Now, I tend to believe you a lot more often than not - you do like to cause some angst around the place (which reminds me of someone I see daily in the mirror), but you don't straight out bullshit - and I would imagine you'd probably extend the same courtesy to me. But my understanding (with absolutely no reason to doubt) is that O'Meara has been in discussions with EFC for the last 12 months as well. And I would bet my left nut he would have had them with at least 1 or 2 other clubs as well.
So you're essentially right: he's turned down a million dollar offering knowing exactly where he's going to end up alright. At one of probably 2, 3 or 4 clubs in Melbourne.
So, at the end of all of this, he may well choose Hawthorn. They are a great club who've no doubt made a great pitch. And at which point no doubt I'll get the sniggering hordes telling me how wrong I was blah blah blah - ignoring the fact I've always stated that I believe it to be a very real and live possibility.