2016 AFL Ladder Predictions

[Mattwj81]

1 Hawthorn
2 Fremantle
3 West Coast
4 North Melbourne
5 GWS
6 Sydney
7 Richmond
8 Collingwood
9 Port Adelaide
10 Geelong
11 Western Bulldogs
12 Adelaide
13 Melbourne
14 St Kilda
15 Brisbane
16 Gold Coast
17 Essendon
18 Carlton

 

[Fonetiks]

Each year I run a "Pick the Ladder" competition at work and for mates, that uses a +10 correct guess, -1 for each position away formula to calculate the nearest prediction. Last season, only 3 people out of 50 odd picked 4 teams in their exact position. No team is a sure thing in any spot, and every year there are always 1 or 2 teams that bolt up, and drop away. Trying to work out which teams that will be, is anyone's guess.

Here's the winner's picks from last season's competition...

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Any ideas on how a different scoring system could be better? I've tried top spot, spoon, top 8 double points, etc... In the end, I decided that each spot should have the same weight, but I'm open to suggestions.

Anyway, good luck this season!

 

[Rooboy89]

W.C
Hawthorne
North
Syd
Gee
Port
Freo
Rich

Coll
Ade
W.B
GWS
Bris
Gold
Melb
STk
Carl
Ess

 

[FootyMaths]

Shameless self promotion...

FMI - 2016: UNPREDICTIONS

 

[Dangerousfield]

A lot of posters here are either having fun with stupid predictions or seriously can't rate a list and draw. That said there's always a surprise or two each year, mainly due to golden/horror injury runs or several/no lower tier players taking significant strides.

1.Hawthorn - still the team to beat
2. WCE - only got stronger over summer
3. Geelong - stunning recruiting, LTI receding, soft soft draw, Kardinia Park fortress
4. GWS - the AFL created plastic juggernaught gets rolling. List has 19 picks taken in top 10!
5. Port - cruelled by injuries last year, Dixon a more important recruit than Ryder last year. Soft draw
6. WB - be there again, got a lot of classy kids, plus Liberatore, minus Crameri, Boyd on the rise
7. Freo - won't win enough away to be any higher
8. North - ageing list, very tough draw, can't see the improvement

9. Richmond - finals glory run over, last 6 in best 22 not up to standard, where else but 9th
10. Sydney - lots of stars but serious lack of depth. Injuries will hurt big time
11. Adelaide - Danger big out, think we'll be thereabouts for 7th/8th
12. Collingwood - anywhere from here to 6th - depending on lotsa stuff
13. Gold Coast - still got serious LTI, list not as good as predicted
14. Melbourne - building, but still unconvinced they can jump the above teams
15. St.Kilda - with their best players close to retirement, upward movement seasons away
16. Brisbane - future is bright but just need time to build the talented kids and a better injury run
17. Carlton - this list is worse than many think and ageing too. Prolonged period in the cellar
18. Essendon - will ensure they get the No.1 pick by playing lotsa kids later in the year - just to sure

Tear it apart guys but with sound logic not gut feel waffle.

 

[Dead Eye Didak]

West Coast
Hawthorn
Fremantle
Geelong
Port Adelaide
Collingwood
Western Bulldogs
Sydney

GWS
Richmond
North Melbourne
Adelaide
Melbourne
Gold Coast
St Kilda
Brisbane
Carlton
Essendon

 

[Kiama Chris]

1. Hawthorn- Still too good. Bennell will add to their outside run.
2. West Coast- Excellent team all over the ground. With a healthy defence they'll be even better.
3. Richmond- If they get their ducks in a row they could be a legitimate premiership contenders. That's a big if.
4. Fremantle- Aging list but still with a brilliant midfield. One last roll of the dice.
5. Sydney- A lot of their potential success relies on Buddy's health and availability.
6. Port Adelaide- Hopefully they turn around an incredibly disappointing 2015.
7. North Melbourne- Could be a bit of a drop off considering many of their best players are plus 30.
8. Western Bulldogs- Could suffer from second year blues. A real unknown quantity.

9. Collingwood- Some excellent young players but the competition for top 8 is a bit too tight.
10. Adelaide- New coach, no Danger.
11. GWS- Pushing for finals but just missing out.
12. Gold Coast Suns- Losing a few quality players but still a brilliant crop of youngsters. Full season from Gazza is a must.
13. Geelong- Big sliders. Champions retiring.
14. St Kilda- Will surprise a few teams but not enough experience to crack the 8.
15. Melbourne- Give it a couple more years and they'll be a legit top eight side. Another season into Hogan, Brayshaw etc will do them wonders.
16. Essendon- Crap list. No confidence or assurance of their place in the league with the WADA deal hanging out their heads.
17. Carlton- All about the rebuild.
18. Brisbane- Long stretch ahead of Leppa and co.

Really funny looking at this after Rd 7 16.
NM
Cats
Swans
Freo 18th!
and so on.
The make monkeys of us every year.

 

[Brett5150]

The way it's going, I'm putting Sydney on top. I'm not sure about North after today's performance with Essendon. I'd be terribly embarrassed with that.

 

[JPetro83]

Sydney
Cats
North
Hawks
GWS
West Coast
Bulldogs
Adelaide.

Port/Dees for 9th

That's what its looking like ending up being.

 

[Cringle]

Sydney
Cats
North
Hawks
GWS
West Coast
Bulldogs
Adelaide.

Port/Dees for 9th

That's what its looking like ending up being.

I feel the top 3 is a lock at this point. And the next 5 could finish in whatever order.

In saying that I don't remember a season where I wouldn't be surprised if any of the 8 won the premiership.

 

[Paton]

Hawthorn
West Coast
Sydney
GWS
Fremantle
Western Bulldogs
Geelong
North Melbourne

These would be my predictions!

 

[Donakebab]

Hawthorn
West Coast
Sydney
GWS
Fremantle
Western Bulldogs
Geelong
North Melbourne

These would be my predictions!

Freo 5th? You think they won't lose a game for the rest of the season?