2016 AFL - Finals Week 1

[Jonny Piers]

Getting on Sydney/GWS-U172.5 (WH/tab)

Really? Sydney have hit some scoring form recently and we know GWS can score big. What is your reasoning? Does the ground play a factor?

 

[benji21]

Some big ins for the dogs. In what is meant to be a low scoring affair. The plus could be worth a nibble.

 

[chrisdon16]

Really? Sydney have hit some scoring form recently and we know GWS can score big. What is your reasoning? Does the ground play a factor?

Capped the game at 164.5. I think your focusing on offense too much, Sydney are the best defensive team in the comp, GWS are no slouches either. They've played twice this season, both scores went for 161 and 168. Plus there's up to 8mm rain forecast (clearing from afternoon) so the ground could be wet considering ANZ's facilities

 

[chrisdon16]

Sydney's last 3 scores v top 4 defensive teams: 98 (geel) 63 (gws) 70 (haw) avg 77

*Forgot hawks were top 4

 

[free at last]

Really? Sydney have hit some scoring form recently and we know GWS can score big. What is your reasoning? Does the ground play a factor?

I've got the game capped at 167.5pts....Finals intensity with the possibility of damp conditions= tight low scoring contest IMO.

 

[FootyStar#1]

Got a feeling about the doggies tonight. An upset is brewing

 

[Geeves Train]

What are people who took the 171.5 under line with Cats vs Hawks doing, line at 156.5 and from my take on the forecast there will be less rain but more likely to be at night than it was a few days ago.

Are people holding or folding??

 

[benji21]

What are people who took the 171.5 under line with Cats vs Hawks doing, line at 156.5 and from my take on the forecast there will be less rain but more likely to be at night than it was a few days ago.

Are people holding or folding??

I've had a little bit back for a bit of a middle

 

[chrisdon16]

What are people who took the 171.5 under line with Cats vs Hawks doing, line at 156.5 and from my take on the forecast there will be less rain but more likely to be at night than it was a few days ago.

Are people holding or folding??

With the current forecast I wouldn't even feel comfortable betting over 130. Not sure what the bookies are thinking keeping the line steady at 156.5. There's a buttload of rain forecast

 

[chrisdon16]

West Coast/Bulldogs-O158.5
Bulldogs-O66.5

 

[benji21]

William Hill have a get the gap market for the geelong game. Expecting a close game and with the rain can't see the scores getting out of hand either way. It's geelong +12.5 hawks +27.5 at 2 dollars

 

[TheScream]

For people that missed the 172.5, how about the "Neither team to score 90" at TAB?

 

[TheScream]

West Coast/Bulldogs-O158.5
Bulldogs-O66.5

what did you have this one capped at? I originally liked the under

 

[chrisdon16]

what did you have this one capped at? I originally liked the under

169.5/76.5

 

[The_Big_Ship]

WCE 1-39
Gee 40+
GWS 1-39
Adel 1-39

10 @ 74.25

 

[eatpies]

Got a feeling about the doggies tonight. An upset is brewing

I'm with you. Stringer to tear it apart.

 

[jefffff34]

Boyd 30+ touches/Le Cras 3+ goals @ $9.50

 

[zannnn]

Boyd 30+ touches/Le Cras 3+ goals @ $9.50

Tailed for 2U

Was thinking gaff/bont (lol), also priddis/jjk for most. But we'll see how this goes instead

 

[jefffff34]

Tailed for 2U

Was thinking gaff/bont (lol), also priddis/jjk for most. But we'll see how this goes instead

Missing two soda's hasn't gone down well. I researched the last time Le Cras got 3+ after starting 0.2. It was round 20 2013 vs Essendon. He finished with five second half goals.

 

[benji21]

Few extras with crownbet, just because the prices look a bit off

Geelong/hawks lowest scoring game 2U at 3.35
Adelaide/North highest scoring game 2U at 2.75

Haha ended up with the geelong game pretty much at 150 or less total again with this bet

 

[TheScream]

Is the rain easing down in melb?

 

[Geeves Train]

Yeah it's dry as, haha. Although to be fair not sure how much will be left by kick off

 

[benji21]

4U over 150.5 1.84 Geelong hawks game. Cover for earlier bets of under 150

 

[chrisdon16]

Ground will be very wet but looks like it's clearing on radar

 

[benji21]

Ground will be very wet but looks like it's clearing on radar

Yeah was just about to say, It looks like it could potentially be fairly clear from now until after the game, with the occasional spot shower. Fighting the urge to smash the overs now, but still thinking if the rain stays away it'll still land in that 150/160 mark