2016 AFL - Round 15

[Parko31]

Continuing my luck with the 30disposals/3 goals market:
Gaff/Hutchings @$15
Gaff/Cripps @$5.40
Z.Merrett/Lecras @$5.20
Most disposals/Most goals:
Gaff/Lecras @$23
Mark Lecras 4+ goals @$5.20
1U on all

 

[Sausage Legs]

Kennedy is $2.75 for 5 goals and $4.90 for 6 goals. Much better odds than the $1.95 on offer for most goals in the round markets.

*There's a Sportsbet Megabet on offer - Kennedy to kick 10 goals or more @$14

4.90 for 6 at home v dons is very good odds.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Yeah I'm on.for 4 and 6 goals think he will get 4 so money back nearly at worst

4.90 for 6 at home v dons is very good odds.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Yeah I'm on.for 4 and 6 goals think he will get 4 so money back nearly at worst

I'm on for 5 and 6...safe to say, we'll all be wanting Josh to kick them in the first half!

 

[ALL IN]

following the theory that WC like to bully the weaker teams at Subiaco.
1u most goals of the week: J.Kennedy @1.95 SB

[also if anyone's interested, Stringer is @34 on crown (only @14 on SB) & J.Riewoldt @21 on Crown (@10 onSB)]

JJK is 1.90 for most goals just in the WCE v Bombers game so 1.95 for whole round is not very good

 

[targett]

If anyone is interested in a Middle the W/C TGS is in as low as 176.5 Luxbet

 

[chrisdon16]

If anyone is interested in a Middle the W/C TGS is in as low as 176.5 Luxbet

176.5 @ WH too. Total has moved 13 points in one day, that's substantial with no rain forecast. Some pretty heavy betting to move it that much

 

[chrisdon16]

Can still get 186.5 @ flogs r us, aka UBET

 

[Lensen]

176.5 @ WH too. Total has moved 13 points in one day, that's substantial with no rain forecast. Some pretty heavy betting to move it that much

not any more, pinny who set the market have lost the plot today

 

[AFLFootyChick]

not any more, pinny who set the market have lost the plot today

The totals dropping made me instantly check for rain...nup, no rain! Clear night, light breeze. Not sure why the bookies are dropping the total to the score that WC could almost kick on their own!

 

[demon_fanatic]

Essendon went for broke vs Gws.. Playing risky footy.. Hopefully they adopt that to try and get through Web so we see some errors and easy turnover goals! I.got 178.5 happy with that..thinking a 130-55 type score

 

[tangolikelama]

$200 Darling 4+ @4.60

 

[Youdy]

Looks like McGovern will play backup ruck/tall forward

Should mean Darling gets the third tall

Some of the books have already moved, others still have McGovern at inflated odds for FGS etc

26$ at Tab, 21$ at WillHill

Into low teens at 365 etc

Luxbet also have Kennedy most goals 2.25 for those going large on Kennedy

 

[Robo87]

JJK is 1.90 for most goals just in the WCE v Bombers game so 1.95 for whole round is not very good

Yes I agree with you. But can't be stuffed cashing it out now tho.
edit: no option to cashout anyway.

 

[Dylsbo]

West Coast 121+ @ 2.05 (WH)

 

[ALL IN]

Yes I agree with you. Can't be stuffed cashing it out now tho.

Hopefully he kicks plenty and u get that extra 5% value!

 

[targett]

West Coast 121+ @ 2.05 (WH)

Dont mind this 5/7 120+ at home this year.Duey conditions may pose an issue, will see the pre match coverage for weather

 

[puntking]

why are the saints underdogs?

 

[Pies n Punt]

throwing a few hundge down this weekend for some entertainment. Looking at Crows SU into one or two others. Anyone got any good leans? some games look a bit dicey.

 

[SM]

Why has the WC-Bombers total dropped so low? Would have gone unders at 190. but at 179.5 not sure which way I'd lean.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Mayb bomber. Only score 40-55 and can't get through Web.n the dew

 

[chrisdon16]

Would have gone unders at 190.

The total was set at 190.5 and didn't move until yesterday

 

[SM]

The total was set at 190.5 and didn't move until yesterday

Yeah only looked into it today. Any particular reason it's so low?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Yeah only looked into it today. Any particular reason it's so low?

Dew and bomber poor score avg

 

[chrisdon16]

Yeah only looked into it today. Any particular reason it's so low?

Either some huge money has been bet on the under, or as above, bookies are aware that Essendon could only score 40 odd, which is pretty likely