AFL 2017 - AFL Finals Week1

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Adelaide |$1.50|$1.45|$1.45|$1.45|$1.45|$1.46
\G-W Sydney |$2.60|$2.78|$2.75|$2.85|$2.75|$2.75
\|line:**.5|line:14.5|line:14.5|line:15.5|line:15.5|line:14.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|177.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong |$1.75|$1.73|$1.72|$1.70|$1.72|$1.71
\Richmond |$2.10|$2.12|$2.10|$2.20|$2.15|$2.15
\|line:**.5|line:4.5|line:4.5|line:5.5|line:6.5|line:5.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|165.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.20|$1.22|$1.22|$1.22|$1.22|$1.23
\Essendon |$4.60|$4.35|$4.25|$4.50|$4.35|$4.25
\|line:**.5|line:27.5|line:25.5|line:27.5|line:26.5|line:26.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|169.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Port Adelaide |$1.45|$1.43|$1.43|$1.45|$1.45|$1.46
\West Coast |$2.75|$2.83|$2.80|$2.85|$2.75|$2.75
\|line:**.5|line:14.5|line:15.5|line:15.5|line:14.5|line:14.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|172.5|***.5

ODDS AT 21.15 ON 27/8/17

 

[Jootube]

Richmond and Adelaide to win look juicy.

 

[iluvparis]

Richmond and Adelaide to win look juicy.

I was going to say GWS and Geelong lines

 

[demon_fanatic]

Richmond and Adelaide to win look juicy.

Yeh I still have reservations on Geelong under heavy pressure I like the tigers

 

[Jugada]

GWS and West Coast at the lines for me. Probably leaning Richmond and Essendon lines in the others but no great confidence

 

[iluvparis]

balmainforever

Any chance of including a 'who wins the flag' poll? Would be interested on punting board thoughts given its a massively open year and I honestly have NFI myself.

 

[mookieb]

Yeh I still have reservations on Geelong under heavy pressure I like the tigers

I think Geelong seem to do better when they bottle the game up with their press like they can do at narrow grounds like SS. They haven't been great at the MCG winning 3 of 5, but 2 of those wins were unimpressive (Hawks and undermanned Coll) and the other was against the Hawks when we were terrible form earlier in the season.

Then again who's to say Richmond don't fold under pressure of a final. Melbourne choked and i'd like to see a sighter from Richmond before betting with any confidence.

 

[Frozenwaste]

Probably could go in the futures thread but JPK currently at $23 for most disposals throughout the finals at Sportsbet, $9 elsewhere. IMO decent value considering Swans will have to play four games to win the flag and are probably the form team in the comp.

 

[iluvparis]

Probably could go in the futures thread but JPK currently at $23 for most disposals throughout the finals at Sportsbet, $9 elsewhere. IMO decent value considering Swans will have to play four games to win the flag and are probably the form team in the comp.

Tailed

 

[2nd_2_None]

Tailed

And....into 12s

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Must be something in the water in Adelaide...http://www.3aw.com.au/rory-sloane-rushed-to-hospital/

 

[Smitch]

Sportsbet Finals Frenzy offering for today is $7 for Richmond to not win a game in finals.

 

[Spacedog]

Anyone know if you can bet on next years rising star anywhere?

 

[mookieb]

Anyone know if you can bet on next years rising star anywhere?

Witherden?

 

[puntking]

Sportsbet Finals Frenzy offering for today is $7 for Richmond to not win a game in finals.

lol thats gold

 

[Oraz]

Really like the Tigers.

They go into this game as underdog (huge mental bonus) against a side who I believe is overrated. Have the cats defeated any quality side outside their home stadium?
Skilled stadium is an extremely narrow ground where many sides struggle to deal with. I think this overrates geelong as a team and flatters their ladder position

What do you guys think?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Really like the Tigers.

They go into this game as underdog (huge mental bonus) against a side who I believe is overrated. Have the cats defeated any quality side outside their home stadium?
Skilled stadium is an extremely narrow ground where many sides struggle to deal with. I think this overrates geelong as a team and flatters their ladder position

What do you guys think?

totally agree I think they'll be too quick and I trust rance and their backline to hold up more than the cats matchup wise.. I'm waiting though prob get close to 2.30 betfair if Selwood is in

 

[Vhaluus]

totally agree I think they'll be too quick and I trust rance and their backline to hold up more than the cats matchup wise.. I'm waiting though prob get close to 2.30 betfair if Selwood is in

Rance got absolutely destroyed last time. He can't match up 1v1 on key forwards.

 

[targett]

MCG W/L this year
Tigers 9/2
Cats 5/2
Line betting
Tigers 9/2
Cats 2/5
Betting Value
Tigers +$5.76
Cats - 0.14
TGS O/U
Tigers 3/8
Cats 2/5

 

[iluvparis]

If you think I am going to touch Richmond in a final against their biggest bogey side in the history of the competition you are kidding yourself.

 

[targett]

Better sides generally do have the wood on lesser quality.
Ladder positions from 2010-2016
Cats 2,2,6,2,3,10,2
Tigers 15,12,12,5,8,5,13

 

[Cuzz09]

Adelaide v GWS:

Adelaide 1-39 $2.10

Geelong v Rich:

Geelong 1-39 $2.20

Sydney v Essendon

Sydney 1-39 $2.10

Port v West Coast

Port 1-39 $2.10



On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Sportsbet's promo today, starting at 1PM (EST) is for all finals to be won by 1-39 points @23...max. bet $50.

 

[iluvparis]

Sportsbet's promo today, starting at 1PM (EST) is for all finals to be won by 1-39 points @23...max. bet $50.

Average odds of around $1.41 or less across the 9 finals would be a enough to make this profitable. Only one games (PA-WCE) has odds higher than that for the 39.5 pt tri-bet ($1.53).

Maybe this is ok value?

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Average odds of around $1.41 or less across the 9 finals would be a enough to make this profitable. Only one games (PA-WCE) has odds higher than that for the 39.5 pt tri-bet ($1.53).

Maybe this is ok value?

Sold out in no time...I didn't even get on!