AFL 2017 - AFL Finals Week2

[JuddyBuddy]

Its just the swear filter for another word starting with c

Haha, didn't realise this either until i called someone a campaigner.

 

[targett]

Dom Sheed
ATG 1.9
2+ 10/1
3+ 51/1

 

[Robo87]

Any of the b365 multi goal scorers worth taking

have gone small on
0.5u lecras 2g @3.10
0.1u lecras 3g @9
0.5u deledio 2g @3.10
0.1u deledio 3g @9

 

[Macpotata]

What worked for me was MLS soccer total goals over 1.5. I multi'd them into two and cleaned up not long ago. I made a thread about it. Since then this has occurred.

match day had ten games

6 of the ten games went over 2.5 goals, and 7 went over 1.5 goals.



the next match day

6 of the 10 went over 2.5 and 8 of the 10 went over 1.5 goals



the next match day

8 of the 10 went over 2.5 and 9 went over 1.5 goals



next match day

7 of the 10 over 2.5 goals and 8 over 1.5 goals


next match day

5 over 2.5 and 7 games over 1.5 goals


next match day

6 over 2.5 goals, 8 over 1.5 goals


next match day


6 over 2.5 goals and 9 over 1.5 goals


next match day

8 matches over 2.5 goals, 9 over 1.5 goals


next match day


4 of the 12 over 2.5 goals, 9 of the 12 over 1.5 goals





Of course you can bet the ones that have less than a goal and get unlucky, especially if you multi. But most of the time you can make good money on this. Whether it still continues is another story. But if you go back into my thread when it was made, and look at all these games I mentioned here after, you will see a staggering amount of goals being scored. Short odds yes, but high probability of striking. People will argue against this, but at the end of the day winning is winning. You can still do your ass betting $2.00 games. You have to win period. People will come back again and say you have to win x amount to make a profit betting the odds I got for MLS or soccer games total goals, and yes you will do better if you're winning on your $2 games, but you still have to win period. No good betting on anything if your strike rate is s**t. Unless you're getting extremely lucky or striking the big odds.

over 1.5 goals hit 77 times in the last 92 games. Once again go back and add that with the last thread I made. Staggering amount. 56 games of the 92 went over 2.5 goals. I took the lower goals because it's easier to hit and as you can see it comes in more.


In any case, that is just one thing that worked FOR me. But this method can be applied to other leagues where there are goals. The trend has continued since I posted, you have to ride the ship while it's sailing full steam ahead when you can.

soccer has worked for me. You have to find what works for you. We you have knowledge, stats, an edge, gut feel, odds that you like and probability. Soccer isn't really a good sport to bet on h2h because of the draw factor. It goes three ways. But if you know your game, do the math, have good intuition you can succeed. But for most this doesn't work. That's why I take the total goals because it takes out the win-draw-loss factor. Goals get scored in soccer.


To answer your question, the best thing to do is take games h2h. As for what sports, I can't answer that for you. That is why you do the $100 bank roll and go with the 1-2 unit bets. You will get a good feel for it and you won't piss away your bank roll.

The key is to not get emotional, and be disciplined.

Suck on that spads/targett
And the next 5 games after I posted this

7-0
3-0
3-3
1-1 at half time
1-1 not even half time .

There you go. That's how you can win. 5 more games straight with at least two goals or more. So if you were to back each or a multi you can win.

And no s**t you can *en lose. Any game and any odds lose and go on losing runs just like can go on winning runs.


And for those that doubted my MLS find, go suck a fat one!


Because it's been raining goals for months.

 

[Macpotata]

People don't like winners period. They'll try to bring you down to justify their own negativity.

For those that win good on you. Whatever way you do it as long as you're making cash.

For those that hate on others, change your attitude and success will come your way.

 

[Jugada]

Have you been posting your actual bets anywhere here and keeping a running tally? I have no idea what thread you guys are talking about

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Old mates about to put out his shoulder with such vigorous back slapping.

 

[targett]

Old mates about to put out his shoulder with such vigorous back slapping.

Not sure what he's on a about even quoting my name when I've never mentioned anything about MLS.
Off tap

 

[Spads]

Suck on that spads/targett
And the next 5 games after I posted this

7-0
3-0
3-3
1-1 at half time
1-1 not even half time .

There you go. That's how you can win. 5 more games straight with at least two goals or more. So if you were to back each or a multi you can win.

And no s**t you can ****en lose. Any game and any odds lose and go on losing runs just like can go on winning runs.


And for those that doubted my MLS find, go suck a fat one!


Because it's been raining goals for months.

As jugada said, feel free to post some actual bets, in an appropriate thread.

 

[Dan26]

Any particular sports/ markets that are good to bet on?

Baseball during the first two months of the season (April and May)

Bookies havn't adjusted to the breakout teams yet and the massive quantity of games (abut 15 per day, every day) means a successful startegy can pay off and pay of quite quickly.

 

[Jugada]

Baseball id say is one of the hardest sports to get an edge on. Its why the bookies are happy to offer such good market %s on it

 

[iluvparis]

Its just the swear filter for another word starting with c

Chautauqua

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

$12k on Geelong to win the toss should sort you out.

Oraz - did you get on this?

 

[Macpotata]

Bet at your own discretion son. What works for some might not work for others. I'd only go 2 legs max, two multi's max. That is all. Hypothetically speaking if you won one or two and liked what was coming up you could play a further game just by itself, or take a single game, which is what you could do anyway over 2.5, rather than the 1.5. I like the safe option though, unless I was really feeling it.

Easy to say now but I did do it, for example on the weekend you had City playing Liverpool. City are a goal scoring team, particularly at home. Liverpool has good offense too, therefore imo in this scenario the over 2.5 was a solid play. I certainly liked the over 1.5, which was around $1.14 to $1.17. But because I believed in it and for the reasons I mentioned, I fancied the over 2.5 by itself. I thought it was a great bet. The game finished 5-0 City. Pool was coming off a 4-0 trouncing against Arsenal, City leaving it late to win 2-1 at Bournemouth. The point I'm making is they both have goals in them. So if two teams with good attack are playing each other, the over, usually, is good to hit. The odds and probability are in your favour. Now that doesn't always equate to winning, as it can obviously be a stalemate 0-0 draw, a 1 or 2-0 or a 1-1 draw. But again the odds are in your favour. So if over 2.5 should hit, 1.5 is a good play although low odds. If you want to build up your bankroll, just go one game. Or you can play two in a multi. Stay disciplined though. Rough spots hit like anywhere when you punt. Furthermore, this concept can be applied if you have a good team playing a s**t team { not that Pool are s**t } Odds will be lower for reasons I mentioned for the over like City vs Pool was. Over 2.5 was around $1.50, when normally you'd get around $1.65 for over 2.5 when it's still fancied it will occur.

Last night Deportivo was home to Real Sociedad in Spain. The over 2.5 was paying $1.85, I fancied that. So the over 1.5 would have been at least $1.25 by itself. It was 2-0 after 4 minutes. it was 2-1 at haf time and finished 4-2 to Sociedad after they surrendered their initial 2-0 lead. Beautiful when you win the game in the opening minutes/half. Conversely when it finishes 0-0 or you lose after some campaigner misses an open goal or a penalty at the death, you feel like smashing your tv in. That's when you have to maintain your composure and not bet on the next thing that moves

In the instance above, the over 2.5 wasn't that solid. But that's good when you take over 1.5 goals, because rather than get $1.15 - $1.20 odds, you're getting $1.25 odds at least and up to $1.35 etc. Costa Rica vs Mexico CONCACAAF world cup qualifying mid week was expected to go under. The over 2.5 was around $2.44. Therefore over 1.5 the odds were $1.55, In my mind I liked the chances of over 1.5 occurring because I believed they at least had a goal in them. It finished 1-1.

Toronto have been red hot in the MLS and are a goal scoring machine both home and away. High powered offense with Altidore and Giovinco, solid in midfield with Michael Bradley. Finished runner up last season to dallas losin on penalties. I think they'll go all the way this season and smacked someone 4-0 yesterday. Teams like them, Red Bulls, Sometimes New York City when they're at home are good for this tool. Look for the teams with high powered offense and multi together or play it by itself. Don't get greedy though. All this aside you could still pick and choose the wrong game, or multi and lose by the extra leg where others win etc. Again it worked for me but doesn't work for everyone. Luck comes into it too. If I continued with the method I applied I feel I could have made a lot more money. But I made my cash and I walked away. I didn't get greedy, walked away on top but also could not be ****** to be honest. I don't regret it though, because I don't have stress. Balance is essential my friend


For the best success in the long term though, you want to bet on one game. The more you add, higher chances are you will lose.

Told you campaigners that was a goldmine and told you right here Toronto would go all the way.


$$$$$$$$

Bet at your own discretion son. What works for some might not work for others. I'd only go 2 legs max, two multi's max. That is all. Hypothetically speaking if you won one or two and liked what was coming up you could play a further game just by itself, or take a single game, which is what you could do anyway over 2.5, rather than the 1.5. I like the safe option though, unless I was really feeling it.

Easy to say now but I did do it, for example on the weekend you had City playing Liverpool. City are a goal scoring team, particularly at home. Liverpool has good offense too, therefore imo in this scenario the over 2.5 was a solid play. I certainly liked the over 1.5, which was around $1.14 to $1.17. But because I believed in it and for the reasons I mentioned, I fancied the over 2.5 by itself. I thought it was a great bet. The game finished 5-0 City. Pool was coming off a 4-0 trouncing against Arsenal, City leaving it late to win 2-1 at Bournemouth. The point I'm making is they both have goals in them. So if two teams with good attack are playing each other, the over, usually, is good to hit. The odds and probability are in your favour. Now that doesn't always equate to winning, as it can obviously be a stalemate 0-0 draw, a 1 or 2-0 or a 1-1 draw. But again the odds are in your favour. So if over 2.5 should hit, 1.5 is a good play although low odds. If you want to build up your bankroll, just go one game. Or you can play two in a multi. Stay disciplined though. Rough spots hit like anywhere when you punt. Furthermore, this concept can be applied if you have a good team playing a s**t team { not that Pool are s**t } Odds will be lower for reasons I mentioned for the over like City vs Pool was. Over 2.5 was around $1.50, when normally you'd get around $1.65 for over 2.5 when it's still fancied it will occur.

Last night Deportivo was home to Real Sociedad in Spain. The over 2.5 was paying $1.85, I fancied that. So the over 1.5 would have been at least $1.25 by itself. It was 2-0 after 4 minutes. it was 2-1 at haf time and finished 4-2 to Sociedad after they surrendered their initial 2-0 lead. Beautiful when you win the game in the opening minutes/half. Conversely when it finishes 0-0 or you lose after some campaigner misses an open goal or a penalty at the death, you feel like smashing your tv in. That's when you have to maintain your composure and not bet on the next thing that moves

In the instance above, the over 2.5 wasn't that solid. But that's good when you take over 1.5 goals, because rather than get $1.15 - $1.20 odds, you're getting $1.25 odds at least and up to $1.35 etc. Costa Rica vs Mexico CONCACAAF world cup qualifying mid week was expected to go under. The over 2.5 was around $2.44. Therefore over 1.5 the odds were $1.55, In my mind I liked the chances of over 1.5 occurring because I believed they at least had a goal in them. It finished 1-1.

Toronto have been red hot in the MLS and are a goal scoring machine both home and away. High powered offense with Altidore and Giovinco, solid in midfield with Michael Bradley. Finished runner up last season to dallas losin on penalties. I think they'll go all the way this season and smacked someone 4-0 yesterday. Teams like them, Red Bulls, Sometimes New York City when they're at home are good for this tool. Look for the teams with high powered offense and multi together or play it by itself. Don't get greedy though. All this aside you could still pick and choose the wrong game, or multi and lose by the extra leg where others win etc. Again it worked for me but doesn't work for everyone. Luck comes into it too. If I continued with the method I applied I feel I could have made a lot more money. But I made my cash and I walked away. I didn't get greedy, walked away on top but also could not be ****** to be honest. I don't regret it though, because I don't have stress. Balance is essential my friend


For the best success in the long term though, you want to bet on one game. The more you add, higher chances are you will lose.

Told you campaigners MLS Betting was the way to go and Toronto would win it.



Eat s**t haters

 

[X_box_X]

Told you campaigners that was a goldmine and told you right here Toronto would go all the way.


$$$$$$$$

Told you campaigners MLS Betting was the way to go and Toronto would win it.



Eat s**t haters

You're a ******* legend, mate. Good on ya.

Stick it right up 'em.