can/will probably make changes in the meantime, given the prices will likely change.

B:

Nick Dal Santo - given there's gonna be a lot of defenders from this year not being defenders anymore, I think Dal is gonna be an utter lock ala Dangerfield if he is a DPP, which given he is in DT, the signs look promising. Estimated price: $600,400.

Brodie Smith - think he'll spend more time in the midfield given Adelaide lack outside pace and skills, and has been elite as a small defender this season anyway. Like this a lot. Estimated price: $502,200

Ben Reid - missed the whole season through injury. DPP. Not convinced how SC-friendly his role is, but I want to go cheap in my backline. Estimated price: $304,800.

Beau Waters - has really struggled with injury during his career, but when fit can be a stud at SC. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $281,500

Matthew Scharenberg - highly rated but has missed this season due to injury. Collingwood needs a refresh IMO and he's still clearly a true talent. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $123,900.

Liam Duggan - was highly rated early this season, but has fallen under the radar somewhat. Should be a reasonable SC option given he won't get much of a premium. Estimated price: $122,300

*two backline rookies worth $117,300*

Basically I'm trying to go cheap as possible in my backline. It is possible, if not likely that all of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, Bartel and Hanley will not be defenders next season, and from what the DT positions changes indicate only Dal Santo and Kelly really look tempting as future defenders. That leaves a lot of guys that I don't really like, and aging guys. I don't really want to go down the Duffield route.....so accordingly it's probably worth going cheap as chips here. In addition, small defenders seem to be quite good cows, so it's not like there will be a major shortage of cash cows in the backline.

C:

Gary Ablett - it's freaking Ablett. Yes he is aging, but take his last game and he's only scored under 120 twice this season. Until he starts showing his age, he's a must have. Estimated price: $737,400.

Scott Pendlebury - it's Pendlebury. Almost as big of a lock as Ablett. Estimated price: $696,600.

Nathan Fyfe - just has a really awesome game for SuperCoach. If he can sort out his sometimes iffy disposal, he'll garner Ablett-esque scores for your SuperCoach team. Estimated price: $655,400.

Joel Selwood - probably underpriced slightly due to a poor season this year, which may be influenced by an interrupted pre-season. Was elite in the back half of 2013. Not cheap but does look a solid option. Estimated price: $617,600.

Marcus Bontempelli - improving rapidly. Game style should suit SC like a glove. Easy choice, could go close to elite status by the end of next season. Estimated price: $397,000.

Daniel Rich - missed most of 2014 with injury. Could potentially make a real push towards premium status, and at least should be a reasonable enough cash cow to upgrade to a proper one. Estimated price: $393,200.

Jed Anderson - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Peter Bampton - IMO the most likely to do a Dunstan this season. Will be cheap and seems ready-made. Estimated price: $127,300.

Alec Waterman - F/S selection. Should get games straight away. IIRC, he's inside oriented with a plus for SC. Estimated price: $117,300.

Touk Miller - size will likely see him fall. That said, he seems likely to some immediate impact, and seems to have a good SC game. Estimated price: $117,300.

Lots of interesting options here. Traditionally the midfield gives us the best cow options, but this year there aren't as many "OMG wow" sort of mids in the draft class. There are however quite a few really promising players lower in the draft order, who will be cheaper and could be interesting cow. Quite a lot of intriguing midprice options for your midfield though, and that's in addition to the midfield producing the best premos. Yum yum yum.

R:

Nic Naitanui - hopefully he has a full pre-season. Dominated in his last injury-free season, and now he'll probably be the first ruck. Estimated price: $452,600.

Matthew Kreuzer - carved up the second half of 2013. Basically has missed the entire season with injury. If fit a probable lock. Estimated price: $369,700.

*two rookies, one likely a $102,400 for loophole purposes*

Wowee. Boy are there are lot of bargains here. Naitanui, Krezuer, Leuenberger and Goldstein all look cheap and are startable/keepers. Moooo.

F:

Dustin Martin - finally starting to become more consistent. Role still iffy-ish though, but AFAIC he still has upside. Estimated price: $556,700.

Harley Bennell - reckon he's on the verge of domination. And looking at him, he could be anything. Estimated price: $536,200.

Chad Wingard - a risk? Sure. But last year he was a fine SC scorer. Injuries has taken a bite out of his price, and he could be elite in the right circumstances. Only problem is that Port have a lot of similar players. Estimated price: $428,800.

Jack Billings - my bet for "the 2nd year breakout that always seems to happen in SC". Expect him to have more midfield time and start to look a true player. Estimated price: $333,900.

Tom Mitchell - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Christian Petracca - IMO the most likely player in the 2014 draft class to be an immediate success. DPP. Looks an utter beast. Estimated price: $207,300.

Jesse Hogan - in Melbourne's best 22. Not the most friendly SC role ever, and he is still somewhat raw, but given he's already had 2 seasons on an AFL list he should at least be reasonably effective. Estimated price: $123,900.

Caleb Daniel - elite talent...but he's really small so he'll slide down the draft order. Risky but I think he'll be worth it. Estimated price: $117,300.

The most interesting line. Should be quite a few good premo options up here, and as I noted a few intriguing midpricers. Not that many great rookie options though, as always.

Watching Fyfe closely, I think Fyfe's disposal has really improved this season. His DE% is higher than Ablett's.

 

[Broar]

Will be torn between looking for value in the rucks or try and set and forget, spent far too many trades on them this season.

Edit: Minson & Goldy could be nice together.

 

[Zach Package]

Daniel Wells

 

[SC fish]

Was half thinking Casboult and Menzel but after tonight I don't think so

 

[rocker_oz33]

Will be torn between looking for value in the rucks or try and set and forget, spent far too many trades on them this season.

Edit: Minson & Goldy could be nice together.

Yuup me too.
Unsure what Goldy price will be after early season form was down after the shoulder injury.If about 550k great value Big Boy might be one to look at.

 

[rocker_oz33]

Cheap backline is the way to go. 1-2 premos max.

After 2013 with all that back-line carnage i started with 4 defenders.Prob look at 2/3 premos at least one mid pricier set up next season.

 

[Broar]

Will be interesting to see how many people go with Sandilands, wonder if he could turn out to be a POD.

 

[toxic]

Was half thinking Casboult and Menzel but after tonight I don't think so

Ask KardiniaPark

 

[KardiniaPark]

Ask KardiniaPark

He'll be the #1 big man in thgame next year, you'll actually be behind if you don't take him.

 

[Jiska]

This is my plan for 2015 (assuming that the changes in DT are replicated in SC, and that the likes of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, etc. lose their DPP). Some big calls, but meh. $100,000 under the cap, so can/will probably make changes in the meantime, given the prices will likely change.

B:

Nick Dal Santo - given there's gonna be a lot of defenders from this year not being defenders anymore, I think Dal is gonna be an utter lock ala Dangerfield if he is a DPP, which given he is in DT, the signs look promising. Estimated price: $600,400.

Brodie Smith - think he'll spend more time in the midfield given Adelaide lack outside pace and skills, and has been elite as a small defender this season anyway. Like this a lot. Estimated price: $502,200

Ben Reid - missed the whole season through injury. DPP. Not convinced how SC-friendly his role is, but I want to go cheap in my backline. Estimated price: $304,800.

Beau Waters - has really struggled with injury during his career, but when fit can be a stud at SC. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $281,500

Matthew Scharenberg - highly rated but has missed this season due to injury. Collingwood needs a refresh IMO and he's still clearly a true talent. Must have if named R1. Estimated price: $123,900.

Liam Duggan - was highly rated early this season, but has fallen under the radar somewhat. Should be a reasonable SC option given he won't get much of a premium. Estimated price: $122,300

*two backline rookies worth $117,300*

Basically I'm trying to go cheap as possible in my backline. It is possible, if not likely that all of McVeigh, Mitchell, Swallow, Bartel and Hanley will not be defenders next season, and from what the DT positions changes indicate only Dal Santo and Kelly really look tempting as future defenders. That leaves a lot of guys that I don't really like, and aging guys. I don't really want to go down the Duffield route.....so accordingly it's probably worth going cheap as chips here. In addition, small defenders seem to be quite good cows, so it's not like there will be a major shortage of cash cows in the backline.

C:

Gary Ablett - it's freaking Ablett. Yes he is aging, but take his last game and he's only scored under 120 twice this season. Until he starts showing his age, he's a must have. Estimated price: $737,400.

Scott Pendlebury - it's Pendlebury. Almost as big of a lock as Ablett. Estimated price: $696,600.

Nathan Fyfe - just has a really awesome game for SuperCoach. If he can sort out his sometimes iffy disposal, he'll garner Ablett-esque scores for your SuperCoach team. Estimated price: $655,400.

Joel Selwood - probably underpriced slightly due to a poor season this year, which may be influenced by an interrupted pre-season. Was elite in the back half of 2013. Not cheap but does look a solid option. Estimated price: $617,600.

Marcus Bontempelli - improving rapidly. Game style should suit SC like a glove. Easy choice, could go close to elite status by the end of next season. Estimated price: $397,000.

Daniel Rich - missed most of 2014 with injury. Could potentially make a real push towards premium status, and at least should be a reasonable enough cash cow to upgrade to a proper one. Estimated price: $393,200.

Jed Anderson - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Peter Bampton - IMO the most likely to do a Dunstan this season. Will be cheap and seems ready-made. Estimated price: $127,300.

Alec Waterman - F/S selection. Should get games straight away. IIRC, he's inside oriented with a plus for SC. Estimated price: $117,300.

Touk Miller - size will likely see him fall. That said, he seems likely to some immediate impact, and seems to have a good SC game. Estimated price: $117,300.

Lots of interesting options here. Traditionally the midfield gives us the best cow options, but this year there aren't as many "OMG wow" sort of mids in the draft class. There are however quite a few really promising players lower in the draft order, who will be cheaper and could be interesting cow. Quite a lot of intriguing midprice options for your midfield though, and that's in addition to the midfield producing the best premos. Yum yum yum.

R:

Nic Naitanui - hopefully he has a full pre-season. Dominated in his last injury-free season, and now he'll probably be the first ruck. Estimated price: $452,600.

Matthew Kreuzer - carved up the second half of 2013. Basically has missed the entire season with injury. If fit a probable lock. Estimated price: $369,700.

*two rookies, one likely a $102,400 for loophole purposes*

Wowee. Boy are there are lot of bargains here. Naitanui, Krezuer, Leuenberger and Goldstein all look cheap and are startable/keepers. Moooo.

F:

Dustin Martin - finally starting to become more consistent. Role still iffy-ish though, but AFAIC he still has upside. Estimated price: $556,700.

Harley Bennell - reckon he's on the verge of domination. And looking at him, he could be anything. Estimated price: $536,200.

Chad Wingard - a risk? Sure. But last year he was a fine SC scorer. Injuries has taken a bite out of his price, and he could be elite in the right circumstances. Only problem is that Port have a lot of similar players. Estimated price: $428,800.

Jack Billings - my bet for "the 2nd year breakout that always seems to happen in SC". Expect him to have more midfield time and start to look a true player. Estimated price: $333,900.

Tom Mitchell - see what I wrote about him in my "players to watch" column.

Christian Petracca - IMO the most likely player in the 2014 draft class to be an immediate success. DPP. Looks an utter beast. Estimated price: $207,300.

Jesse Hogan - in Melbourne's best 22. Not the most friendly SC role ever, and he is still somewhat raw, but given he's already had 2 seasons on an AFL list he should at least be reasonably effective. Estimated price: $123,900.

Caleb Daniel - elite talent...but he's really small so he'll slide down the draft order. Risky but I think he'll be worth it. Estimated price: $117,300.

The most interesting line. Should be quite a few good premo options up here, and as I noted a few intriguing midpricers. Not that many great rookie options though, as always.

Great post mate.

 

[rocker_oz33]

Wonder if Rich will be def/mid?

 

[Jiska]

Wonder if Rich will be def/mid?

Doubtful given he was a mid only and hasn't played..

 

[THECHIEFTON]

Toby Greene?

 

[rocker_oz33]

I hope motlop still has forward status next year mid/fwd please.
quite a few players at GWS to look at next year prob would only get one nomore than 2 of them.