2016 AFL - Round 11

[sneak]

3u geel vs gws 0-60 each @$62
1u geel 0-60 @$14
Try and get a cash out profit

 

[targett]

3u geel vs gws 0-60 each @$62
1u geel 0-60 @$14
Try and get a cash out profit

What Bookie
What Market

 

[Maveric]

Melbourne have shortened significantly last hour, into 27.5, any late outs for the hawks

 

[sneak]

Tab pick the score double

 

[jaymasha]

Worth trying for a middle in the hawthorn game? Took under 201.5 Yesterday

 

[X_box_X]

So I have just found out if players tie in disposals or any other statistic, Madbookie will settle your bet as a loss.

 

[timster]

Bookies have moved price for Swans game total points to 144.5 pts looks like they believe weather will clear

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Reckon this isn't bad odds - Stevie J to kick 3 goals and Geelong to win @$7 on Sportsbet.

 

[Jugada]

Reckon this isn't bad odds - Stevie J to kick 3 goals and Geelong to win @$7 on Sportsbet.

Pretty average odds to be honest. You can get odds of $6.84 just by multi-ing them at Sportsbet (if they allowed it) and really they are a bit counter reliant on each other

 

[2006_Eagles]

Wills Robbo tag Gibbs to a sub 30 possession game?

 

[Pancakes]

Assuming a fair bit of rain in Melb? The over/under for the Hawks and Dees game went from 183 to 168 in about 20 minutes

 

[targett]

Wills Robbo tag Gibbs to a sub 30 possession game?

Not so sure of that.The last time they met Robbo had something like 30+ pos and not in a tagging role. I think he's value at 25+ pos @ 2/1

 

[mookieb]

I think there is some good value in todays games. Melbourne has been a bit of a bunny team for Hawthorn in the past losing by 105 points last year. Hawks have good matchups for Watts and Hogan (Frawley) and there is potential for forwards like Rioli, Breust and Gunston to be dominant. While Melbourne have feasted on weak teams I can't see them winning especially with Viney their best player out. Think it will be close and Hawks blow it out in the last half (like they have done in the last 3 of 4) so will be looking at an in-play bet at that time. Hawks by 34.

I have some good success beating against weak teams (Brisbane road performances WC -64, Geel -69, WB -53, Port -77, Melb -60) so on Carlton for the win and line. Carlton have been consistently solid recently and Brisbane has been atrocious on the road. Carlton by 36.

I think I will avoid the Coll / Port game with injuries to Collingwood a concern. Their midfield has been fantastic, but they lose Adams and Fasolo is their key goal kicker. It's hard to get a read on Port, but if they didn't butcher the last 5 minutes vs Carlton they would have been 4 and 1 in their previous 5 games.

Sydney traditionally smash GC (never lost by less than 35), but GC over the last 2 weeks have got most of their injured players back and the game is likely to be played in atrocious conditions so i'm on Sydney by 1-39. I don't think GC will be as poor as bookies are predicting at their home ground.

For a half Freo's pressure was fantastic last week and if they match that they should beat Essendon comfortably. Mundy is a big in for Freo and I think Kelly will be missed badly. Interstate Ess has lost to GC -61, Port -61 and Syd -81 so their road record is far more dismal than playing in Melbourne. It should be a massive game for Freo and expect them to win by 24.

GWS I thought were well beaten by Adelaide underlying concerns they don't travel that well and it doesn't get more difficult than playing Geelong at Skilled after 2 very average performances. I think GWS might struggle travelling back to back against two top teams. Geelong should win by 3 goals, but I will be watching with interest to see how Geelong perform if Selwood struggles with a tag or underperforms.

2u Carlton H2H, 1u Carlton -17.5, 1u Carlton -23.5, 1u Geelong -9.5, 1u Sydney 1-39, 1u WB H2H, 0.5u on GC over 1.5 behinds 1st, 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Totals

WB / WC U181.5, Hawks/Melb u197.5

Multi's

SB - Hawks, Syd, Geel, Carl, Ade
SB - Hawks, Syd, WB, Carl, Ade
Tabtouch - Hawks, Syd, Freo, Carl, Ade
WH - Carl -20.5, Freo -12.5, Ade -20.5, GSW (Golden State)

 

[ALL IN]

So I have just found out if players tie in disposals or any other statistic, Madbookie will settle your bet as a loss.

Wow. Looks like im in for a nervous day.

 

[frenchfri12]

Hmmmmm I still rekn worst of it over by bounce

https://t.co/KX2JkxD5gM

 

[dontlimitme]

50$ 2nd half Geelong Behinds over 10.5 @ 17 on Crownbet.

 

[demon_fanatic]

https://t.co/KX2JkxD5gM

The game is 4 hour away... Hopefully the 12-14 pt increase on.over total means better weather at some stage of game

 

[frenchfri12]

Does anyone offer betting on attendance? I'd put money on less than 1000 for GC v Syd

 

[Youdy]

So I have just found out if players tie in disposals or any other statistic, Madbookie will settle your bet as a loss.

Yeah I discovered that earlier,
Applies to all of their head to head player prop markets

 

[mookieb]

Think it will be close and Hawks blow it out in the last half (like they have done in the last 3 of 4) so will be looking at an in-play bet at that time.

Was on my way out the door so only put a bet on the Hawks to win the 4th, but this is the 4th game out of 5 where the Hawks have blown teams away with one quarter of footy (3 out of 4 times it's been in the last quarter).

 

[Robo87]

just saw b365 was paying 2.05 for motlop 2g+ (2g is his average this year!?!) Sure why not. 1.5u on.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Damn unders been smashed into 126.5..weather gods not Gunna aid my bet on over

 

[targett]

Im on the Gold Coast and this weather isn't going anywhere.Its going to be slog tonight

 

[HeavyPop]

Swans 1-39 @2.10 on Sportsbet. Hard to see them winning by 40+..even scoring 40 points looks tough

 

[targett]

Swans 1-39 @2.10 on Sportsbet. Hard to see them winning by 40+..even scoring 40 points looks tough

2.37 Bet365